Tag: Recep Tayyip Erdogan

12th president of Turkey

  • Clinton’s Visit to Genocide Monument Necessary but not Sufficient

    Clinton’s Visit to Genocide Monument Necessary but not Sufficient

    During her visit to Armenia on July 5, U.S. Secretary State Hillary Clinton placed a wreath at the Armenian Genocide Monument at Tsitsernakaberd in Yerevan. Regrettably, however, the U.S. Embassy in Armenia issued a press release describing the visit as “private.” By using such a characterization, U.S. officials were trying to preempt any backlash from the Turkish government.   In my opinion, the State Department mishandled Secretary Clinton’s visit to the Armenian Genocide Monument. Here are the reasons why:

    • There was no need to downplay the visit by characterizing it as “private,” since such visits are standard procedure for foreign dignitaries visiting Armenia.
    • Paying a visit to the Genocide Monument does not necessarily imply recognition of the Armenian Genocide, as all previous and current U.S. Ambassadors have visited this site every April 24.
    • Secretary Clinton’s visit to the Genocide Monument could not have been described as “private,” since it was a part of her “official” visit to Armenia.
    • The characterization of the visit as “private” was contradicted by the fact that the ribbons on the wreath she laid at the Genocide Monument carried the inscription: “From Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton.”
    • Clinton’s visit the day before to the “Alley of the Martyrs” in Baku was not described as “private,” creating the disturbing impression that U.S. interests in Azerbaijan’s oil weigh heavier than its humanitarian concerns for victims of genocide.
    • Another double standard was Clinton not allowing any Armenian government officials to accompany her to the Genocide Monument in Yerevan, while she was accompanied to the “Alley of Martyrs” in Baku by a Deputy Minister of Azerbaijan!
    • Clinton permitted neither the international press traveling with her nor the local Armenian media, except Armenian Public TV, to report on her visit to the Genocide Monument. Her action undermines her advocacy for media freedom.
    • There was no reason for Secretary Clinton to be coy about Genocide recognition, since Pres. Reagan had acknowledged it in 1981, and the U.S. House of Representatives had recognized it in 1975 and 1984.

    Even though the State Department downgraded Secretary Clinton’s visit to the Monument, Armenian officials did their best to publicize it as much as possible! This time they acted more decisively than last May, when Mevlut Cavusoglu — Turkish President of Council of Europe’s Parliamentary Assembly — refused to visit the Genocide Monument. They insisted that the Secretary add to her itinerary a stop at the Genocide Monument. They then arranged for Armenian Public TV and other TV stations to repeatedly air the video of Clinton’s July 5 visit to the Monument.

    In addition, the website of the State-owned Armenian Genocide Museum prominently featured Clinton’s visit by displaying photos of her wreath with ribbons that carried a visible inscription of her name and title, and an authentic medal issued by the American Near East Relief Committee that Museum Director Hayk Demoyan presented her.

    Pointing across the Turkish border, Demoyan told Secretary Clinton that Mount Ararat is “a symbol of Armenia.” In addition to explaining the basic facts of the Armenian Genocide, Demoyan told her that the graves of heroes fallen in Artsakh (Karabagh) were located near the Monument, since Armenians consider that war to be a continuation of the Armenian Genocide. The Secretary was also given a historical photo in which Armenian children in the American orphanage of Alexandropol (Gumri) were standing in formation that spelled out the words: “AMERICA, WE THANK YOU.”

    Clinton’s visit was both praised and criticized by Armenian-American organizations. The Armenian National Committee of America took Clinton to task for her “secret” visit to the Genocide Monument, while the Armenian Assembly of America commended her for the visit. Former U.S. Ambassador to Armenia, John Evans, told The California Courier that “Clinton’s visit was a small, but positive step forward.” The last Secretary of State to have visited Armenia was James Baker in 1992, who did not, however, make a stop at the Genocide Monument.

    In my view, Secretary Clinton should be commended for making such a positive gesture, but also blamed for going to such lengths to downplay her visit to the Genocide Monument. Why was she so concerned about offending Turks who have brazenly undermined every major U.S. foreign policy initiative in recent months?   Unfortunately, Secretary Clinton, Vice President Biden and Pres. Obama have drifted far away from their campaign promises to recognize the Armenian Genocide! Clinton’s brief stop at the Genocide Monument on July 5 is a welcome first step that fell short of her solemn commitment to support recognition of the Armenian Genocide.

    ================== COMMENT —- YORUM ================================================

    Democrats are in serious trouble. They need every vote they can get in November so that is why they are posturing around.
    I would like to see the day when Turkey can care less and shrug off  the American and Armenian clamors, resolutions etc  about this farce of genocide.
    Turkey and Azerbaijan should unite more and defy this idiotic nonsense..
    Almost 80 million Turks being manipulated by a 2 million weakling nation and its masters in Washington…Disgusting….

    .. Oya Bain [[email protected]]

  • Islam Explained in Layman’s Terms

    Islam Explained in Layman’s Terms

    DEGERLİ DOSTLAR
    BU  VE BENZERİ  MESAJLAR ARTTİ
    SURATLE YAYİLİYOR
    BUNU BANA GONDEREN   VE BODRUMDA  FARUK BEY OLARAK TANİNAN
    SU SİRALARDA  TURK VATANDASLİGİNA GECMEK UZERE OLAN   AMERİKALİ  ARKADASİM  (YASİ 70)
    ULKESİNDE  GELİSMEKTE OLAN NEFRET   SOYLEMİNE  DİKKAT CEKMEK  İSTEDİGİNİ BİLDİRDİ
    COK UZULDUGUNU  EKLEDİ
    USTELİK BUNU KENDİSİNE  YOLLAYAN   BİRLESMİS MİLLETLER ORGIUTUNDE YUKSEK DUZEY  GOREVLİ OLAN ARKADASİ DA   BU  NEFRET SOYLEMİNE  KATİLMAK İSTEMEDİGİNİ
    BUNA RAGMEN   DURUMU  BİLGİMİZE  SUNMAK İSTEDİGİNİ  BELİRTMİS

    MEDENİYETLER   YA DA DİNLERARASİ  BARİS  VE BUNU SAGLAMAGA YONELİK  GİRİSİMLER
    KİFAYETSİZ KALİYOR
    HUNTİNGTON HAKLİ Mİ SORULARİ SORULUYOR
    BU BAGLAMDA TURKİYENİN  ROLU  DE   DOGAL OLARAK  GUNDEMDE ON PLANA CİKİYOR

    URDUNDEN  SOZ  EDEN VAR Mİ?  SUUDİLLERE   MİSİR  TAM SİPER…

    ZİRA  ULKEMİZ   SON BİR KAC YİLA KADAR   BOLGEDE  BİR DENGE  OGESİ İSLEVİNİ  YURUTUYORDU
    YA DA BİZ OYLE SANİYORDUK

    AKP  HUKUMETİNİN  HAMAS’İN  DEMOKRATİK YONTEMLE SECİLMİS  GRUP OLDUGU  VE  “MUSLUMAN TEROR  EYLEMİ YAPMAZ” SOYLEMİ
    (HAMAS  SON OLARAK  SECİME  GİTMEYİ REDDETTİ-UNUTMAYALİM)
    -İRAN  NUKLEER SİLAH YAPMİYOR  SAVİ
    (BU ORNEKLERİ  ARTTİRABİLİRİM- HEPİMİZİN BİLDİGİ  KONULAR)

    TURKİYEYİ  MUTTEFİKLERİNDEN  UZAKLASTİRİYOR
    BASİMİZİ KUMA SOKARAK BUNLARİ GORMEZLİKTEN GELEMEYİZ
    DAHA  DOGRUSU
    BASKALARİNİN BİZİ NASİL GORDUGU HUSUSUNU    GAYRİ, VAKİ-YANLİS-ONYARGİLİ DİYEREK  SAVUSTURAMAYİZ
    ONLARİN  GORUSUNU BU  KABİL  YANİTLARLA  DEGİSTİREMEYİZ.

    SAYİN BASBAKANİMİZ İLE OBAMA ARASİNDAKİ  SON GORUSMEDE BU HUSUS  KENDİLERİNE
    NAZİK BİR USLUPLA  AMA    SERAHATLE   ANLATİLMİS

    GELİSMELER  AKİLCİ ADİMLAR İLE   VE GETREKTİİGİNDE  GERİ ADİM  ATİLARAK DUZELTİLMEZ İSE TURKİYE  İRAN VE HAMAS  İLE BİRLİKTE  YANLİZLİGA  SURUKLENİR

    TABİİ BU DA BİR SECİMDİR   İRAN’İN  TAVRİ BİR SECİM OLDUGU GİBİ
    AMA BEDELİNİ  COK AGİR BİR SEKİLDE ODEME DURUMUNDA KALABİLİRİZ

    CARİ ACİK-KİBRİS- TEROR-  EGE  VESAİRE GİBİ KAMBURLARİMİZ VAR

    BU ALANLARDA  (YENİ MUTTEFİKLERİMİZ) BİZE  YARDİMCİ OLAMAZLAR- BUGUNE KADAR  OLMADİLAR DA

    BENİ DUISUNCEYE SEVKEDEN   EN ONEMLİ HUSUS
    ASAGİDAKİ MESAJİN İCERDİGİ  DEGERLENDİRMENİN    YAYGİNLLASMASİ  VE  ADETA
    UZERİNDE BUYUK MUTABAKA B ULUNAN BİR   “GERCEK”  HALİNE GELMESİ

    PULAT TACAR

    Turkish Forum Danisma Kurulu Uyesi

    Buyukelci (E)

    ===============================================================================

    Adapted from Dr.. Peter Hammond’s book: Slavery, Terrorism and Islam: The Historical Roots and Contemporary Threat

    Islam is not a religion, nor is it a cult. In its fullest form, it is a complete, total, 100% system of life.

    Islam has religious, legal, political, economic, social, and military components. The religious component is a beard for all of the other components.

    Islamization begins when there are sufficient Muslims in a country to agitate for their religious privileges.

    When politically correct, tolerant, and culturally diverse societies agree to Muslim demands for their religious privileges, some of the other components tend to creep in as well.

    Here’s how it works:

    As long as the Muslim population remains around or under 2% in any given country, they will be for the most part be regarded as a peace-loving minority, and not as a threat to other citizens. This is the case in:

    United States — Muslim 0.6%
    Australia — Muslim 1.5%
    Canada — Muslim 1.9%
    China — Muslim 1.8%
    Italy — Muslim 1.5%
    Norway — Muslim 1.8%

    At 2% to 5%, they begin to proselytize from other ethnic minorities and disaffected groups, often with major recruiting from the jails and among street gangs. This is happening in:

    Denmark — Muslim 2%
    Germany — Muslim 3.7%
    United Kingdom — Muslim 2.7%
    Spain — Muslim 4%
    Thailand — Muslim 4.6%

    From 5% on, they exercise an inordinate influence in proportion to their percentage of the population. For example, they will push for the introduction of halal (clean by Islamic standards) food, thereby securing food preparation jobs for Muslims. They will increase pressure on supermarket chains to feature halal on their shelves — along with threats for failure to comply. This is occurring in:

    France — Muslim 8%
    Philippines — 5%
    Sweden — Muslim 5%
    Switzerland — Muslim 4.3%
    The Netherlands — Muslim 5.5%
    Trinidad & Tobago — Muslim 5.8%

    At this point, they will work to get the ruling government to allow them to rule themselves (within their ghettos) under Sharia, the Islamic Law. The ultimate goal of Islamists is to establish Sharia law over the entire world.

    When Muslims approach 10% of the population, they tend to increase lawlessness as a means of complaint about their conditions. In Paris, we are already seeing car-burnings. Any non-Muslim action offends Islam and results in uprisings and threats, such as in Amsterdam,  with opposition to Mohammed cartoons and films about Islam. Such tensions are seen daily, particularly in Muslim sections in:

    Guyana — Muslim 10%
    India — Muslim 13.4%
    Israel — Muslim 16%
    Kenya — Muslim 10%
    Russia — Muslim 15%

    After reaching 20%, nations can expect hair-trigger rioting, jihad militia formations, sporadic killings, and the burnings of Christian churches and Jewish synagogues, such as in:

    Ethiopia — Muslim 32.8%

    At 40%, nations experience widespread massacres, chronic terror attacks, and ongoing militia warfare, such as in:

    Bosnia — Muslim 40%
    Chad — Muslim 53.1%
    Lebanon — Muslim 59.7%

    From 60%, nations experience unfettered persecution of non-believers of all other religions (including non-conforming Muslims), sporadic ethnic cleansing (genocide), use of Sharia Law as a weapon, and Jizya, the tax placed on infidels, such as in:

    Albania — Muslim 70%
    Malaysia — Muslim 60.4%
    Qatar — Muslim 77.5%
    Sudan — Muslim 70%

    After 80%, expect daily intimidation and violent jihad, some State-run ethnic cleansing, and even some genocide, as these nations drive out the infidels, and move toward 100% Muslim, such as has been experienced and in some ways is on-going in:

    Bangladesh — Muslim 83%
    Egypt — Muslim 90%
    Gaza — Muslim 98.7%
    Indonesia — Muslim 86.1%
    Iran — Muslim 98%
    Iraq — Muslim 97%
    Jordan — Muslim 92%
    Morocco — Muslim 98.7%
    Pakistan — Muslim 97%
    Palestine — Muslim 99%
    Syria — Muslim 90%
    Tajikistan — Muslim 90%
    Turkey — Muslim 99.8%
    United Arab Emirates — Muslim 96%

    100% will usher in the peace of ‘Dar-es-Salaam’ — the Islamic House of Peace. Here there’s supposed to be peace, because everybody is a Muslim, the Madrasses are the only schools, and the Koran is the only word, such as in:

    Afghanistan — Muslim 100%
    Saudi Arabia — Muslim 100%
    Somalia — Muslim 100%
    Yemen — Muslim 100%

    Unfortunately, peace is never achieved, as in these 100% states the most radical Muslims intimidate and spew hatred, and satisfy their blood lust by killing less radical Muslims, for a variety of reasons.

    ‘Before I was nine I had learned the basic canon of Arab life. It was me against my brother; me and my brother against our father; my family against my cousins and the clan; the clan against the tribe; the tribe against the world, and all of us against the infidel. — Leon Uris, ‘The Haj’

    It is important to understand that in some countries, with well under 100% Muslim populations, such as France, the minority Muslim populations live in ghettos, within which they are 100% Muslim, and within which they live by Sharia Law. The national police do not even enter these ghettos. There are no national courts, nor schools, nor non-Muslim religious facilities. In such situations, Muslims do not integrate into the community at large. The children attend madrasses. They learn only the Koran. To even associate with an infidel is a crime punishable with death. Therefore, in some areas of certain nations, Muslim Imams and extremists exercise more power than the national average would indicate.

    Today’s 1.5 billion Muslims make up 22% of the world’s population.. But their birth rates dwarf the birth rates of Christians, Hindus, Buddhists, Jews, and all other believers. Muslims will exceed 50% of the world’s population by the end of this century.

    Adapted from Dr. Peter Hammond’s book: Slavery, Terrorism and Islam: The Historical Roots and Contemporary Threat

    Now ponder the following:

    Obama appoints two devout Muslims to Homeland Security posts. Doesn’t this make you feel safer already?

    Obama and Janet Napolitano appoint Arif Alikhan, a devout Muslim, as Assistant Secretary for Policy Development.

    DHS Secretary Janet Napolitano swore in Kareem Shora, a devout Muslim who was born in Damascus, Syria, as ADC National Executive Director as a member of the Homeland Security Advisory Council (HSAC).

    NOTE: Has anyone ever heard a new government official being identified as a devout Catholic, a devout Jew or a devout Protestant…?

    Devout Muslims being appointed to critical Homeland Security positions? Doesn’t this begin to explain why the Nigerian would-be suicide bomber on the watch list almost brought the plane down?

    ========================= YORUM =============================================

    To: [email protected]
    Subject: Antw: [TFAB:9903] : Fw: Islam Explained in Layman’s Terms
    Selam Arkadaslar,
    Bu yazi ” from Peter Hammond’s book..”, Kilise yayinlari gibi kokuyor biraz!
    Adam Muslumanlar hakkinda o kadar bilgi ve statistik toplamis ki!! Hmmm.
    Katolik hukumet gorevlisi var mi diye soruyor bir de; Katolizmin, devlet
    olarak Anasi var (Vatikan) ve bu tip calismalari da organize ve finanse eden de o.
    Evet, Siyasi islam oldukca palazlasmis keyfe gelmis, ama bunu bile
    besleyenlerin kim oldugu hakkinda  suphem vardir. Unutmayin, bu platforum da
    da, bazi siyasilerin nasil basa getirildigi defalarca yazilmis, cizilmis.
    Hem de unutmayin ki; Samuel Huntington siradan bir Yazar veya Akademik
    degil di – ABD DISISLERI Bakanligi Danismanligini omru boyunca yapmis olan
    bir Zat idi. Gerisini Arif olan anlar.
    Selam ve saygilarla
    Kufi Seydali
    Kufi Seydali [[email protected]]
    ===================================== YORUM ====================================
    DUNKU MARUZATİMİ  TEYİD  EDEN  MAHMUZLAMALARA BİR YENİ ORNEK

    Reuters gibi kuvvetli bir ajansın
    2009 yılı Dünya  fotoğrafları arasına
    2010 Avrupa Kültür Başkentlerinden biri olan İSTANBUL’dan,
    hatta Türkiye’den ,
    maalesef sadece aşağıdaki kare seçilmiş,
    Ve koydukları isme bakın: ( İSTANBULUN PENGUENLERİ)

    Pulat Tacar [[email protected]]

    ‘Istanbul Penguenleri’

    REUTERS yılın  fotoğraflarını yayımlamış bile. Türkiye için seçtiği

    Reuters’ın seçtiği yılın fotoğrafları – 1Uluslararası Haber ajansı Reuters’ın her yıl belirlediği “yılın fotoğrafları”

    bu yıl da dünyadan çarpıcı kareler ile seçildi. Türkiye’den ise yılın fotoğrafları arasına giren fotoğraf, bir banka oturmuş

    Haliç’i izleyen 4 çarşaflı kadının olduğu bir kare oldu. İşte Reuters tarafından seçilen ve bu yılın kameralara

    yansıyan en ilginç fotoğrafları…

  • Fethullah Gulen’s cave of wonders

    Fethullah Gulen’s cave of wonders

    By Spengler

    We’ve been had, boys and girls: the international community, the world press, Israeli intelligence, the United Nations, the lot of us. The existential drama off the Gaza coast turns out to be a Turkish farce, the kind of low comedy that in 1782 Wolfgang Mozart set to music in the opera The Abduction from the Seraglio, with Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan playing the buffo-villain Osmin and Turkish self-exiled preacher and author Fethullah Gulen as the wise Pasha Selim.

    In the post-American world, where every wannabe and used-to-be power makes momentary deals with other powers it plans to kill later, one makes inferences with caution. But I’ve seen this opera before.

    Gulen, who lives in Pennsylvania in the United States, was silent as a jinn in a bottle about politics until last Friday, when he told

    the Wall Street Journal that the Free Gaza flotilla’s attempt to run the Israeli blockage of Gaza “is a sign of defying authority, and will not lead to fruitful matters”.

    Erdogan’s Islamists have run a two-year campaign of judicial activism against secular politicians, journalists and army officers, and secular critics long have alleged that Gulen is the clerical power behind the prime minister.

    For the secretive Gulen to criticize the Turkish government in the midst of its public rage against Israel is an imam-bites-dog story. Gulen appears to have positioned himself as a mediator with Israel. Turkey does not want to end its longstanding relationship with Israel; it wants Israel to become a Turkish vassal-state in emulation of the old Ottoman model.

    The killing last week by Israeli commandos of nine activists on board the Mavi Marmara served numerous goals, and Gulen’s grand return to Turkish politics appears to be one of them. The question that every commentator in the Turkish press asked over the weekend, in one form or other, was: When will this voice of Muslim moderation re-emerge as an open force in the ruling Islamist party?

    There is every indication that the Turkish government dispatched the Gaza flotilla in order to stage a violent confrontation. The Erdogan government announced that it had carefully vetted the passenger list on the Mavi Marmara, which is to say that it knew that many of the passengers boarded with the intention of achieving “martyrdom” in a clash with the Israelis. They must have known this, for both the Turkish as well as the Palestinian press ran interviews with family members of some of the nine dead passengers explaining this intent.

    The passengers’ plans for martyrdom have been celebrated in the Arab press, and translated on the website of the Middle East Media Research Institute. The Turkish government also knew that the Insani Yardim Vakfi (IHH), the Islamic charity behind the Gaza flotilla, had ties to Hamas, for it had banned the IHH from charitable activity in Turkey a decade ago due to its connection to an organization that the previous secular government regarded as terrorist.

    What explains Israel’s apparent intelligence failure? Israel fields a small service tasked with operations in Iran, southern Lebanon, Gaza and Syria among other prospective enemies. The Mossad probably relied on counterparts in Turkish intelligence – with whom it has a long history of collaboration – to cover the passenger list on the Mavi Marmara. The often-unreliable Debka claims that “Turkish intelligence duped Israel”, which in this case is likely. By stealth or by sloth, Israel was roped into the comedy.

    The star of the comedy, at least for the Turkish media, is Gulen. The 78-year-old imam has lived in self-imposed exile for two decades, due to charges by Turkish prosecutors that he led a conspiracy to subvert the secular state. He presides over Turkey’s largest religious movement, commanding the loyalty of two-thirds of the Turkish police, according to some reports. His movement – a transnational civic society movement inspired by Gulen’s teachings – also controls a network of elite schools that educate a tenth of the high school students in the Turkic world from Baku to Kyrgyzstan. And it reportedly controls businesses with tens of billions of dollars in assets.

    His movement has been expelled from the Russian Federation and his followers arrested in Uzbekistan by local authorities who believe his goal is a pan-Turkic union from the Bosporus to China’s western Xinjiang province (“East Turkestan” to Gulen’s movement).

    In Mozart’s Abduction, Belmonte and Pedrillo descend into the pasha’s harem to rescue Kostanze; in last week’s version, Israeli commandos descended onto the Mavi Marmara. And there is the stock villain of Viennese comedy, the Turk Osmin, played by Erdogan. The predictable occurs, and the prospective Shahidi become actual corpses. And Erdogan threatens Israel with terrible things, in emulation of Mozart’s Osmin, who sings:

    “First you’ll be beheaded!
    Then hanged!
    Then spitted on hot stakes!
    Then bound, and burned, and drowned, and finally skinned!”

    This, one supposes, is supposed to frighten the children in the audience, who then will smile and clap when the Wise Old Man enters to urge moderation, caution and respect for authority, in the person of Gulen.

    The Islamic shift in Turkey has been underway for years. As Rachel Sharon-Krespin wrote in the Middle East Quarterly (Winter 2009):

    As Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi, AKP) begins its seventh year in leadership, Turkey is no longer the secular and democratic country that it was when the party took over. The AKP has conquered the bureaucracy and changed Turkey’s fundamental identity. Prior to the AKP’s rise, Ankara oriented itself toward the United States and Europe. Today, despite the rhetoric of European Union accession, Prime Minister Erdogan has turned Turkey away from Europe and toward Russia and Iran and re-oriented Turkish policy in the Middle East away from sympathy toward Israel and much more toward friendship with Hamas, Hezbollah, and Syria.

    We are now in a post-American world, at least where the Barack Obama administration is concerned, and Turkey like its neighbors is scrambling for position. What does Turkey want in a post-American world?

    The question itself seems stupid, for the obvious answer is: “Whatever it can get.” It wants to become the dominant regional power rather than Iran, casting a wolfish glance at Iran’s Azeri population, who speak Turkish rather than Persian. It wants to “mediate” the Israeli-Palestinian issue and is not squeamish about its prospective partners. It wants Palestine to be an Ottoman province once again. It wants to be the energy hub for the Middle East and the outlet for Russian and Azerbaijani pipelines.

    But it is a bit more complex than that. Modern Turkey is an artificial construct, rather than a nation-state in the Western sense. Since the Turks completed the conquest of Byzantine Anatolia in the middle of the 14th century, a relatively thin crust of ethnic Turks has ruled over subject peoples. The Ottoman Empire at various points in its history had a Christian majority; its civil service at different points was more Venetian, Armenian and Jewish then Turkish; its self-understanding was global and religious, that is, as the caliphate of Islam, rather than as a national entity.

    When World War I reduced Turkey to an Anatolian rump, Kemal Ataturk attempted to impose “Turkishness” as a secular, national ideology on the European model. To make the country “Turkish”, several million Orthodox Christians were estimated to have been killed. The hollowness of Ataturk’s secular construct, modeled on the nastier European national movements, made it vulnerable from the beginning. The army was the only institution that could hold Turkish society together.

    What will replace Ataturk’s secularism? I wrote two years ago:

    If political Islam prevails in Turkey, what will emerge is not the same country in different coloration, but a changeling, an entirely different nation. In a 1997 speech that earned him a prison term, Erdogan warned of two fundamentally different camps, the secularists who followed Kemal, and Muslims who followed sharia. These are not simply different camps, however, but different configurations of Turkish society at the molecular level. Like a hologram, Turkey offers two radically different images when viewed from different angles. Turkish Islam, the ordering of the Anatolian villages and the Istanbul slums, represents a nation radically different than the secularism of the army, the civil service, the universities and the Western-leaning elite of Istanbul. If the Islamic side of Turkey rises, the result will be unrecognizable. Turkey in the throes of Islamic revolution? Asia Times Online, July 22, 2008.

    Gulen’s pan-Turkic mysticism views Turkey as the center of a new caliphate uniting the Muslim world. He preaches a “Turkish renaissance” with a modern spin “to ensure that religion and science go together and that science penetrates not only individual lives, but also social life”. His schools educate the elite of the Turkic world across Asia. Gulen’s interest, to be sure, focuses on the Turkish state, whose bureaucracy is now filled with his acolytes. But unlike Ataturk’s secular nationalism, which tried to redefine Turkey on a European model, Gulen’s Islamism is inherently expansionist.

    What Gulen means by science is of an entirely different order than the Western understanding. This “imam from rural Anatolia”, as his website describes him, inhabits the magical world of jinns and sorcery. Science is just a powerful form of magic of which Turks should avail themselves to enhance their power, as he writes in his 2005 book, The Essentials of the Islamic Faith:

    Jinn are conscious beings charged with divine obligations. Recent discoveries in biology make it clear that God created beings particular to each realm. They were created before Adam and Eve, and were responsible for cultivating and improving the world. Although God superseded them with us, he did not exempt them from religious obligations.

    As nothing is difficult for God almighty, he has provided human beings, angels and jinns with the strength appropriate for their functions and duties. As he uses angels to supervise the movements of celestial bodies, he allows to humans to rule the Earth, dominate matter, build civilizations and produce technology.

    Power and strength are not limited to the physical world, nor are they proportional to bodily size … Our eyes can travel long distances in an instant. Our imagination can transcend time and space all at once … winds can uproot trees and demolish large buildings. A young, thin plant shoot can split rocks and reach the sunlight. The power of energy, whose existence is known through its effect, is apparent to everybody. All of this shows that something’s power is not proportional to its physical size; rather the immaterial world dominates the physical world, and immaterial entities are far more powerful than material ones.

    He goes on to warn about sorcery and the danger of spells; he allows that it is meritorious to break spells (for evil witches are everywhere casting spells), although a good Muslim should not make a profession of this, for then he might be mistaken for a sorcerer himself. The notion that “wind” and “energy” are “immaterial” forces exudes the magical world view of an Anatolian peasant; the miracles of technology are the secret actions of jinn, just as the planetary movements are the actions of angels. When Gulen talks about the union of religion and science, what he means quite concretely is that the magical view of jinns in the Koran aids the believer in enlisting these “immaterial” forces to enhance the power of Islam. Science for Gulen means the management of jinn.

    Gulen, in short, is a shaman, a relic of pre-history preserved in the cultural amber of eastern Anatolia. Kemalism was sterile, brutal, secular and rational; the “moderate Islam” of Gulen is magical, a mystic’s vision of Ottoman restoration and a pan-Turkic caliphate.

    The Erdogan government crafted the Mavi Marmara affair as a piece of theater, preparing the deus ex machina (god from the machine) entrance of Gulen himself, more Pagliaccio than Apollo, to be sure. The trouble is that the Turkish Islamists live in a world of magical realism in which theater and reality, human and jinn, desire and achievement blend into a mystical blur. Gulen explains in his The Essentials of the Islamic Faith that Allah created the jinn out of fire. And that is what the apologists for Turkish Islamism are playing with.

    Spengler is channeled by David P Goldman, senior editor of First Things (www.firstthings.com).

  • Kurdish Heritage Reclaimed: Stephen Kinzer

    Kurdish Heritage Reclaimed: Stephen Kinzer

    After years of conflict, Turkey’s tradition-rich Kurdish minority is experiencing a joyous cultural reawakening

    • By Stephen Kinzer
    • Photographs by Lynsey Addario
    • Smithsonian magazine, June 2010

    Isolation allowed the Kurds to survive for thousands of years while other cultures faded from history.

    More from Smithsonian.com

    • Iraq’s Resilient Minority
    • Gobekli Tepe: The World’s First Temple?

    In the breathtakingly rugged Turkish province of Hakkari, pristine rivers surge through spectacular mountain gorges and partridges feed beneath tall clusters of white hollyhock. I’m attending the marriage celebration of 24-year-old Baris and his 21-year-old bride, Dilan, in the Kurdish heartland near the borders of Syria, Iran and Iraq. This is not the actual wedding; the civil and religious ceremonies were performed earlier in the week. Not until after this party, though, will the couple spend their first night together as husband and wife. It will be a short celebration by Kurdish standards—barely 36 hours.

    Neither eating nor drinking plays much of a role at a traditional Kurdish wedding. On the patio of a four-story apartment house, guests are served only small plates of rice and meatballs. Instead, the event is centered on music and dance. Hour after hour, the band plays lustily as lines of guests, their arms linked behind their backs, kick, step and join in song in ever-changing combinations. Children watch intently, absorbing a tradition passed down through generations.

    The women wear dazzling, embroidered gowns. But it’s the men who catch my eye. Some of them are wearing one-piece outfits—khaki or gray overalls with patterned cummerbunds—inspired by the uniforms of Kurdish guerrillas who fought a fierce campaign for self-rule against the Turkish government throughout much of the 1980s and ’90s. The Turkish military, which harshly suppressed this insurgency, would not have tolerated such outfits just a few years ago. These days, life is more relaxed.

    As darkness falls and there is still no sign of the bride, some friends and I decide to visit the center of Hakkari, the provincial capital. An armored personnel carrier, with a Turkish soldier in the turret peering over his machine gun, rumbles ominously through the city, which is swollen with unemployed Kurdish refugees from the countryside. But stalls in music stores overflow with CDs by Kurdish singers, including performers who were banned because Turkish authorities judged their music incendiary. Signs written in the once-taboo Kurdish language decorate shop windows.

    By luck, we encounter Ihsan Colemerikli, a Kurdish intellectual whose book Hakkari in Mesopotamian Civilization is a highly regarded work of historical research. He invites us to his home, where we sip tea under an arbor. Colemerikli says there have been 28 Kurdish rebellions in the past 86 years—inspired by centuries of successful resistance to outsiders, invaders and would-be conquerors.

    “Kurdish culture is a strong and mighty tree with deep roots,” he says. “Turks, Persians and Arabs have spent centuries trying to cut off this tree’s water so it would wither and die. But in the last 15 to 20 years there has been a new surge of water, so the tree is blossoming very richly.”

    Back at the wedding party, the bride finally appears, wearing a brightly patterned, translucent veil and surrounded by attendants carrying candles. She is led slowly through the crowd to one of two armchairs in the center of the patio. Her husband sits in the other one. For half an hour they sit quietly and watch the party, then rise for their first dance, again surrounded by candles. I notice that the bride never smiles, and I ask if something is amiss. No, I’m told. It is customary for a Kurdish bride to appear somber as a way of showing how sad she is to leave her parents.

    The party will go on until dawn, only to resume a few hours later. But as midnight approaches, my companions and I depart, our destination a corba salonu—a soup salon. In a few minutes we enter a brightly lit café. There are two soups on the menu. Lentil is my favorite, but when traveling I prefer the unfamiliar. The sheep’s head soup, made with meat scraped from inside the skull, is strong, lemony and assertive.

  • G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    Metro Toronto Convention Centre, Toronto, Canada

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey

    Saturday, June 26
    G20 leaders arrive at the Toronto Airport Infield Terminal at the
    Lester B. Pearson Airport in Toronto
    18:30 Official welcome and reception of G20 leaders and spouses by
    Stephen Harper, prime minister of Canada, and Laureen Harper, at the
    Royal York Hotel

    Sunday, June 27
    09:00 Opening plenary session
    12:30 Family photograph
    17:00 Chair’s press conference

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK,
    Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.

    =============================================================

    http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/biblio/kirton-turkey-2010.pdf

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK, Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.
    Introduction
    The Challenge
    In less than two weeks the most powerful leaders of the world’s 20 most systemically
    significant countries arrive in Toronto, Canada for their fourth summit of the Group of
    Twenty (G20). It will be their first meeting of the newly proclaimed permanent priority
    centre of international economic co-operation, the first co-chaired by an established and
    emerging economy, and the first held in tight tandem with the older, smaller Group of
    Eight (G8) major power democracies.
    In Toronto the G20 leaders will confront several critical global challenges. The first is the
    European-turned-global financial crisis, erupting in May even before the previous
    American-turned-global financial crisis of 2007-9 had been solved. The second is the
    devastation to trade, investment and development that these financial-turned-economic
    crises cause. The third is the environmental and social problems they exacerbate, from
    climate change and energy to food and health. And the fourth is strengthening the G20
    itself and the international financial institutions and other global bodies more generally,
    to govern more effectively, equitably and accountably today’s complex, uncertain,
    intensely interconnected world.
    Can Canada and Turkey work together at Toronto to cope with these and other challenges
    that the world confronts? At first glance, Canada and Turkey would appear to be
    distinctly different countries, within the global community and as members of the G20,
    the institutionalized club of systemically significant countries that was created in 1999 in
    response to the Asian-turned-global financial crisis then and that leapt to the leaders’
    level in response to the American-turned-global financial crisis continuing today. Yet in
    many important ways, Canada and Turkey have much in common in their position and
    potential performance in the G20.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 2
    First, as forthcoming hosts of the G20 summit, with Canada serving in 2010 and Turkey
    as early as 2013, they confirm the G20’s institutional position and potential operation
    performance as a genuine club of equals, in which one of the least powerful members of
    the established G8 and then one that was not a G8 member have been quickly asked to
    host and chair the new summit club. Second, they share a geographic position as great
    global connectors in a systemically dedicated club. A trans-continental Canada stands as
    a country of the Americas, Arctic, Atlantic and Pacific, and Turkey as one of Europe,
    Central Asia and the Middle East.
    Third, they share an international institutional position as great global connectors through
    their leading position in other institutionalized summit clubs that embrace the richest and
    poorest countries, and communities of great diversity, from around the world. Canada is
    the second most powerful country in the Commonwealth and in the Francophonie that
    together embrace half the countries in the world, and Turkey is a consequential member
    and currently the chair of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC).
    Fourth, they have long assumed their global responsibilities, notably as members of the
    North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) that won the Cold War, liberated Kosovo
    from an erupting genocide in 1999, and fought with many other of today’s G20 hosts and
    members to defend the Republic of Korea from 1950 to 1953. The sixtieth anniversary of
    the outbreak of that war will be commemorated the day before the Toronto summit starts.
    In addition both are longstanding allies of the United States and are currently seeking to
    enhance their association significantly with the European Union.1 Sixth, they contain a
    rich multidimensional cultural and linguistic diversity within their domestic polities as
    well.
    The Debate
    With this configuration of characteristics and capabilities, how have Canada and Turkey
    connected within the G20, and how can they in the future, to serve their own interests and
    build a better world? In the limited English-language literature on Turkey’s role in the
    G20 and its connection with Canada in this regard, different answers to these questions
    arise.
    The first school sees Turkey as an active participant in an inclusive club that combines
    developed and developing countries and the west and the rest. This is due to the priority
    Prime Minister Recep Erdoğan’s places on the G20, and Turkey’s crisis-bred concerns
    about the end of capitalism (Şekercioğlu 2009). The most recent expression of this school
    portrays Turkey as an active G20 participant, teacher, co-operator and complier, due to
    the shock of its 2001 financial crisis and restructuring in its wake, and the confidence
    arising from its stability in the 2007-9 crisis, and its rising capabilities and status in the
    world (Aysan 2010).
    1 It is worth noting that the Toronto Summit will open the day after the 60th anniversary of the start of the
    Korean War on June 25, 1950.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 3
    A second school sees Turkey as a status-seeking development advocate through G20
    membership, inclusion in an expanded Financial Stability Board (FSB) and Turkey’s
    offer to host the G20 summit soon. This is due to the threat from a Group of
    Thirteen/Fourteen (G13/14) competitor that would exclude Turkey from top-tier
    membership, Turkey’s rising relative capabilities as the 6th largest economy in Europe
    and the 17th largest in the world, and its financial stability amidst the crisis of 2007-2009
    (Today’s Zaman undated).
    A third school portrays Turkey both as a status-seeking assertive advocate of
    conservative economic ideas, but more importantly as a mediating leader of a new middle
    power coalition. This is due to Turkey’s financial stability, frustration with its bid for
    membership in the European Union (EU), its temporary membership on the United
    Nations Security Council (UNSC), and the choice of Istanbul as the capital of European
    culture in 2010 (Saunders 2010).
    A fourth school sees a stronger, skillful, undistracted Turkey acting at the G20’s third
    summit in Pittsburgh to secure several tangible benefits: domestic political attention and
    acclaim; greater voice and vote in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World
    Bank; greater resources for those international institutions; support for Turkish exports;
    an equal place in the new permanent priority centre of international economic cooperation
    that the G20 proclaimed itself to be; and an opportunity to meet more with
    United States president Barack Obama (Şekercioğlu 2009b).
    A fifth school urges a middle power Turkey to be the leading advocate of a non-western
    approach and thus to move from member to leader to realize its own interests. These
    interests consist of advancing its international standing, energy security, Middle East
    peace, global financial stability, reform of international financial institutions (IFI), its
    influence in the western-dominated EU, International Monetary Fund (IMF), NATO and
    United Nations (UN), and rendering effective and even permanent the G20 summit by
    expanding its agenda and adding a secretariat (Bradford and Linn 2009). This Turkish
    role arises because the G20 “mirrors the emerging global cultural matrix” and Turkey’s
    own dualistic identity and because Turkey stands at ‘the crossroads of a multitude of
    critical geographies.”
    Puzzles
    While each of these schools has much to contribute, none are based on a detailed
    examination of what Turkey has actually done and why it has done it in the G20 thus far.
    None offers a robust recognition of Turkey’s vision of using the G20 to shape global
    order for the benefit of others, rather than just itself, as it did at the first G20 summit in
    November 2008. Nor is there any hint of Turkey’s essential character as a Western
    democracy in actively animating Turkey’s place in, approach to and accomplishments in
    the club. Also absent is any explicit awareness of Turkey’s longstanding position as an
    American ally and its importance in shaping Turkey’s membership and participation in
    the club. And none provide an explicit place for any form of a Canadian-Turkish
    relationship, partnership or co-leadership. as dedicated, multicultural democracies, in
    using and shaping the G20 to create a global order on these ideals.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 4
    The Thesis of Canada and Turkey as Critical Connectors
    This study argues that Canada and Turkey have served and can serve as critical
    connectors and democratizing co-leaders to make the G20 the intended genuine club of
    equals providing the effective global governance based on democratic openness and
    respect for diversity. This is due to their similar shift from consumers to producers of
    global financial and economic security, their global geographic, status and international
    institutional position as great connectors, and their devotion to open democracy and
    diversity as polities today.
    But to transform their past accomplishments and potential assets into actual performance,
    they must meet several challenges that await. First, Canada, as host and co-chair of the
    G20 Toronto Summit on June 26-27, 2010, must advance the G20’s broad but bounded
    built-in agenda, respond effectively to the new European-turned-global crisis and make
    the G20 function as a genuine institutionalized, systemic summit club where the
    diplomacy of equals, the diplomacy of leaders and the diplomacy of the future can
    flourish to produce effective results (Kirton 2010). Second, Turkey must build on this
    foundation to design and implement a G20 strategy that goes beyond using its
    membership and potential hosting to enhance its status and advance immediate interests
    to meet the core challenges that the full G20 and global community commonly confront.
    And third, Canada and Turkey must find a way to work together more closely to have the
    G20 realize its full potential from Toronto in 2010 to Turkey in the years ahead.
    Canada’s G20
    Canada and the G8
    Canada has long known what it is like to be excluded from the inner circles of global
    governance, despite its striking systemically significant capabilities and the world’s clear
    need for them (Kirton 2007). Canada was excluded from the Permanent Five (P5)
    members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) in 1945, from Berlin Dinner-4
    of NATO since 1948, and from the Group of Five (G5) finance ministers who first started
    meeting in the Library of the White House in 1973 and continued without Canada and
    Italy until 1986.
    Canada was also physically absent from the first G8 summit of six leaders, held at
    Rambouillet, France, in November 1975. But even before it opened, its architect Henry
    Kissinger had promised the Canadians that there would be a second summit, which the
    U.S. would host and invite Canada to.
    Kissinger knew that he needed Canada inside his new concert. He needed it not as
    another loyal North American ally to support whatever the American president proposed,
    or to balance Europe’s Italy that the French had allowed in at Rambouillet. Rather
    Kissinger, the ultimate realist, coldly calculated Canada’s relative capabilities in their
    global context and quickly concluded that Canada’s first tier capabilities in oil, minerals,
    food and soft commodities were needed inside the concert to stop the copycat cartels
    sprouting everywhere in the wake of the oil embargo of the Organization of Petroleum
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 5
    Exporting Countries (OPEC) in October 1973 and the uranium fuelled Indian nuclear
    explosion in May 1974. Such capabilities have continued to give Canada great relevance
    in the 21st century, where Prime Minister Stephen Harper has accurately called Canada
    an emerging energy superpower and an emerging clean energy superpower in the world.
    Power was backed by principle. In Kissinger’s conception and construction, the G8 was a
    modern democratic concert, designed and devoted, as its first communiqué proclaimed, to
    protect within its members and to promote globally, the values of “open democracy,
    individual liberty and social advance.” Canada was then a durable democracy, indeed a
    charter member and great European-American connector of the North Atlantic political
    community, with a democratic tradition dating back on its British side and through its
    own sovereign to the Magna Carta of 1215. As Prime Minister Harper put it, in his news
    conference at the conclusion of the 2009 Pittsburgh G20 summit, Canada stood out as a
    democratic country, unbroken by foreign occupation, civil war or civil strife for
    centuries.
    In the initial Group of seven (G7), Canada supported its American ally when convenient,
    and its French and British mother countries too. It also allied with the rapidly rising
    global powers of Japan, German and Italy, as the other powers still excluded from the
    UNSC-P5 and, along with Italy and Japan, from the Berlin Dinner 4 too. Liberal Prime
    Minister Pierre Trudeau’s close relationship with Social Democratic Chancellor Helmut
    Schmidt of Germany helped contain a France that a few years before had actively tried to
    destroy Canadian unity and thus the survival of Canada itself. The two also led the G7 is
    north-south dialogue and development and in instituting the world’s first effective regime
    against terrorist attacks in the air.
    In 1979 Canada’s Progressive Conservative Prime Minister Joe Clark in 1979 supported
    Schmidt in having the G7 produce the first, most ambitious and most effective climate
    change control regime the world has ever seen. Schmidt’s impressive leadership arose in
    part because he knew the world had to go off coal, in part to save the lives of the many
    Turks who were dying of accidents while working in Germany’s many coal mines.2
    Canada as the world’s leading power in uranium and a top tier power in nuclear
    technology induced the G7 to deal not only with conventional energy, but also nuclear
    energy and then nuclear proliferation as well, in a crusade where its closest soul mate was
    antinuclear Japan.
    By the time it hosted its first G7 summit at Montebello in 1981, Canada, focused the
    summit for the first time on north-south development. As host, Canadian prime minister
    Pierre Trudeau talked the new U.S. president Ronald Regan into attending a North-South
    summit in Cancun to prepare for global negotiations for a new world order between the
    rich North and the poor South. Backed by Japan, Germany and Italy, Canada also made
    the G7 explicitly a new, effective centre of global security governance in the world.
    2 On May 21, 2010 it was reported that rescuers in Turkey found the bodies of 28 miners in a damaged coal
    mine, making the methane-gas explosion three days earlier one of the deadliest mine accidents in Turkey
    in recent years.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 6
    Canada thus had a vision of world order, on both the defining North-South economic and
    East-West security dimensions that it successfully advanced through its place in the G7.
    Canada’s Conception, Creation and Chairing of the G20 Finance, 1999-2008
    This Canadian tradition or reaching out across existing divides to embrace rising powers
    from a more diverse world dated back to Canada’s role in creating the modern,
    multiracial Commonwealth in 1947 and 1960, and the Francophonie in 1986.3 It
    continued in 1988 when G7 leaders, meeting in Toronto, identified the emerging process
    of “globalization,” recognized the relevance of the rapidly rising Asian economies and
    called for “the development of informal processes which would facilitate multilateral
    discussions of mutual concern and foster the necessary co-operation.”
    In 999 Canada’s finance minister, Paul Martin, conceived and co-created with American
    treasury secretary Larry Summers the G20 forum of finance ministers and central
    bankers. They induced the G7 finance ministers and G8 summit formally to create the
    G20 along with the new Financial Stability Forum (FSF) in 1999. Canada chaired the
    first three annual autumn meetings, and expanded the club’s mission from financial
    stability and sustainable growth to globalization that works for the benefit of all. When it
    hosted the second meeting in Montreal it also vastly expanded the agenda and secured a
    new “Montreal Consensus” to replace the discredited Washington one. When New York
    and Washington were devastated by the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the
    multilateral organizations headquartered there could not meet, Martin stepped up to host
    the third G20 meeting in nearby Ottawa. Here he successfully focused on terrorist
    finance, the American’s core security rather than financial pre-occupation at the time. He
    thus helped the brand new Bush administration in the United States bond to a body
    created only two years earlier by the domestic political rivals it had just defeated at home.
    Canada’s Crusade for an L20, 2004-05
    When Paul Martin became Canada’s Liberal Party leader and prime minister at the end of
    2003, he saw the demands for more inclusive, effective global governance growing, in
    finance, economics, development and fields such as health and infectious disease too
    (Martin 2005). He knew the G20 finance forum he had co-founded was working well. He
    judged the alternative, of ad hoc, constricted, or variable subject specific inclusion, which
    the G8 had been started experimenting with in 2003, to be an inferior approach. He
    concluded the time had come to elevate the G20 finance to the leaders’ level, to meet as
    the demand required on any burning issue of the day. He suggested that the first such
    meeting be held on the margins of the UN summit in September 2005, focused on avian
    influenza and infectious disease. He secured the agreement, with various degrees of
    enthusiasm and acquiescence, from virtually all G20 members save one, George Bush.
    Even he may have come if the topic had been terrorism. But if it had been, other leaders
    might not. Thus, no G20 summit was held.
    3 It was also apparent in 1955 when Paul Martin senior brokered.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 7
    G20 Summitry, 2008-09
    When Lehman Brothers collapsed on September 15, 2008, both U.S. president George
    Bush and Canada’s Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper came to the conclusion
    that a summit was needed in response. Among the many alternatives on offer in those
    crisis ridden times, notably a G8 plus summit preferred by Sarkozy, Bush decided that he
    would host a summit, in Washington and that it must be the G20 one (Price 2009). With
    only 24 days to prepare the summit he needed an existing institution, of proven
    performance, dedicated to the solving the particular crisis of the moment by restoring
    financial stability and sustained growth. Thus the first G20 summit was held on
    November 15, with no members of the G20 finance forum removed, and only Spain and
    the Netherlands added as temporary guests.
    At Washington Harper, as one of the few leaders with economics expertise or experience,
    stood out in calling for exit strategies along with stimulus and joining in the leaderscreated
    consensus on open markets and freer trade. Back home Harper reversed his firm
    policy of running fiscal surpluses, to engage in deficit spending to deliver his fair share of
    the stimulus the Washington summit had agreed. He stood first among G20 members in
    complying with the anti-protectionist promise made there. Indeed, he unilaterally made
    three moves to remove tariffs on imports of capital equipment, making Canada the first
    G8 member to have its manufacturing sector become tariff free.
    At the second G20 summit in London on April 1-2, 2009, Harper focused on reforming
    domestic financial regulation and freer trade, while contributing US$10 billion as
    Canada’s fair share of the overall package of US$1.1 trillion for development (including
    trade finance) that the summit raised. Canada subsequently stood fourth among the 20
    members in complying with the commitments made by the leaders at London.
    At the third G20 summit in Pittsburgh on September 24-25, 2009, Harper called for
    staying the course on stimulus until a private sector led recovery was assured, while
    simultaneously designing the smart exit strategies to be started when it was, prospectively
    within a year. On the eve of the Pittsburgh Summit Harper unilaterally gave the African
    Development Bank CA$2.6 billion in additional callable capital so it could meets its
    members’ development needs in the poorest region, composed of a quarter of the
    countries, in the world. And Harper agreed that he would accept the responsibility of
    hosting and co-chairing with the successfully developed, democratic Republic of Korea
    the subsequent, fourth G20 summit. It will take place in Toronto, Canada’s largest city
    and financial capital, on June 26-27, 2010.
    Turkey’s Position, Performance and Perspective in the G20
    Turkey’s Global Position and Interests
    Turkey will come to the Toronto Summit as an open, diverse, democratic society and
    polity situated at a critical geographic crossroads of a globalizing community, Turkey,
    like Canada confronts growing global vulnerabilities that even its rising capabilities
    cannot cope with on their own. It has thus long looked to international institutions of
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 8
    broadly multilateral and globally plurilateral kinds, including those delivered at the
    summit level, to solve at their global source the challenges that its citizens confront at
    home. Turkey thus has an essential interest in making global institutions adequate,
    appropriate and effective in meeting its and the world’s need, and in enhancing its
    position, responsibilities and resulting influence in them to this end. Thus Turkey’s core
    interests have been getting into the G20 finance from the start as an equal, having the
    same G20, among the many alternatives on offer, elevated to the leaders-level to cope
    with the American/Atlantic-turned-global financial crisis erupting in 2007, and having
    the G20 summit transformed into the permanent, priority forum for international
    economic governance in the world. It has been strikingly successful on all three. Its one
    remaining challenge and ultimate interest is to shape the same G20 as an effective global
    governor guided by Turkey’s distinctive vision of global order needed by today’s and
    tomorrow’s world.
    Turkey’s Treatment and Transformation in the G8
    To comprehend the scale of the accomplishment of Turkey getting in as an equal from
    the start of a G20 that Canada conceived and co-created, it is necessary to examine
    briefly the cadence of Turkey’s place in the earlier and continuing comparable club —
    the democratically devoted G8.
    Before the advent of G20 summitry, Turkey had only a fragile, if strengthening place in
    the predecessor centre of global governance, the G8. During the 35 years of G8
    governance since its start in 1975, Turkey’s relevance was directly recognized only four
    times: at the US hosted first genuine G8 summit (with Russia added) in 1997, the Italianhosted
    2001 summit, the US-hosted 2004 summit and the Italian-hosted summit in 2009.
    But during this period, Turkey’s treatment steadily progress on several dimensions, from
    being a problem producing old security threats in the region through to a partner in
    solving general global problems by pioneering a new global order around the world, to a
    participant with a seat at the table in the G8 itself.
    In 1997, the G8 noted Turkey in paragraph 88 in the context of Cyprus, calling on Turkey
    and Greece to do everything possible to contribute to a solution of the Cyprus problem
    and to work toward solving their bilateral disputes with regard to the Aegean through
    early meetings of the “Wise Men.” Thus Turkey was portrayed, along with NATO
    member Greece, as a source of the old Westphalian security threats of boundary disputes,
    territorial control and sovereign statehood for the Aegean and Mediterranean region.
    Turkey and Greece were admonished and appealed to for action to solve these problems
    by itself.
    By 2001, the G7 only Statement, while welcomes progress in emerging market
    economies in strengthening their domestic financial systems and underlying fiscal
    positions, added: “Recent measures taken in Argentina and Turkey represent positive
    steps in this direction. We commend these efforts and encourage the continued
    implementation of their reform programs in close collaboration with the IMF and other
    relevant international institutions.” Turkey had now become an emerging market
    economy, along with a fellow G20 member, in regard to a global economic problem that
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 9
    the newer non-state created and controlled vulnerability brought. It was one whose
    domestically intrusive and internationally institutionalized actions were applauded, not
    admonished.
    In 2004, Turkey was invited by host George Bush to participate in the G8 summit for the
    first time. This was due to Turkey’s position as a democratic leader in the Broader
    Middle East and North Africa and the Muslim world. The White House announcement
    released on May 26, 2004, titled “President Bush Invites Turkey to G8 Summit as
    Democratic Partner,” read: “President Bush has invited Turkish Prime Minister Erdoğan
    to meet with leaders of G8 countries and regional partners from the broader Middle East
    on June 9, 2004, in Sea Island, Georgia. He looks forward to a discussion of how the G-8
    can support political, economic, and social freedom in the broader Middle East and North
    Africa, and to Turkey’s contribution to this effort. Turkey’s participation in specific
    programs to advance key reforms in this region, especially on democracy, will foster
    collaboration among G8 and EU countries, Turkey, and regional partners.”
    Turkey chose to come. At the summit Bush held a lunch with Turkey and other countries
    from the Middle East, which national security advisor Condoleezza Rice (2004) reported
    on as follows: “On Wednesday, June 9th … During lunch, the G8 leaders will be joined
    by the leaders of Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Jordan, Turkey and Yemen. This is an
    opportunity for the G8 to discuss how it can support freedom and political, economic and
    social progress in the Middle East, and to hear from these leaders about their efforts to
    pursue democracy and reform in their countries, as well as to hear about Turkey’s success
    in developing secular democracy in a country with a mainly Muslim population.”
    The Chair’s Summary of the 2004 G8 summit began: “We met at Sea Island for our
    annual summit to advance freedom by strengthening international cooperation to make
    the world both safer and better. Leaders from Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan,
    Yemen and Turkey joined us at Sea Island.” In the G8 communiqué, Turkey now stood
    front and centre at the very start. Turkey had been transformed into a G8 participant with
    a seat at the table of this leaders-level, top tier club. It was the only G20 member in this
    invited group, and the largest, leading country from a region that had expanded to
    embrace the Middle East and Asia as a central global concern. Turkey thus acquired a
    front-line role in general global governance, from winning the war against he new
    security threat of terrorism to creating a new global order based on democratic values as a
    whole. It had gone from being the source of a small problem to a key part of the solution
    of the greatest global threat of the time.
    The 2004 summit’s outside participation represented an alternative to the expanded
    participation formula that the G8 had pioneered in France in 2003 and that it returned to
    in Britain in 2005, Russia in 2006, Germany in 2007, and Japan in 2008. It was centred
    on a growing partnership with the Group of Five (G5) of Brazil, China, India, Mexico
    and South Africa (with no Middle East state at all) and then the broader Major
    Economies Forum (formerly the Major Economies Meeting of 16) with G20 members
    Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Argentina left out. A third threat to Turkey’s inclusion in the
    centre of global governance came in the vision of Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi and France’s
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 10
    Nicolas Sarkozy of having non-democratic Egypt represent the Middle East, perhaps
    even for the latter in the form of an institutionalized G14.
    However, Turkey defeated the threat, in part because of its membership in the new G20
    summit. On November 12, 2008, Berlusconi, the incoming host of the G8 summit in
    2009, held the first ever Italian-Turkish summit in Turkey’s western province of Izmir. It
    took place immediately before the first G20 summit in Washington DC on November 15,
    which both leaders would attend. The Izmir meeting was to discuss the participation of
    Turkey and some other countries in the G8 (November 10, 2008, Anadolu Agency). Due
    to the G20, Turkey was moving more into the more exclusive, more multi-subject, more
    democratic G8 club
    Turkey thus arrived again at the G8 summit in 2009, after an absence of five years. It
    came along with almost 40 leaders for the discussion of food security on the final day.
    While Turkey’s status was diluted by the large numbers, the food security initiative
    endorsed that day, backed by US$20-22 billion in new money, was the signature
    achievement of the summit overall. In this way Turkey helped make the G8 that year a
    success. It also used its G8 participation for a high-profile achievement that responded
    directly to the top international issue on the minds on the minds of Turks at home (see
    below).
    Turkey as a Founding Democratically Diverse Member of the G20, 1999
    Long before Turkey started partially participating in the G8 club, it had become a full
    equal founding member of the G20 in 1999. It did so because Turkey was a democratic
    part of the west and a proven democratic pillar in the Middle East region and Muslin
    world beyond.
    Turkey had not been on everybody’s list as a candidate for inclusion in the G20 when the
    club was being designed. Its financial and economic weight and systemic significance
    was in doubt back then. It was ultimately accepted due to the American-Canadian-led
    overall strategy of linking Turkey more firmly to the West. As one important component
    of that strategy, the case for G20 membership proved persuasive. The calculation was
    that such a move was needed, given the precarious probability of EU membership for
    Turkey. G20 association would help further solidify the relationship between Turkey and
    the West and deepen the democratic tradition in the country. As a soon-to-be consumer
    rather than a producer of financial security when its financial crisis struck in 2001,
    Turkey was admitted to the G20 (but not the EU it desired), in order to sustain Turkey’s
    character as a stable, Muslim democratic polity in a Muslim-dominated Middle East.
    Turkey’s inclusion paved the way for it to receive the significant financial support it
    needed from the IMF in 2001.
    In the new global governance bodies born in 199, the G20 was the only one to put Turkey
    in the top tier. In the new Financial Stability Forum it was left out. In the new
    International Monetary and Finance Committee, embedded in the IMF, Turkey was not
    one of the 24 members, but only part of a constituency for which another country – a
    European middle power – spoke. Others were called upon to speak for the Middle East.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 11
    Turkey has not yet hosted and chaired a G20 finance ministers meeting, even though non-
    G8 members India, Mexico, China, South Africa, Australia, Brazil and Korea now have.
    Turkey joined Group 2 in the chair rotation of the G20, along with India, Russia and
    South Africa, when this arrangement was created a few years after the G20 finance
    began. South Africa hosted the 2007 G20 meeting, and India the 2002 one. Thus either
    Russia or Turkey would have been due to host the 2012 meeting, had the group follows
    its rotation schedule devised some time ago. However, with France now inserted to host
    the G20 summit and finance ministers meeting (along with the G8) in 2011, the new
    hosting order for the G20 has been redefined.
    Turkey as a G20 Finance Participant
    During the first decade of G20 finance ministers’ meetings, Turkey made its mark. At the
    very first meeting in Berlin in December 1999, Turkey stood out as the emerging
    economy agreeing with Canada, the US and Germany, that stronger codes and standards
    were needed to govern global finance, thus broadening the consensus beyond the G7 to
    embrace a larger, more diverse group.
    , mostly notably in its successful quest for status-enhancing and effectiveness-inducing
    voice and vote reform at the IMF. At Berlin in 2004 Turkey, along with other developing
    nations, wanted to know who would be behind a revision process of the IMF. At
    Australia in 2006 one of the achievements was getting the IMF directors to agree to a
    package of reforms including quota increases for the most significantly underrepresented
    countries, a group that included Turkey, along with China, Korea and Mexico. The G20
    worked out the two-stage approach to reform which would be implemented in subsequent
    years. It was significant, and a vote of confidence, that the international community
    looked to the G20 to help deliver on IMF reform. And the G20 thus delivered an
    enhanced status and influence for Turkey where the IMF acting alone had long failed.
    In 2007 Turkey began to bear of burden of making the G20 as an institution work. That
    year, of the three workshops held in preparation for the ministerial meeting, the one on
    Fiscal Elements of Growth and Development was hosted in Istanbul in July.
    Turkey as a G20 Summit Participant
    The advent of G20 summitry was a further achievement for Turley. Prime Minister
    Erdoğan very much enjoyed G20 summitry for the upgrade in status it represented, for
    the chance to meet G20 leaders face-to-face, and for the opportunity to have bilateral
    encounters with other leaders – those of the US most of all but also France, Germany and
    Russia.
    Washington
    In G20 summitry, Turkey has been an eager participant since the start. At the first summit
    in Washington, amidst the crisis of capitalism and the call for visionary solutions,
    Erdoğan’s priority was securing international regulation and supervision of domestic
    financial systems. He stood with Sarkozy in this regard, in a flexible coalition across the
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 12
    G8-non G8 divide, even though Turkey itself was surviving the crisis with its domestic
    financial system intact. They failed to achieve their desires.
    London
    Turkey attended the London summit sporting one of the strongest records in finance
    within the G20. It also came as a member that could maintain its general public finance,
    according to an analysis prepared by G-20. This analysis showed that Turkey’s inflation
    would drop in 2009 and 2010. G20 financial stimulate packages were expected to
    contribute between half and quarter percent to Turkey’s and other members’
    growth.4 Turkish ministers and officials worked seriously to prepare for the Summit,
    based on Turkey’s important position as an emerging economy. Its experience in
    containing its own crisis in 2001 had a real value for the other countries afflicted now.
    At the summit, Prime Minister Erdoğan secured Turkey’s goal of becoming a full
    member of an expanded, strengthened Financial Stability Board (FSB).5 Following his
    conversation with President Obama, Erdoğan said that Turkey was a country that could
    use its communication network successfully with both the Middle East and the West.
    Obama in return underlined Turkey’s leadership in the region and the importance of
    working together. At the summit’s end, Erdoğan said the decisions taken were “crucial to
    minimize the effects of the global financial crisis” (Journal of Turkish Weekly Friday,
    April 3, 2009). He added that the G20 countries had displayed a common will to
    minimize the social impact of the crisis. “As G20 countries, we will continue to work
    against the global crisis and shape a new international financial structure in the upcoming
    term … Turkey has made serious contributions to relevant efforts within the G-20. An
    IMF delegation will arrive in Turkey in April. We are in a position to reach a result based
    on the talks between Turkey and the IMF.”
    Pittsburgh
    Turkey approached the Pittsburg summit saying its strong response to the economic
    downturn was that those of a developed OECD, not a developing or emerging country,
    and thus that it warranted membership in the EU (BBC: 19 September 2009). The week
    before the summit, Turkey’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate further to 7.25%,
    even as tentative signs emerged that the country’s economy was stabilizing. This showed
    Turkey was contributing to the stimulus that the European and global economy still
    needed. After shrinking severely in the first quarter of 2009, Turkey’s economy had
    expanded bout 5% in the second quarter. However, unemployment remained above 13%.
    Markets were wondering if Turkey would need a loan from the IMF, after the last one
    had expired over a year before.
    4 Turkish finance minister Mehmet Şimşek travelled to London on March 13 for the G20 finance ministers
    and central bank governors meeting on March 14 to prepare for the London Summit in April. He also
    met with executives of the IMF and World Bank before returning to Turkey on March 15.
    5 Minister of Foreign Affairs Ali Babacan stressed that reducing the impact of the current crisis and
    preventing similar crises required a global approach. The G20 meetings play an important role. The
    London Summit was important for international cooperation and coordination. Coordinated action was
    vital in order to overcome the crisis with minimum damage. The world needed a new architecture in
    which no country could say ‘I’m big, I’m special’.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 13
    Turkey was thus in a strong position at the summit. It sought and secured its key priority
    of making the G20 the permanent, priority centre of international economic co-operation.
    For here Turkey was a permanent, equal member of the top tier club. In the IMF and all
    other international financial institutions that mattered, such as the European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Turkey was not.
    Working Together for the Toronto to Turkey Transition
    Toronto 2010
    From this firm foundation, both Canada and Turkey approached the fourth G20 summit
    in Toronto with confidence, in common and convergent ways.6 As the first G20 summit
    co-chaired by an established G8 and emerging G20 only country, the Toronto summit
    was prepared on the basis of a broader and more balanced approach than the previous
    ones chaired by formerly hegemonic Britain and the United States alone.
    Turkey’s Standout Strengths
    Among the newly empowered emerging members of the G20, Turkey stood out in several
    ways. Amidst the new European-turned-global financial crisis catalyzed by the Greece’s
    bailout, Turkey comes (along with Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia) as a once
    consumer-turned-provider of financial security – a sharp contrast to its arrival at the old
    Canadian-chaired G20 in 2001. It also comes as stronger, more globally supportive
    economic power than its neighbour Greece, a country that is already inside a now
    beleaguered EU.
    Turkey also comes as the only country that had raised its credit ratings by one or two
    grades despite the economic crisis; and could catch up with its growth before the
    economic crisis if it continued to grow around 5-5.5 per cent a year. Turkey had started to
    recover in the last quarter of 2009, even if unemployment, at 14.5% in January 2010,
    remained a key concern (Anatolia news agency, Ankara, in English 0734 GMT 15 Apr
    10). Turkey also comes as a country with expertise in Islamic finance which is a rising
    source of capital and investment in the world. It also comes with a leader who is a
    founding G20 summit veteran, as those of the United States, Japan and the United
    Kingdom are not.
    The Agenda
    Canada’s approach to its twin summits of the G8 in Muskoka on June 25-6 and the G20
    in Toronto on June 26-7 is based on a few fundamental features. The first is a sharp
    division of labour between the two summits, with the G8 doing its traditional
    development and security agenda and the G20 doing its traditional finance and economics
    6 The 2010 G20 preparatory meetings of sherpas were held in Mexico City in January 12, Ottawa on March
    26-27, and Calgary on May 24-25. The fifth meeting will be held in Toronto on June 23-24.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 14
    one. Duplication will thus be avoided, the time for global governance doubled, and a
    broader range of issues covered than would otherwise be the case.7
    The Toronto G20 will thus deal fully with Turkey’s key, well established priorities of IFI
    reform in voice and vote and resources, trade, and development. It will add coping with
    the Euro crisis catalyzed by Greece next door, a crisis that affects Turkey more directly
    and severely than Canada or other more distant states. It will also add the unemployment
    that afflicts Turkey, climate change, clean energy and the food security that its public
    puts in first place among their concerns.
    Participation
    Second, each summit will have fewer participants than its predecessors, and allow the
    G20 leaders to behave more as real leaders the way they do in the smaller, more
    likeminded, informal G8. As a result, under Canadian hosting and chairing of the G8 and
    G20, Turkey’s relative position is enhanced. At the 2010 G8 summit in Muskoka, the ten
    countries invited as guests are generally so small and new that they pose no threat to
    Turkey’s standing in the world.8 At Muskoka there will be no G8-G5 meeting and no
    MEM-17 one. All the G5 and MEM members will be only at the G20 in Toronto, along
    with Turkey as a full equal all the time. Egypt will be absent from the G20. It has been
    invited to Muskoka, even though when Canada invited Egypt to the last G8 summit
    Canada hosted, in 2002, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak chose not to come. To
    Toronto Canada has invited as weighty guests only Spain and the Netherlands, giving
    Turkey’s leader a chance to perform and lobby in ways that advance Turkey’s European
    interests.
    Domestic Acclaim
    Third, this division of labour for the agenda and differing outside participation allows the
    leaders of Turkey and Canada to respond well to the key concerns of their citizens and
    voters back home. This is of particular importance to leaders who might face an election
    soon, as Prime Minister Harper leading a minority government always might and Prime
    Minister Erdoğan might as well.
    A GlobeScan poll of 25,000 respondents across 23 countries, taken for the BBC from
    June 19-October 13, 2009 showed those in Turkey rated the rising cost of food and
    energy as the most serious of the ten problems offered, rather than the extreme poverty
    that was in first place globally at 71% that will be dealt with at Muskoka or the
    environment and pollution in second at 64% or climate change in sixth at 58%. Turks
    also rated terrorism as one of their top three global problems, along with those in India,
    Pakistan, Indonesia, Spain and the UK. Globally, food and energy prices stood first as the
    issue that respondents had talked with friends and family about recently, while in Turkey
    7 Trade may well be dealt with by the G8 as well as by the G20.
    8 These are Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Malawi (as chair of the African Union), Nigeria, Senegal and South
    Africa, Columbia, Haiti and Jamaica. These ten, together with the G8’s ten (including two from the EU)
    make up a different “Muskoka G20,” still small enough and democratically like-minded enough (save
    for Egypt) for productive discussions to be held.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 15
    terrorism was in first place here. The Toronto G20 will deal with terrorist finance and
    terrorism as a whole. Food is due to be dealt with at both summits.
    In Canada, the state of the global economy was the issue most talked about with family
    and friends. A subsequent Canadian poll, taken from April 30-May 3, 2010 showed
    that—Canadians saw global warming as the most important agenda item (at 33.7%)
    facing world leaders at the forthcoming Muskoka-Toronto summits, with economic
    recovery in second at (27.2%) (Nanos 2010). Climate will be dealt with at both summits .
    Moreover Canadians felt Canada’s place in the world was strongest in freedom,
    democracy and human rights, with economic recovery second, open markets third, child
    and maternal health fourth, nuclear security fifth and global warming in sixth and last
    place. The first issue will feature at Muskoka and the second at Toronto, allowing Canada
    to play from its domestically perceived strengths at both summits it will host.
    G20 summits have dealt, along with the economy, with terrorist financing from the start
    and with food and energy since Pittsburgh in a serious way. The G20 finance forum had
    long had a strong track record here as well. There is thus a strong popular base for
    Turkish and Canadian leaders in contributing to make the G20 a central global
    governance forum.
    Format
    Fourth, Canada, Turkey and their colleagues have redesigned the G20 summit for
    Toronto so that finance ministers will be absent and the many heads of multilateral
    organizations invited will sit in the second row, as civil servants usually do, and speak
    only when they are spoken to regarding their technical expertise. All leaders, including
    Turkey’s will thus have more airtime to speak and be heard, especially as the heads of
    these multilateral organizations overwhelmingly come not from Turkey but from other
    states.
    This format allows more flexibility and spontaneity for leaders, who could thus use their
    summit time together to address the crises erupting at the time. In this regard, financial
    sanctions are relevant not only for terrorist finance but also against the North Koreans
    that have just attacked their neighbour to the south and against Iran against which a new
    round of UN sanctions seems soon to come. President Obama used his Pittsburgh G20
    summit to send a message to a nuclear committed Iran. Given this precedent, the leaders
    of Turkey and Brazil, along with a supportive South Africa, could use their free time at
    Toronto to advance their distinctive approach to this issue as well.
    Shaping the G20 System for the Future
    Looking ahead, Turkey sees the G20 as a central institution of global governance in
    which it is eager to play a leadership role. At the start of 2010, when the question of
    defining a hosting order for the now permanent G20 summit, after the French year in
    2011, Turkey, along with Mexico and Russia, offered to accept this responsibility in the
    near term.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 16
    Turkey’s vision for the future G20 contains a desire to expand its agenda (Kim 2010). It
    views the G20 as having both the power and responsibility to address issues beyond the
    finance core. This is particularly the case as finance and economics affect people as a
    whole and their central concerns. It is also because the G20 finance ministers and central
    bank governors have shown their capacity to make concerted efforts in broader field.
    Turkey’s central candidates for agenda expansion are climate change and poverty. These
    are highly compatible with those of Korea as chair of the November 2010 summit and
    with similarly placed members such as Mexico and South Africa.
    It is far too soon to forecast what Turkey’s key priorities might be when it hosts its first
    G20 summit. But several appropriate and attractive candidates arise. One is the need,
    beyond the IMF’s conditionality and even flexible credit lines, for additional financial
    safety nets and swaps that can be quickly deployed. A second is development that is
    driven more by the private sector, a vision that recently graduated Korea will advance at
    its G20 summit in Seoul in November and might at Toronto too. A third is development
    amidst diversity and danger. A fourth is helping get the Millennium Development Goals
    (MDGs) delivered by their fast approaching due date in 2015. A fifth is domestic
    financial regulation that works for and with Islamic finance. A sixth is climate change
    and clean energy, led by a Turkey on track to increase its share of renewables from the
    existing 20% to 30% by 2020.
    More broadly, as Turkey will be the first country from the Middle East to host the G20
    summit, its essential character as a country that durably respects democracy and diversity
    will stand out. It can thus pave the way to showing how development through democracy
    and diversity can bring progress to that troubled region of the world, and to the global
    Muslim community that lies beyond.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 17
    References
    Alexandroff, Alan S. and John Kirton (2010), “The ‘Great Recession’ and the Emergence
    of the G20 Leaders’ Summit,” in Alan S. Alexandroff and Andrew Fenton Cooper,
    eds., Rising States, Rising Institutions: Can the World Be Governed? (Washington
    DC: Brookings Press).
    Aysan, Ahmet Faruk (2010), “Country Fact Sheet – Turkey,” in Christoph Pohlmann et
    al., eds. The G-20: A “Global Economic Government” in the Making? (Freidrich
    Eberhart Stiftung: Berlin).
    Bradford, Colin and Johannes Linn (2009), “The G20 Summit – It’s Significance for
    World and for Turkey,” Turkey’s MFA Quarterly International Economic Issues,
    and Brookings Paper, March.
    Kim, Cynthia J. (2010), “Ambassadors divided over role of G20,” The Korea Herald 27
    May
    Kirton, John (2010), “Prospects Progress through Partnership: Prospects for the 2010
    Muskoka-Toronto Summits,” June 4, www.g8.utoronto.ca
    Kirton, John (2010c), “G8 and G20 Summitry: Prospects for 2010 and Beyond.” Paper
    prepared for the Center for Dialogue and Analysis on North America (CEDAN),
    Tecnologico de Monterrey (ITESM), Mexico City, March 11-12.
    Kirton, John (2010d), “The G20 Summit as an International Negotiation Process:
    Shaping the Systemic Summit Club for Toronto and Seoul.” Paper prepared for an
    international conference on “G20 Seoul Summit: From Crisis to Co-operation,”
    hosted by the Korean Association of Negotiation Studies, sponsored by the Institute
    of Foreign Affairs and National Security, Seoul, Republic of Korea, May 19-20.
    Kirton, John (2010b), “Assessing G8 and G20 Performance, 1975–2009.” Paper prepared
    for a panel on the “Relevance and Legitimacy of the G8 and G20” at the annual
    convention of the International Studies Association, New Orleans, February 17-20,
    2010.
    Kirton, John (2010a), “The G20 Finance’s Global Governance Network,” in Alan S.
    Alexandroff and Andrew Fenton Cooper, eds., Rising States, Rising Institutions:
    Can the World Be Governed? (Washington DC: Brookings Press).
    Martin, Paul (2005), “A Global Answer to Global Problems,” Foreign Affairs
    (May/June).
    Nanos, Nick (2010), “Global Warming Top G8/G20 Priority for Canadians,” Nanos
    Policy Options Poll, June 2, 2010.
    Rice, Condoleezza (2004).
    <www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/rice040601.htm> (June 2010).
    Saunders, Doug (2010), Globe and Mail May 29, 2010, video reporting. Available at:

    article1585508/?cid=art-rail-g20
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009), CIGI, July 8.
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009b), “National Perspectives on Global leadership,” NPGL
    Soundings, September 27.
    Today’s Zaman (undated)
    Link to the press briefing given by a Turkish official at the 2004 G8 summit
    http://www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/turkey040609.html
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 18
    Appendix A: G20 Compliance, London Summit 2009
    Member Sept 2008 April 2009 September 2009
    N=1 N = 5 N = CCN =
    Germany +1 +1
    United Kingdom +1 +1
    France 0 +1
    Canada +1 +0.8
    European Union +1 +0.8
    Australia +1 +0.8
    Russia 0 +0.4
    United States 0 +0.4
    Brazil +1 +0.2
    Japan +1 +0.2
    Saudi Arabia +0.2
    Turkey +0.2
    Italy +1 0
    Mexico +1 0
    South Africa +1 0
    South Korea 0
    China 0 –0.4
    India 0 –0.4
    Indonesia 0 –0.4
    Argentina 0 –0.6
    All Average +0.58 +0.23
    G8 Average (9) +0.75 +0.62
    Non-G8 Average (11) +0.50a –0.03
    Note: G8 members are in bold.
    a Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and South Korea were excluded from this calculation due to lack of compliance data.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 19
    Appendix B: Shocks 2009-2010
    Subject Status Source Spread Speed Scale:
    Deaths
    Scale:
    Destruction
    Democracy
    in Doubt
    Political Security
    Afghanistan War Old-New BMENA
    (Afghanistan)
    Bilateral
    Border
    (Pakistan)
    Regional
    (BMENA)
    Yes
    Korea –
    Cheonan
    War Old Asia (North
    Korea)
    Bilateral
    Border
    49
    NYC Terrorism New Yemen-USA Africa-America 0 0
    Detroit (Dec
    12/09)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    New York City
    (May 2/10)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    Moscow (Mar
    29/10)
    Terrorism New Russia N/A 38 Yes
    Energy-Environment
    Haiti Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas (Dominican
    Republic)
    30,000-
    50, 000
    Chilean
    Earthquake
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas N/A N/A 300
    Icelandic
    Volcano
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Europe
    (Iceland)
    Europe-North
    America
    1 day 0
    Gulf of Mexico Environment-
    Energy
    New –
    human
    accident
    USA America-
    Mexico
    April 20-
    ongoing
    11
    Finance-Economy
    2007-9
    American-
    Atlantic
    Banking-
    Finance
    New USA-Britain-
    Germany
    Global 18 months 0 No
    Greece Debt Sovereign Debt Old Greece Europe Weeks 3 Yes
    European Debt Sovereign Debt
    (Bank)
    Old (New) Europe Global 1 day 0 Yes
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 20
    Appendix C: Leader Continuity in G8/G20 Countries
    G8 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 1975)
    Summit 2
    (Jun 1976)
    Summit 3
    (May 977)
    Summit 4
    (Jul 1978)
    Summit 5
    (Jun 1979)
    Summit 6
    (Jun 1980)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    France 0 d’Estaing D’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing Sarkozy = 4
    United States 2 Ford Ford Carter Carter Carter Carter Obama = 2
    Britain 2 Wilson Callaghan Callaghan Callaghan Thatcher Thatcher Cameron = 1
    Germany 0 Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Merkel = 5
    Japan 2 Miki Miki Fukuda Fukuda Ohira Ministersh Kan = 1
    Italy 2 Moro Moro Andreotti Andreotti Andreotti Cossiga Berlusconi =
    9
    Canada 2 N/A Trudeau Trudeau Trudeau Clark Trudeau Harper = 5
    Russia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Medvedev =
    3
    European Union 0 N/A N/A Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins
    Total: 10
    G20 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 2008)
    Summit 2
    (Apr 2009)
    Summit 3
    (Sep 2009)
    Summit 4
    (Jun 2010)
    Summit 5
    (Nov 2010)
    Summit 6
    (2011)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    United States 1 Bush Obama Obama Obama Obama Obamaa 3
    Britain 1 Brown Brown Brown Cameron Cameron Cameronb 1
    Canada 0 Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Harperc 4
    Korea 0 Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Leed 4
    France 0 Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy 4
    Argentina 0 Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchnere 4
    Australia 0 Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Unknown 4
    Brazil 0 da Silva da Silva da Silva da Silva Unknown Unknown 4
    China 0 Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu 4
    Germany 0 Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel 4
    India 0 Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh 4
    Indonesia 0 Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono 4
    Italy 0 Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconif 4
    Japan 2 Aso Aso Hatoyama Kan Kan Kan 1
    Mexico 0 Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón 4
    Russia 0 Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev 4
    Saudi Arabia 0 Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah 4
    South Africa 1 Motlanthe Motlanthe Zuma Zuma Zuma Zuma 2
    Turkey 0 Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğang 4
    Total: 5
    Notes:
    a. Assumes Barack Obama completes his term as president.
    b. Assumes the coalition holds and no election is called.
    c. Assumes no Canadian election is called before 2012.
    d. Assumes Lee Myung-bak completes his term as president.
    e. Assumes the 2011 Argentinian elections are not scheduled before the G20 summit.
    f. Assumes no change in government. Next election date is variable.
    g. Next election date is variable.
    h. Masayoshi Ohira died a few days before the 1980 G7 Venice Summit. Japan was represented by Saburo Okita,
    minister of foreign affairs, Noboru Takeshita, minister of finance, and Kiyoaki Kikuchi, the prime minister’s personal
    representative (sherpa).
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 21
    Appendix D: Finance Experience of G20 Leaders in 2010
    Country Head Ministerial Experience Professional Experience Education
    United States Bush 0 0
    United States Obama 0 Lawyer
    Britain Cameron 0 0 Economics
    Canada Harper 0 Accountant MA Economics
    Korea Lee 0 Businessman
    France Sarkozy Budget, 1992
    Interior, 2002, 2005
    Economy, finance, and
    industry, 2004
    Lawyer
    Argentina Ki rchner 0 Lawyer
    Australia Rudd 0 0
    Brazil Da Silva 0 0
    China Hu 0 0
    India Singh Finance, 2008 Economist, IMF
    Governor of the Reserve
    Bank of India, 1982-1985
    PhD Economics
    Indonesia Yudhoyono 0 0 PhD Agricultural
    Economics
    Italy Berlusconi 0 0
    Japan Kan Finance Minister, 2010
    Deputy Prime Minister
    Mexico Calderón 0 0 MA Economics
    Russia Medvedev 0 Lawyer
    Saudi Arabia Abdullah Chair of the Supreme
    Economic Council
    0
    South Africa Zuma 0 0
    Turkey Erdoğan 0 0

  • Fetullahs Businessman  flex their newfound political power

    Fetullahs Businessman flex their newfound political power

    Wednesday, June 23, 2010
    Rep. Bill Pascrell, center, and Levant Koc, right, of the Interfaith Dialog Center, with Mehmet Sahin of the Turkish Parliament.
    BY HERB JACKSON
    The Record
    WASHINGTON CORRESPONDENT

    Turkic businessmen and community leaders packed a posh Washington hotel to announce their new national group, and invited members of Congress to learn about their growing population and economic power.

    “I want to see all the Jersey guys,” says Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr., D-Paterson, who is quickly surrounded in the Willard Hotel ballroom. “Are these the guys that own all the restaurants?”

    Census data show Pascrell’s district is home to the biggest concentration of Turks in New Jersey, and as he works the room, he waves to members of the band he recognizes from events in Passaic County. He also meets Mehmet Sahin, a member of the Turkish Parliament who, among other things, is seeking contacts for an associate who wants to open a hotel in New Jersey.

    Near the buffet table, Rep. Scott Garrett, R-Wantage, takes a break from his tabbouleh to debate with a Westfield businessman about whether Governor Christie really will cut property taxes.

    Congressmen wooing new business to their districts or debating local politics is hardly new terrain, and in that sense, the opening gala of the Assembly of Turkic American Federations (A fetullah Gulen Organization)last month is like thousands of other receptions every year in Washington.

    But the formation of the ATAF, which highlights an Islamic identity that makes some secular Turks uneasy, comes as Turks are playing catch-up in the Washington influence game.

    They especially want to counter the influence of Armenian-Americans, whose No. 1 issue in Washington for decades has been a United States declaration that the deaths of 1.5 million Armenians in Turkey from 1915 to 1923 were genocide.

    Turkey denies the charge, and disputes what Rutgers University genocide expert Alex Hinton says is a consensus of historians.

    When the latest genocide affirmation resolution passed the House Foreign Affairs Committee by a razor-thin 23-22 margin in March, Turkey briefly recalled its ambassador, and congressional opponents warned that full passage in Congress would damage relations with an important ally.

    Co-sponsors of the measure — including the entire New Jersey delegation except Pascrell — do not share that fear.

    “It should not injure a relationship built on many other things,” said Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., who added that his attendance at the ATAF gala was not a sign he was changing his support for the genocide resolution.

    Until recently, Turkey argued its case in Washington primarily through influential former members of Congress who registered with the Justice Department as foreign agents of its government.

    Over the past decade, a few hundred congressional staffers and a handful of members of Congress also took trips funded by Turkish-American groups to Ankara, Istanbul and other cities.

    Starting in 2007, however, the first of two federal political action committees registered, and the principal leader for one of the PACs also registered as a federal lobbyist in 2008.

    By contrast, Armenian groups had spent $2.6 million from 1999 through 2007 on lobbying, and made $569,000 in contributions through federal PACs.

    “We’re historically disorganized,” said Levent Koc, chief executive of the Interfaith Dialog Center founded in Carlstadt and now based in Newark, who invited many of the New Jersey officials to the reception. “We decided to come together for better coordination and communication.”

    The ATAF is an umbrella for 150 separate local organizations around the country, including Koc’s center, the Turkish Cultural Center in Ridgefield and the Pioneer Academy of Science in Clifton.

    All are affiliated with Turkish Muslim scholar Fethullah Gulen, Koc said. Gulen, who now lives in Pennsylvania, advocates a conservative brand of Islam that condemns terrorism and advocates more interfaith cooperation and science education. He was acquitted in absentia of what supporters called politically motivated charges in Turkey of advocating an Islamic state.

    Koc said the new group’s primary goal is to foster better understanding of Turkic people — a term that includes not only those from Turkey but also those from such countries as Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan — and cooperation between Muslims and other faiths.

    It’s not connected to the Turkish government or Turkish politics, he said.

    But one person attending the reception, South Hackensack chemical importer Tarik Ok, said one reason the ATAF was forming now was, “The government suggested we all go under one roof.”

    The new group has the leader of a much older group with a similar name uneasy.

    Gunay Evinch, president of the 30-year-old Assembly of Turkish American Associations, said he has asked the newly formed Assembly of Turkic American Federations to change its name and make its ties to the Gulen movement clear.

    “I told them it’s unnecessarily confusing, and it would be better to define yourselves as who you are, a sect movement within Islam,” said Evinch, who has already received mail at his Washington headquarters intended for the other group.

    Evinch said his group and the Turkish Coalition of America, which created a PAC in 2007 and registered to lobby in 2008, have worked hard to increase Turkish influence in Washington by getting American Turks to overcome a reluctance to make campaign contributions.

    “Turks did not [traditionally] reach into their pockets to give to campaigns, they thought it was corrupt,” he said. “The PAC educated people to understand that in the U.S. you can give to campaigns.”

    Evinch said a key difference between his ATAA and the new ATAF is that his group advocates only on issues important to Turks and Turkey, including the Armenian resolution and questions surrounding Cyprus.

    “We don’t advance the cause of Islam or a sect of Islam, and we don’t do interfaith dialogue based on Islam or any religion,” he said. “We also don’t import Turkish politics into our community.”

    Koc said that while it supports better understanding of Islam, his group is not limited to Muslims.

    “I cannot say we’re faith-based. Some scholars say this is a religiously motivated social movement. That doesn’t mean we are serving only Muslims or Turks. We serve all,” Koc said.

    He also disputed any religious motivation in seeking a change in Turkey’s government.

    “There’s a new generation in Turkey, and it’s more open. People opposed to this change are blaming religious people, but there are change supporters who are left wing and right wing, some of them are old socialists,” Koc said.

    “When they try to change the status quo, people who want the status quo blame Muslims. I don’t know why.”

    E-mail: [email protected]