Tag: Donald Trump

  • : Understanding Trump, Stratfor Talks, beyond Merkel

    : Understanding Trump, Stratfor Talks, beyond Merkel

    Not rendering correctly? View this email as a web page here.
    November 25, 2016

    A Simple Tool for Understanding a Trump Presidency

    We hear all the time about how the world “should” work. Self-proclaimed liberals and conservatives, Keynesians and Reaganites, humanists and hawks, globalists and nationalists have crammed the airwaves and filled our Twitter feeds with policy prescriptions, promoting their worldview while scorning others’. But after the emotionally charged year this has been, I suspect many people are growing weary of big theories and cursory character assassinations. Instead, it may be time to replace the pedantry with something more fundamental — and less divisive — in which to ground our thoughts and make sense of the world.

    Rather than focusing on what should happen, perhaps we would do better to turn our attention to what will happen. And in this, geopolitics can come in handy. Read more…

    Building a More Efficient World

    All countries needs basic infrastructure. Some come by it more easily than others.

    Europe Needs More Than Merkel

    The EU’s fragmentation and U.S. policy shifts will leave less room in which Berlin can operate.

    OPEC Inches Toward a Market Intervention

    Saudi Arabia is so desperate for a deal to boost oil prices, it is likely willing to compromise enough to get one.

    Stratfor Talks Podcast

    Listen to a year’s worth of conversations and insights into major geopolitical issues, from Mosul to North Korea, Chinese renditions to crises in Venezuela.

  • Add your name: Hand recount or audit in key states

    Add your name: Hand recount or audit in key states

    From: Justin Krebs, MoveOn.org Political Action [mailto:[email protected]]
    Sent: Wednesday, November 23, 2016 1:28 PM

    Subject: Add your name: Hand recount or audit in key states

    When we hold an election in this country, every vote should be counted fairly and transparently. That’s an essential principle of our democracy.

    Dear MoveOn member,

    When we hold an election in this country, every vote should be counted fairly and transparently. That’s an essential principle of our democracy.

    Here’s what we know about the elections held two weeks ago: Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump in the popular vote by more than 2 million votes1—but the results in a few key states mean that the outcomes of the electoral vote are likely to come down to as few as 100,000 votes. That’s why Americans deserve to be fully confident that all votes in this election are counted fairly before the Electoral College meets in mid-December.

    There is an opportunity right now to give us greater confidence in our elections, both this year and in the future—by asking for an audit or hand recount in close states including Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

    Will you sign our petition asking for an audit or recount in key states?

    Ask for an audit or hand recount in key states so the American public has confidence in the election results.

    Sign the petition

    Leading computer scientists and election security experts have urgently called on election officials to transparently verify the results that have been reported by auditing the paper ballots—the actual votes cast—in key states and precincts where only computer results have been tallied.2

    To be clear: the electoral results are not likely to change. However, experts are saying we shouldn’t place all of our trust on a computer alone when the actual votes are in front of us.3

    If you believe that our democracy shouldn’t rely on computer tallies alone, then sign our petition and ask for an audit or hand recount in key states.

    Researchers have repeatedly exposed critical vulnerabilities in electronic voting machines, and in a year like this when the result was close and unexpected and where election hacking repeatedly made the news, we owe it to our democracy to make sure everyone can be as confident as possible in the outcome.4

    This is worth repeating: Americans deserve to be confident that all votes in this election are counted fairly. Fortunately, we don’t have to trust a computer to know the true results of this election. In most counties in key states, there’s also a verifiable paper trail of votes cast. We can all be confident in the results of the election by just double checking the votes as they were cast.5

    That’s why we are calling on the 2016 presidential candidates and election officials to ask for an audit or hand recount in key states, including Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

    Click here to add your name to this petition, and then pass it along to your friends.

    Thanks!

    —Justin K., Anna, Alex, Vicki, and the rest of the team

    Sources:

    1. “Clinton’s popular vote lead surpasses 2 million,” USA Today, November 23, 2016

    2. “Want to Know if the Election was Hacked? Look at the Ballots,” Medium, November 23, 2016

    3. Ibid.

    4. “How to Hack an Election in 7 Minutes,” Politico Magazine, August 5, 2016

    5. “Want to Know if the Election was Hacked? Look at the Ballots,” Medium, November 23, 2016

    You’re receiving this petition because we thought it might interest you. It was created on MoveOn.org, where anyone can start their own online petitions. You can start your own petition here.

    Want to support our work? The MoveOn community will work every moment, day by day and year by year, to resist Trump’s agenda, contain the damage, defeat hate with love, and begin the process of swinging the nation’s pendulum back toward sanity, decency, and the kind of future that we must never give up on. And to do it we need your ongoing support, now more than ever. Will you stand with us?

    Yes, I’ll chip $5 a month.

    No, I’m sorry, I can’t make a monthly donation.

    o.gif?akid=173637.27987146.lgPktK

  • Trump says he wants Nigel Farage to become British ambassador

    Trump says he wants Nigel Farage to become British ambassador

    Donald Trump and Nigel Farage have continued their bromance, with the President-elect calling for the Ukip leader to become the British Ambassador.

    ‘Many people would like to see Nigel Farage represent Great Britain as their Ambassador to the United States,’ he tweeted. ‘He would do a great job!’

    Handout photo of Donald Trump and Nigel Farage as the outgoing Ukip chief's easy access to Donald Trump is provoking tension among Tories as he offers himself up as a deal broker between Downing Street and the next incumbent of the White House.  PRESS ASSOCIATION Photo. Issue date: Monday November 14, 2016. After spending more than an hour with the president-elect, the interim Ukip's leader insisted Theresa May should stop running him down and instead use his closeness to the tycoon-turned-next US head of state to "put the national interest first". See PA story POLITICS President. Photo credit should read: Nigel Farage/PA Wire NOTE TO EDITORS: This handout photo may only be used in for editorial reporting purposes for the contemporaneous illustration of events, things or the people in the image or facts mentioned in the caption. Reuse of the picture may require further permission from the copyright holder.

    The new world order? (Picture: Twitter/Nigel Farage)

    As British ambassador, Farage would be the most senior UK diplomat in Washington.

    Number 10 were not as enthusiastic, saying: ‘There is no vacancy.’

    Naturally, Farage was pleased with the suggestion and the publicity, after he made headlines last week as the first politician to meet Donald Trump after the American election.

    trump_tweeter

    He said he was ‘flattered’ – but didn’t think he was the ambassadorial type.

    However, he said he would ‘love to help’ deal with Team Trump.

    He said Theresa May’s reluctance to use him as a go-between was ‘nonsense’ and she should put ‘petty personal differences’ aside.

    Farage previously helped Trump campaign in Mississippi, where he was described as ‘the man behind Brexit’.

    And Trump predicted the US election would be ‘Brexit plus plus plus’.

    The current ambassador, Sir Kim Dorroch sent a memo back to Downing Street that UK diplomats were ‘well placed’ to deal with the changing political landscape.

    But Farage said it was ‘obvious’ that Sir Kim, who took over in January, should resign as he was part of the ‘old regime’.

    ‘His world view, and the world view of the Trump team are going to be diametrically opposed and I would have thought it would be sensible to put someone there who was likely to get on with Team Trump,’ he told Sky News.

    ‘I don’t think I will be the ambassadorial type. Whatever talents or flaws I have got I don’t think diplomacy is at the top of my list of skills.’

    A Downing Street spokesman said: ‘There is no vacancy. We have an excellent ambassador to the US.’

     

  • TAYYIP VE TRUMPT ILISKISI VE FETO  NASIL GELISMEKDE .. VE ARKA PLANDA KIMLER VAR ……..AMERIKADAN GOZUKEN

    TAYYIP VE TRUMPT ILISKISI VE FETO NASIL GELISMEKDE .. VE ARKA PLANDA KIMLER VAR ……..AMERIKADAN GOZUKEN

    Michael Rubin: Trump Team’s First Ethics Scandal

    By Michael Rubin On 11/16/16 at 12:10 AM

    This article first appeared on the American Enterprise Institute site.

    It’s only been a few days, but already it seems Donald Trump’s presumptive foreign policy and national security team could be weathering its first scandal.

    I have written about General Michael Flynn, the former head of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) and an important Trump adviser, and his sudden about-face on Turkey in both his assessment of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s helpfulness in the war against terror and with regard to exiled Islamic theologian Fethullah Gülen. Gülen is a onetime ally of Erdogan’s whose exile and perhaps execution the Turkish president now demands.

    Former Defense Intelligence Agency Director and Donald Trump adviser Michael Flynn testifies before the House Intelligence Committee on “Worldwide Threats” on February 4, 2014. Michael Rubin writes that he sees a ethics scandal regarding Flynn and his sudden about-face on Turkey in both his assessment of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s helpfulness in the war against terror and with regard to exiled Islamic theologian Fethullah Gülen, whose exile and perhaps execution Erdogan now demands. Gary Cameron/reuters

    What raised so many eyebrows was how sharply the op-ed diverged from Flynn’s previous positions and how it appeared to be in complete conformity with the Turkish government’s positions.

    Now it appears there is more to the story. From The Daily Caller:

    An intelligence consulting firm founded by retired Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, Donald Trump’s top military adviser, was recently hired as a lobbyist by an obscure Dutch company with ties to Turkey’s government and its president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan….

    The piece does not include a disclosure that Flynn Intel Group, the consulting firm that Flynn founded in Oct. 2014, just after leaving DIA, was recently hired to lobby Congress by a Dutch company called Inovo BV that was founded by a Turkish businessman who holds a top position on Turkey’s Foreign Economic Relations Board.

    A review of Dutch records shows that the company was founded by Ekim Alptekin, an ally of Erdogan’s who is director of the Turkey-U.S. Business Council, a non-profit arm of Turkey’s Foreign Economic Relations Board.

    Members of the Foreign Economic Relations Board are chosen by Turkey’s general assembly and its minister of economy. In the role, Alptekin helped coordinate Erdogan’s visit to the U.S. earlier this year.

    Certainly, any sort of disclosure means an ethics omission. This comes on top of Flynn’s attendance at the RT gala in Moscow and his leading chants of “Lock her up” at the Republican National Convention. All should raise broader questions about his judgment.

    Michael Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A former Pentagon official, his major research areas are the Middle East, Turkey, Iran and diplomacy.

    Related Stories

    • Turkey Continues Purge by Suspending 370 Organizations
    • What Next For U.S.-Turkey Relations Under Trump?
    • Trump Aide: U.S. Must Extradite Gulen to Turkey
    • Michael Rubin: Western Journos Afraid to Report Turkey
  • Armenians Should Reach Out to Trump Through Republican Friends in Congress

    Armenians Should Reach Out to Trump Through Republican Friends in Congress

    An unprecedented U.S. presidential campaign came to an end with the unexpected victory of Donald Trump!

    Since the November 8 elections, there has been endless speculation by self-styled Armenian analysts about the President-elect’s business ties with Azerbaijan and Turkey, wrongly concluding that he would side with Armenia’s enemies! Since Trump has made no comments on Armenian issues, no one can really know what his position is likely to be….

    Beyond Trump’s sweeping campaign promises to “drain the swamp in Washington,” and “make America great again,” no one can predict what he might do on domestic or foreign policy fronts. In addition, there is no guarantee that he will stick to the positions he assumed during the campaign. In recent months, and particularly since the election, Trump has moderated his views on a number of major issues, such as banning all Muslims from entering the United States, building a wall along the Mexican border, deporting 11 million illegal aliens, and repealing Obamacare. As Pres. Obama explained during his Nov. 14 press conference, Trump is a pragmatist, not an ideologue with fixed opinions.

    Consequently, rather than speculating about what Trump may do as President, let’s follow Hillary Clinton’s wise advice to keep “an open mind” and give Donald Trump “a chance to lead!”

    Since the President-elect has not yet taken a concrete position on Armenian issues, now is the time for Armenian-Americans to ask friendly Republican members of Congress to convey the community’s vital concerns to Trump and his team. It would be much more difficult to make such contacts once the President is inaugurated in January and has given his marching orders to the new Cabinet. Meanwhile, Turkish and Azeri officials are busy establishing their own contacts with Trump’s transition team and Congress through their high powered lobbyists in Washington! Furthermore, while many heads of state, including those of Armenia and Azerbaijan, have sent congratulatory messages to the President-elect, Turkish President Erdogan personally telephoned Trump, urging closer ties between their countries!

    Already there are warning signs that two of Trump’s closest aides, who may be appointed to top positions in the new administration, are rabid Turkophiles:

    1) Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has repeatedly declared his admiration for Kemal Ataturk, the father of modern Turkey, viewing him as a hero;

    2) Retired Lt. General Michael Flynn wrote an article in The Hill last week, calling on the U.S. government “to adjust our foreign policy to recognize Turkey as a priority. We need to see the world from Turkey’s perspective.”

    While Armenian-American ties with the President-elect are practically non-existent, the community has fortunately cultivated excellent relations with many reelected members of Congress, both Democrats and Republicans, who can adopt bills and pass resolutions on issues of importance to Armenia and Armenians.

    Over 90% of the Congressional candidates endorsed by the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) were elected on November 8. In the House of Representatives, 117 out of the 122 candidates endorsed by ANCA won their election bids, including Congresswomen Jackie Speier and Anna Eshoo, Armenian-American Democrats from California. Regrettably, Cong. Robert Dold (Republican-Illinois), Co-Chair of the Congressional Armenian Caucus, was not reelected; and candidate Danny Tarkanian (Republican-Nevada) lost his bid for the House.

    In the U.S. Senate, 7 of the 11 candidates endorsed by ANCA won their election bids on Nov. 8. Armenian Caucus member Cong. Chris Van Hollen (Democrat-Maryland) was elected to the Senate after defeating Turkish Caucus member Cong. Donna Edwards in the Maryland Primary. Unfortunately, Sen. Mark Kirk (Republican-Illinois), a staunch supporter of Armenian issues, was not reelected.

    Significantly, while 11 members of the Congressional Armenian Caucus did not return to the House due to failure to win, retirement, resignation or seeking other office, the Turkish Caucus suffered a greater loss, with 19 of its members not returning to the House, including Co-Chair Ed Whitfield (Republican-Kentucky) who resigned earlier this year due to an ethics probe.

    The substantial electoral success, enjoyed by Congressional friends of the Armenian community, bodes well for the pursuit of Armenian issues in the new Congress. Given that the Republican Party will be controlling both Houses of Congress and the White House, it is incumbent upon Republican Armenians to win over more members of the majority party, while Democrat Armenians can build on their long-established ties with the minority party. After all, the Armenian Cause, as a nonpartisan issue, should be supported by both parties!

  • America Wins! ….  Donald Trump

    America Wins! …. Donald Trump

    Jerusalem Post November 9, 2016 at 6:55 am

    President-elect Donald Trump gives his acceptance speech during his election night rally, Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016, in New York. (AP Photo/John Locher)

    NEW YORK — Donald Trump will become the 45th president of the United States and its commander-in-chief, a stunning achievement for a complete novice to governing whose campaign was written off by the nation’s political class.

    He defeated Hillary Clinton, the first female presidential nominee of a major party and a former first lady, senator from New York and secretary of state. Shortly after Trump’s victory was called, Clinton called him to concede and congratulate Trump.

    The election of Trump may be the greatest political surprise of the modern era, after the Republican nominee trailed national and state-by-state polls for over 100 consecutive days. The New York real estate tycoon and reality TV star– with no experience in public service– has proposed a ban on all Muslims from entering the US homeland, a wall on the nation’s southern border with Mexico, a trade war with China, a softening with Russia and a ruthless war against Islamists across the Middle East.

    His victory was a shocking rebuke to the outgoing president, Barack Obama, who warned that Trump is temperamentally unfit for the presidency and an existential threat to the very foundations of the world’s oldest democratic republic.

    Stock futures plummeted over 800 points as his victory became apparent. If that drop holds Wednesday morning, it will represent a greater market crash than the world has seen since the Great Recession began in the fall of 2008.

    Clinton severely underperformed in several states that have reliably voted Democratic for over twenty years, and the protectionist movement that fueled Trump’s rise delivered upset victories in the country’s Midwest, a suffering manufacturing region where his pitch to white, working class voters turned the race in his favor.

    Trump won the White House despite 61% of Americans viewing him negatively, according to exit polls. He swept virtually every competitive state in the race: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Pennsylvania.

    “We will get along with all other nation willing to get along with us,” Trump said in his victory speech in New York.

    “The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer,” said the president-elect. “We will deal fairly with everyone — all people, and all other nations.”

    Trump and Clinton largely tapped into coalitions familiar to Republicans and Democrats: White voters mostly voted for him, and a coalition of minority groups went with her. But Trump’s voters turned out in massive numbers– 70% of the electorate identified as white on Tuesday. Clinton’s did not in the numbers she had expected, or needed to secure victory.

    The two candidates offered the American public an unusually stark choice– not simply one between a Republican and a Democrat, but one between a man who is fundamentally an outsider, without experience in politics, and a woman who has spent her entire adult life in government.

    Trump, a billionaire who built a career in New York real estate, came to represent among his supporters an opportunity to shatter Washington into pieces. To his detractors, he was an illiberal demagogue, a sexist and a racist, who has exploited the country’s divisions for political gain.

    Throughout his unlikely campaign, Trump lobbed unprecedented attacks not just at his political opponents, but at veterans, women who accused him of sexual assault, immigrants, a Gold Star family and those who identify as Muslim. Announcing his presidential campaign, he accused Mexico of sending criminals and rapists over the border.

    Clinton tried to cast herself as a pragmatic centrist: An experienced former first lady, senator and secretary of state. But her opponents consider her the consummate politician, willing to say or do anything to retain political power, corrupted by wealth and influence.

    Her decision to operate a private e-mail server while at the State Department marked the launch of her campaign and dogged her throughout, despite the Federal Bureau of Investigation clearing her of any wrongdoing after a yearlong investigation into her practices.

    Exit polls showed voters dissatisfied with both candidates, hopeful for a change and seeking strong leadership. But more than anything else, Americans expressed glee that this presidential election is finally over.

    “I have joined the political arena so that the powerful can no longer beat up on people that cannot defend themselves,” Trump told the Republican National Convention over the summer, accepting the nomination. “I alone can fix it. I have seen firsthand how the system is rigged against our citizens.”

    “I have a message to every last person threatening the peace on our streets,” he continued. “When I take the oath of office next year, I will restore law and order.”

    (c) All rights reserved The Jerusalem Post 1995 – 2016 Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info).

    —-

    This content is published through a licensing agreement with Acquire Media using its NewsEdge technology.