Turkish Forum

Category: Georgia

  • US and Türkiye Must Stand Firm in Support of Georgia’s Democratic Future

    US and Türkiye Must Stand Firm in Support of Georgia’s Democratic Future

     As Georgia prepares to celebrate its Independence Day on May 26th, the occasion must serve not only as a national commemoration, but also as a moment of strategic reflection for its allies and partners particularly the United States and the Republic of Türkiye. At a time when nearly 20 percent of Georgia’s internationally recognized territory remains under Russian occupation in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, silence and disengagement are not options. The world has already witnessed in Ukraine the devastating consequences of failing to push back firmly against Russian aggression before it escalates further.

     Georgia has spent decades pursuing democratic reform, Euro-Atlantic integration, and closer cooperation with the West. American assistance played a central role in strengthening Georgia’s democratic institutions, military readiness, education system, healthcare sector, and civil society. Yet recent policy shifts from Washington risk undermining those hard-earned gains. The suspension of over $95 million in U.S. government assistance in 2024, followed by the deeper USAID cuts and restructuring in 2025–2026, has sent troubling signals throughout the region.

     The sweeping dismantling of USAID programs under the Trump administration effectively halted much of the soft-power infrastructure that supported Georgia’s network of civil society organizations, educators, reform advocates, and democratic institutions. Regardless of political disagreements, abandoning Georgia at a moment of geopolitical vulnerability risks creating a dangerous vacuum that Moscow would eagarly exploit.

     The Georgian people have repeatedly demonstrated their desire for a democratic and European future. Punitive disengagement from Washington weakens not only Georgia, but broader Western credibility throughout the Black Sea and Caucasus regions. Support for Georgia is not charity it is a strategic necessity tied directly to regional security, energy transit, NATO stability, and the containment of Russian expansionism. The Republic of Türkiye must also recognize the seriousness of this moment. As a NATO ally and regional super power with deep historical, economic, people to people and  strategic ties to Georgia, Türkiye cannot afford passivity. Georgia remeins essential to critical energy and trade corridors, including the Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan pipeline and the Southern Gas Corridor, which strengthen both European energy security and Türkiye’s role as a regional energy hub. Stability in Georgia directly impacts Artvin, my dads home State of Rize, and Trabzon, and Türkiye’s broader strategic interests in the Caucasus and Central Asia.

     If the democratic world fails to stand firmly beside Georgia today, the consequences tomorrow may mirror what the international community failed to prevent in Ukraine. The cost of hesitation is always far greater than the cost of principled engagement.

     May 26th must therefore stand as a reminder that Georgia is not alone. The United States and Türkiye must reaffirm their commitment to Georgia’s sovereignty, democracy, and territorial integrity. To stand idle now would not only abandon a loyal partner it would embolden Russian ambitions across the region and weaken the foundations of democratic security itself.

  • “Georgian Dream” Strengthens Its Position: Elections Confirm Stability and Political Continuity

    “Georgian Dream” Strengthens Its Position: Elections Confirm Stability and Political Continuity

    Georgia’s municipal elections, held on October 4, 2025, ended with a decisive victory for the ruling “Georgian Dream” party. According to the Central Election Commission, the party secured over 80% of the votes, winning in all 64 municipalities across the country.

    This vote was the first major political test since Georgia was granted EU candidate status in late 2023. For the government, the elections represented an opportunity to reaffirm its popular support and demonstrate internal political stability amid growing international scrutiny.

    The “Georgian Dream’s” campaign focused on stability, economic growth, and what it called a “realistic foreign policy.” Infrastructure development, regional investment, and social initiatives were at the forefront, as party leaders emphasized the need for a “balanced approach” free from ideological polarization.

    Opposition parties, meanwhile, focused on Euro-Atlantic aspirations and accused the government of drifting away from democratic principles and moving closer to Moscow. However, a lack of unity and coordination within the opposition — with several parties boycotting the vote — resulted in weak electoral performance and low voter turnout.

    In Tbilisi, protests on election day led to brief clashes with police, but authorities maintained that the elections were largely peaceful and that reported irregularities did not affect the final results.

    Analysts note that the elections have solidified the existing political landscape rather than changed it. “Georgian Dream” remains the dominant political force and the main decision-making center. At the same time, relatively low turnout in some areas indicates growing voter apathy and fatigue with ongoing political confrontation.

    Ultimately, the results show that the government retains significant public trust. Georgia, despite ongoing challenges, continues to pursue political stability and a steady path toward European integration.

  • Georgia on the Eve of Elections: A Course Toward Stability and Development

    Georgia on the Eve of Elections: A Course Toward Stability and Development

    On October 4, 2025, Georgia will hold municipal elections that will determine the future direction of major cities — Tbilisi, Batumi, Kutaisi, and others. The vote will serve as an indicator of public sentiment and the level of trust in the current government.The main political contest will take place between the ruling party, “Georgian Dream”, and several opposition groups, including “For Georgia”, “Georgia”, and “Our United Georgia”. Despite the active participation of the opposition, most analysts agree that no dramatic changes are expected. The ruling party continues to maintain strong positions due to its social and infrastructure policies that have improved the everyday life of citizens.Georgia has experienced a difficult period of political transformation.

    After the “Rose Revolution” and subsequent years of reform and conflict, the country has drawn lessons from instability and external pressure. Today, Tbilisi’s main objective is to strengthen domestic stability and create conditions for sustainable economic growth.Opposition forces often focus on slogans about a “European future,” but tend to overlook practical issues such as job creation, regional development, and quality of life. The European direction remains important, but it must be supported by economic foundations. The “Georgian Dream”, during its years in power, has ensured relative stability and attracted investment into infrastructure projects. Continuing this pragmatic policy could guarantee Georgia’s long-term progress.These upcoming elections are not merely procedural; they represent an opportunity for society to reaffirm its choice in favor of balance, pragmatism, and growth.

    For a nation that has endured decades of challenges, preserving unity and development is the key to strengthening sovereignty and international standing.

  • The Strategic Importance of Georgia for the Western World and Türkiye

    The Strategic Importance of Georgia for the Western World and Türkiye

    The Strategic Importance of Georgia for the Western World and Türkiye

    Today’s official visit by the President of Georgia to the Republic of Türkiye comes at a moment of both opportunity and urgency. Georgia is more than a friendly neighbor to Türkiye; it is a strategic partner whose stability, territorial integrity, and prosperity are vital to the security architecture of the Caucasus, the Black Sea region, and by extension, the Western world.

    Türkiye stands as Georgia’s largest foreign investor, a testament to decades of economic and political cooperation. Yet, this relationship must move beyond the economic sphere into a firmer, more visible commitment to defending Georgia’s sovereignty. For Türkiye, safeguarding Georgia’s territorial integrity is not an act of charity it is a matter of self-interest. The security of Georgia directly affects the security of Türkiye’s northeastern provinces, including Rize, Cayeli , Pazar , Artvin, Trabzon, and Giresun, areas bound by centuries of cultural and commercial ties.

    Georgia’s strategic location cannot be overstated. It serves as a critical transit corridor connecting the Caspian basin to European markets via the Baku / Tbilisi / Ceyhan oiil pipeline and the Southern Gas Corridor. These routes bypass Russia and Iran, ensuring energy diversification for Europe and strengthening the resilience of NATO allies against energy coercion. In addition, the Baku–Tbilisi / Kars railway links the economies of the South Caucasus with Türkiye and onweard to Europe, creating a secure, alternative trade artery.

    For the Western world, Georgia is a keystone in the effort to maintain open sea lanes in the Black Sea and secure overland routes for goods, energy, and information. NATO and the EU have reapeatedly emphasized the importance of Georgia’s role in regional stability. Institutions such as the European Parliament, the Atlantic Council, and the OSCE have all stressed that a secure, sovereign Georgia is indispensable to countering malign influence in the Caucasus.

    The shadow of Russian aggression, most vividly seen in the illegal occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia since 2008, is a constant reminder that peace in the Caucasus is fragile. Türkiye, as both a NATO member and a regional power, must send a clear and unequivocal message: the hands of Russia must be kept off Georgia. Public and decisive support for Georgia will not only bolster its resilience but will also signal to Moscow that destabilizing the South Caucasus will come at a cost.

    As someone of Laz heritage, I feel a deep personal connection to Georgia also because of the friends I have in Georgia . The Laz people straddle the historical and cultural landscapes of northeastern Türkiye and western Georgia. Our shared Black Sea heritage is more than folklore it is a living bond that links our communities in Rize, Artvin, Trabzon, and Giresun with our Georgian neighbors. Any instability in Georgia reverberates immediately across the Black Sea region, threatening trade, tourism, fisheries, and cross-border cultural exchange.

    Now is the time for Türkiye to expand its political, military, and economic support to Georgia. This includes enhancing defense cooperation, deepening intelligence sharing, investing in infrastructure that cements Georgia’s role as a reliable transit hub, and advocating for its integration into Euro-Atlantic structures. In doing so, Türkiye will not only be acting in solidarity with the Georgian people but also protecting its own security and advancing the collective stability of the Black Sea region.

    Georgia’s strength is Türkiye’s strength, and its seacurity is a cornerstone of both regional and Western security. The visit of Georgia’s President should mark not just a diplomatic occasion, but the beginning of a renewed, strategic commitment from Ankara one that stands firm against aggression and champions a future of sovereignty, prosperity, and peace in the Caucasus.

    Respectfully,

    Ibrahim Kurtulus 
    Demirhisar Koyu – Rize / Cayeli 
    New York 

  • Ukrainian Citizens at Verkhny Lars: A Challenge That Requires Responsible Action

    Ukrainian Citizens at Verkhny Lars: A Challenge That Requires Responsible Action

    The situation unfolding at the Dariali checkpoint (Verkhny Lars) on the Russian-Georgian border has drawn the attention of not only human rights organizations but also the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR), which has launched urgent proceedings under Rule 39 against both Georgia and Ukraine. The matter concerns a group of Ukrainian citizens who found themselves in a vulnerable position following deportation from Russia.According to publicly available reports, approximately 100 individuals have been held at the checkpoint for more than two months, in conditions that raise serious humanitarian concerns. Human rights advocates have reported a lack of access to proper food, medical services, and humanitarian assistance. One group, having lost hope for a timely resolution, resorted to protest — including acts of self-harm. These are distressing developments that demand attention.In response to appeals from civil society, the ECHR has requested that Ukraine and Georgia provide, by August 6, 2025, information on the following:The precise location and living conditions of the affected individuals;Any risks to their health and safety;Access to medical and humanitarian assistance;Details of the Ukrainian authorities’ efforts to uphold their citizens’ right to return to their home country.State Responsibility Toward Its CitizensUkraine is currently navigating an extremely challenging geopolitical and domestic environment. Nonetheless, even in such difficult times, the state must strive to uphold the fundamental rights of its citizens — regardless of where they are.A crucial question arises: have the Ukrainian authorities responded with sufficient speed and effectiveness to the concerns raised by their citizens and by human rights groups in relation to Verkhny Lars?There appears to be a need to strengthen response mechanisms, both diplomatically and at the level of inter-agency coordination.Delays or silence in matters involving the safety and dignity of citizens can erode public trust. This is especially true in cases where individuals are not simply facing administrative issues, but are trapped in a humanitarian and legal limbo at an international border.An Opportunity for Systemic ImprovementsThis situation presents not only a challenge, but also an opportunity for the Ukrainian state to reaffirm its commitment to protecting its citizens, even in the most complex international contexts.It is essential that such cases are addressed not solely in response to external pressure, but through a proactive and structured national approach aimed at safeguarding the rights and well-being of every Ukrainian abroad. This includes diplomatic engagement as well as the creation of effective, rapid-response mechanisms for assisting citizens in distress outside the country.Amidst ongoing conflict and large-scale displacement, such approaches are more critical than ever. The ability of a state to assist its people —wherever they are — is a defining feature of a mature and responsible democracy.

    The situation at Verkhny Lars calls for serious reflection and recalibration. It is not only a legal obligation, but also a moral duty to ensure that no Ukrainian citizen is left behind in times of need.Those stranded at the border await not only humanitarian support but also a clear signal that their country stands with them — and for them.

  • Azerbaijan Bold Reorientation- Turkiye , Georgia, USA and Israel

    Azerbaijan Bold Reorientation- Turkiye , Georgia, USA and Israel

    A New Chapter in the South Caucasus: Azerbaijan’s Bold Reorientation

    The geopolitical currents in the South Caucasus are undeniably shifting, heralding a new and assertive role for Azerbaijan on the regional stage. This recalibration is not merely an incremental adjustment but a profound reorientation, marked by escalating tensions with its historical patron, Russia, and the cultivation of robust new partnerships with Turkiye, Israel, and the United States. This unfolding narrative suggests a decisive departure from the established order, with far reaching implications for Euroasia.

    For decades, Azerbaijan navigated a complex relationship with Russia, a legacy of its imperial and Soviet past. However, recent events have irrevocably fractured this bond. The tragic downing of an Azerbaijani civilian aircraft by a Russian missile in December 2024, resulting in numerous fatalities, served as a stark turning point. Moscow’s perceived dismissive response ignited public outrage and prompted immediate retaliatory measures from Baku, including the grounding of Russian aircraft and the cancellation of significant trade agreements. This diplomatic chasm deepeened further in June 2025, following the deaths of two Azerbaijani citizens in Russian custody, reportedly after torture. Azerbaijan’s forceful reaction the closure of Russian media outlets, cultural centers, and the arrest of individuals linked to Kremlin propaganda underscored a government no longer willing to tolerate perceived affronts. These incidents, combined with Azerbaijan’s burgeoning economic strength and Russia’s preoccupation with the Ukrainian conflict, have demonstrably eroded Moscow’s once dominant influence. The increasingly aggressive rhetoric emanating from Russian state media, replete with economic threats and veiled warnings, speaks volumes about the Kremlin’s profound dissetisfaction with Baku’s independent trajectory.

    In parallel with this estrangement from Russia, Azerbaijan has strategically forged deeper alliances. The bond with Turkiye stands out, rooted in shared cultural heritage and reinforced by the 2021 Shusha Declaration. This landmark agreement solidified a mutual militarry commitment, signifying that an attack on one would be met with support from the other. Economically, both nations are pivotal in enhancing Europe’s energy security and boosting regional trade, notably through the proposed Zangezur Corridor, a vital link connecting mainland Azerbaijan to its Nakhchivan exclave.

    Israel has emerged as another critical military partner. Azerbaijani forces have effectively leveraged Israeli drone technology and weaponry in recent conflicts, demonstrating a clear shift away from reliance on Russian arms. Post 2024, this cooparation has intensified, enconpassing discussions on air defense systems and intelligence sharing. Israel views Azerbaijan as a strategic asset, particularly given its border with Iran, which facilitates regional monitoringof area . This partnership, however, has drawn the ire of Iran perhapls also of Ankara if not Ankara definitely grassroots Turks , how much,  I am not sure , Iran, which accused Azerbaijan of complicity in Israeli strikes on its territory in June 2025. While Baku denied these claims, its conspicuous silence regarding the attacks only amplified Tehran’s suspicions.

    The United States has also deepened its engagement. Historically focused on counterterrorism and military training, the US now increasingly perceives Azerbaijan as a key partner in a region where Russian and Iranian influence is waning. Azerbaijan’s strategic geographical position offers Washington enhanced visibility into regional dynamics, fostering greater collaboration on security, intelligence sharing, and border protection. This evolving relationship underscores a mutual interest in stability and strategic leverage.

    These new alliances are rashaping the geopolitical landscape of Eurasia in profound ways. Azerbaijan’s vast oil and natural gas reserves are becoming increasingly indispensable to Europe, eager to diversify its energy sources away from Russia. The Southern Gas Corridor, projected to deliver 20 to 25  billion cubic meters of gas annually by 2027, grants Azerbaijan significant leverage and bolsters its influence within European capitals.

    The shift in power has also had a palpable impact on Armenia. Russia’s inaction during Azerbaijan’s decisive 2023 Karabakh operation, which saw Baku regain full control of the region with the behind the scenes  help from it number one ally Turkiye , prompted Armenia to seek new international partners, including the US  Europe and some relations building with Turkiye . A subsequent 2024 border agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, notably brokered without Russian involvement, further underscored Moscow’s diminishing regional sway.

    Conversely, Iran views these developments with growing apprehension. Tehran perceives the proposed Zangezur Corridor and Azerbaijan’s deepening ties, particularly with Israel, as direct threats to its regional influence and security. Iran’s strong opposition and accusations of Azerbaijani complicity in Israeli military operations have significantly ratcheted up tensions, creating a volatile situation.

    Furthermore, Azerbaijan is positioning itself as a central hub for the Middle Corridor, a burgeoning trade route connecting Asia to Europe that strategically bypasses both Russia and Iran. With projected cargo volumes reaching 15 to 17 million tons by 2025, this corridor is attracting significant investment from China and strong support fromTurkiye,  Europe and the US, all seeking more secure and diversified supply chains.

    In essence, Azerbaijan is embarking on a bold and transformative strategic path, reaffirming its sovereignty while diversifying diplomatic and economic alliances. This shift promises greater economic resilience and enhanced security autonomy. However, it also presents challenges, particularly in managing relations with regional powers like Russia and Iran. Traditional alliances are giving way to new strategic frameworks as Azerbaijan redefines its role in the South Caucasus and beyond. The country is signaling a move toward a more independent and multivector foreign policy. Notably, Baku’s engagement with the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) highlights its intent to strengthen ties with Turkic partners. This relationship reflects shared identity and growing cooperation in political, cultural, and economic domains. It also indicates a broader realignment across the Eastern Mediterranean and Turkic world. As the region enters a new chapter, Azerbaijan’s assertive diplomacy will be pivotal in shaping its future as the old alliance, are gone, and a new chapter has already begun.

    Ibrahim Kurtulus 
    Community Activist – NY  
    Rize – Cayeli – Demirhisar Koyu