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TURKIYE’DE YAKLASAN SECIMLER

Meral Akşener, İYİ Parti

Meral Akşener İYİ Parti mitinginde

Upcoming Election

Presidential Elections (August 2014)

1- Turkish presidential elections will take place on August 10 (First Round) and August 24 (Second Round). The winner needs to receive over 50 percent of votes to get elected. If no candidate wins a majority in the first round,  two candidates receiving most votes will compete in the second round.

2-According to the Turkish constitution, presidential candidates need to be 40 years of age or older, college graduate, qualified to be a member of parliament (but not necessarily a current member). In addition, for an individual to run in the contest, at least 20 members of parliament need to petition on his or her behalf. Given the party structure and discipline in Turkey, it is expected that every major party will nominate a presidential candidate; thus, no more than 4 nominees (even less in the case of a joint candidate) will compete in the elections.

3- It is no secret that Prime Minister Erdogan is interested in becoming the 12th President of Turkey. If he decides to run and gets elected, then the ruling AKP, which still holds the majority in the parliament, will need to select his replacement as the chairman of the party and prime minister. If Mr. Erdogan runs for presidency and loses, he will still keep his current position. There is no constitutional need for Mr. Erdogan to resign his office to run for presidency.

Poll Results

If elections held today (among potential presidential candidates)

DATE May 5May 5May 2April 29

April 25

Feb 3

Feb 2

POLL  ORCOPTIMARTUSIVARMETROPOLL

ORC

CIHAN

GEZICI

GUL-232423

47

29

ERDOGAN52243526

51

17

20

BASBUG-111616

AKSENER–94

BAYKAL–3

—3-

7

28

BAHCELI—3

5

12

Parties and nominees (no party has yet declared a nominee) 

Who should be the AKP nominee? (among AKP supporters)

DATE  May 5May 2April 29Feb 2 POLL OPTIMARTUSIVARMAKGEZICI GUL39331229 ERDOGAN49587020 DAVUTOGLU–628 ARINC-3412

Who should be the CHP nominee? (among CHP supporters)

DATE  May 5May 2April 29April 25 POLL  OPTIMARTUSIVARMAKORC KILICDAROGLU1354713 BAYKAL6817- BUYUKERSEN-47- BASBUG284657

Who should be the MHP nominee? (among MHP supporters)

DATE  May 5May 2April 29April 25 POLL  OPTIMARTUSIVARMAKORC BAHCELI2592031 AKSENER17363432 HALACOGLU–14- VURAL–10-

 

Who should succeed Prime Minister Erdogan if he runs and gets elected as president? 

DATEMay 5May 2April 29 POLL  OPTIMARTUSIVARMAK DAVUTOGLU51219 GUL153417 ARINC31916 KURTULMUS31515 YILDIRIM–13

Past Election Results

2009 Local Elections

AKP 38.4 CHP  23.0 MHP  15.9 DTP5.7 OTHER17.0

2011 Parliamentary Elections

AKP49.8 CHP 25.9 MHP 13.1 BDP/IND 6.5 OTHER14.7

2014 Local Elections

AKP45.2 CHP 28.8 MHP 15.2 BDP/HDP 5.8 OTHER5.0

Maps

 By Talha Oz, George Mason University

Click image for larger view

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

Poll Results

2014 Local Elections (March 30)

DATE  March 27 March 18

 

March 17

 

March 12

 

March 8

 

March 5

 

March 5

 

Feb 14

Feb 12

Feb 11

Feb 7

Feb 6

Feb 4

Feb 4

Feb 3

Feb 2

Feb 1

Jan 31

Jan 28

Jan 27

Jan 16

Jan 10

Jan 8

POLL GEZICIANDY-AR 

Anonymous

 

ORC

 

ANAR

 

KONDA

 

Metropoll

 

GEZICI

OPTIMAR

DI-EN

DENGE

ORC

AG

ANDY-AR

CIHAN

GEZICI

KONSENSUS

KONDA

GENAR

METROPOLL

CUMHURIYET

DENGE

SONAR

AKP46.240.7 

29.7

 

45.7

 

46.9

 

49.4

 

41.7

 

37.6

44.8

36.8

48.5

45.0

47.0

43.5

36.4

39.9

41.7

47.7

48.8

43.2

35.5

47.5

42.3

CHP27.231.2 

33.2

 

28.3

 

30.1

 

21.8

 

30.9

 

31.3

29.3

26.4

29.7

29.3

28.0

29.3

28.8

31.3

29.5

28.2

28.0

28.1

26.7

28.9

29.8

MHP15.517.2 

21.3

 

16.0

 

14.3

 

15.8

 

16.7

 

20.6

14.2

18.3

14.1

15.1

14.0

13.6

20.5

19.2

15.4

14.4

13.0

15.0

15.1

12.7

18.7

BDP7.16.8 

7.6

 

6.0

 

5.8

 

8.3

 

8.3

 

7.6

5.6

6.4

5.5

6.2

9.0

6.5

7.4

7.8

6.5

5.9

6.5

9.7

7.6

7.1

5.6

OTHER4.04.0 

8.2

 

4.0

 

2.9

 

4.7

 

2.4

 

2.7

4.9

10.2

1.9

4.4

2.0

5.1

6.9

1.8

6.9

3.7

3.7

4.0

15.1

3.6

3.6

Major Cities

Istanbul

DATE  March 18March 18 

March 18

 

March 17

 

March 12

 

Feb 13

Feb 11

Feb 10

Jan 24

Jan 17

Jan 9

Jan 3

POLL ANDY-ARKONSENSUS 

SONAR

 

Anonymous

 

GEZICI

 

DENGE

DI-EN

MAK

SONAR

GEZICI

KONDA

ORC

LEADING PARTYAKPAKP 

AKP

 

CHP

 

AKP

 

AKP

AKP

AKP

CHP

AKP

AKP

AKP

SPREAD2.23.6 

4.7

 

1.9

 

6.3

 

14.0

7.4

7.0

0.3

8.8

17.7

9.1

Ankara

DATE March 19March 18 

March 18

 

March 18

 

March 17

 

March 11

 

Feb 11

Feb 10

Jan 17

Jan 3

POLL OPTIMARANDY-AR 

KONSENSUS

 

SONAR

 

Anonymous

 

GEZICI

 

DI-EN

MAK

GEZICI

ORC

LEADING PARTYCHPCHP 

CHP

 

AKP

 

CHP

 

AKP

 

AKP

AKP

AKP

AKP

SPREAD0.30.4 

1.8

 

6.3

 

7.6

 

5.1

 

5.8

9.0

7.2

13.4

Izmir

DATE  March 18March 18 

March 18

 

Feb 11

Jan 17

Jan 8

POLL  ANDY-ARKONSENSUS 

SONAR

 

DI-EN

GEZICI

ORC

LEADING PARTYCHPCHP 

CHP

 

CHP

CHP

CHP

SPREAD19.815.6 

19.7

 

6.1

6.9

5.2

 

 

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