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  • Syrian FM: Too early to speak on direct talks with Israel

    Syrian FM: Too early to speak on direct talks with Israel

    Syria’s foreign minister said on Friday it was premature to talk of direct peace talks with Israel. A third round of indirect talks between the two sides took place in Istanbul this week and ended with an agreement to hold a fourth round of negotiations in Turkey in late July, a Turkish government source told Reuters on Thursday.

    “It’s premature to answer this question,” Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem said when asked when direct talks could be held. He confirmed that both sides had agreed to hold a fourth round of indirect talks, but did not say where or when.
     
    “The moment when we feel that we’ve got the agreed common ground between us and the Israelis, which covers all elements of a peace agreement, we will agree on the location of these direct talks,” he said in a question and answer session at the French Institute for International Relations (IFRI).

    “The direct talks need an active American participation and sponsoring. To give guarantees we need an active European role maybe represented by France. We need also a role for Russia, a role for the United Nations for these talks,” Moualem conveyed.

    “We are at the beginning,” Moualem said, adding that he had spent 10 years negotiating with the Israelis between 1991 and 2000, when he said 90 percent of an agreement was reached in direct talks. “Now we are in the third round. I did not calculate at that time how many rounds I had with the Israelis, more than 1,000 rounds,” he said.

    © 2008 Al Bawaba (www.albawaba.com)

  • Arming for Asymmetric Warfare: Turkey’s Arms Industry in the 21st Century

    Arming for Asymmetric Warfare: Turkey’s Arms Industry in the 21st Century

    Dr. Andrew McGregor
    June 2008

    Executive Summary

    Located at the strategic crossroads of Europe, Asia, the Caucasus and the Middle East,
    Turkey still maintains a vast conscript army of over one million men, the second-largest
    in NATO and the largest in Europe. Major reforms to the military are underway which
    will reduce its overall size by 20-30 percent while increasing its professionalism, training
    and technological capabilities.

    • Turkey’s drive for self-sufficiency in arms has brought about administrative,
    financial, political and military reforms designed to enable Turkey to remain a
    regional power capable of independent action outside its borders if it feels its
    national integrity is threatened.

    • Turkey is the world’s fourth-largest importer of arms and the world’s 28th largest
    arms exporter. Turkey is aggressively seeking to increase its market share,
    expecting to increase its annual exports to $1.5 billion in the next three years.
    Turkey is also seeking to increase its share of domestically produced military
    equipment from the current 25 percent to 50 percent and its share of NATO
    projects from 4 percent to 20 percent by 2011.

    • Turkey’s arms program is designed to address the armed forces’ requirements in
    two main areas: Conventional warfare in cooperation with its strategic allies in
    NATO and the new challenges posed by asymmetrical warfare (insurgencies,
    terrorism, guerrilla warfare, etc.).

    • Turkey faces internal security threats from right-wing, left-wing, religious and
    ethno-nationalist extremists. These groups include the Kurdistan Workers’ Party
    (PKK), al-Qaeda, Turkish Hizbullah and the Great Eastern Islamic Raiders’ Front
    (IBDA-C).

    • Turkey’s arms sector continues to be tightly controlled by the state, though
    procurement is jointly handled by civil and military authorities. Institutions like
    the Undersecretariat for Defense Industries (SSM) and the Turkish Armed Forces
    Foundation (TSKGV) have recourse to financing outside the state budget in their
    efforts to coordinate the activities of Turkish defense industries with Turkish
    military requirements and encourage the development of new enterprises and
    technology.

    • Licensed production and joint projects are seen as stepping stones to eventual
    Turkish independence and self-sufficiency in arms production. To this end,
    technology transfer plays a critical part in the awarding of foreign arms and
    equipment contracts.

    • Foreign debate on issues like the alleged Armenian genocide of World War I and
    Turkish methods in repressing militant Kurdish separatism have come to
    influence the award of arms contracts. Turkey has begun to look further afield for
    nations that are willing to meet its military needs without feeling the need to
    become involved in internal political or historical issues.

    • Intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance and information management are
    viewed as the keys to military success in the 21st century, especially in meeting
    the challenge of asymmetrical threats.

    • The Turkish defense establishment is pushing the Turkish arms industry in the
    direction of independent production of high-tech weapons. Mastering these
    technologies will allow Turkey to expand its export market, which will in turn
    help finance arms production for Turkey’s internal needs.

  • Dismantling The Secular State Set Up By Ataturk

    Dismantling The Secular State Set Up By Ataturk

    3rd Jul 2008

    . .July 1 (Bloomberg) — Turkish police detained more than 20 people suspected of ties to a group of alleged coup plotters, including two retired generals and the chief of Ankara’s main business lobby, deepening a split between the government and opponents who accuse it of illegally promoting religion.
    Former generals Hursit Tolon and Sener Eruygur were arrested early today, a spokesman for the
    Ankara police said by telephone. Authorities had to break down the door of Tolon’s home in the capital, the spokesman said. Ankara Chamber of Commerce chief Sinan Aygun was also taken into custody, said Melih Cuhadar, a spokesman for the chamber.
    The sweep came hours before prosecutors presented an indictment to the
    Constitutional Court to close down Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party. They say Erdogan wants to dismantle the secular state set up by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.
    “It seems the government is throwing down the gauntlet to the key players in the secular camp,” said Erik Zurcher, a professor at
    Leiden University in the Netherlands and author of “Turkey: A Modern History.” “Perhaps it feels it has nothing left to lose because the party’s closure will come anyway.”
    The benchmark stock index had its biggest drop since March 17, as the political outlook rattled investors, said Orhan Canli, a trader at broker Is Yatirim in Istanbul. Bonds fell and the lira weakened.
    `More Unstable’
    Turkey is a lot more unstable than it was yesterday,” said Bulent Aliriza, head of the Turkey program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, in a telephone interview. 

    The high court ruled against Erdogan in a related case in June, striking down a law allowing women to wear Islamic-style headscarves at universities. The government, set to present its defense in two days, asserts the prosecution case rests on an “anachronistic” understanding of secularism.
    Today’s arrests create “an environment of fear” and resemble events in Iran prior to the Islamic revolution of 1979, the opposition Republican People’s Party leader Deniz Baykal told his lawmakers in a televised meeting in Ankara.
     

    Ankara police spokesman said 24 people were rounded up today. The state-run Anatolia news agency said 21 were held in Ankara, Istanbul and other cities and three were at large.
    Dengir Mir Mehmet Firat, deputy chief of Erdogan’s Justice and Development party, said the independence of the judiciary to conduct its investigation should be respected, CNN Turk television reported.
    January Arrests
    Dozens of suspected members of a group of alleged plotters, including former military officers, were arrested in January for possible involvement in bomb plots and other activities against the Turkish state.
    Erdogan in March denied any links between the arrests and the closure case against his party. Prosecutors also want Erdogan, former Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul and 70 party officials banned from politics for five years.
    “Whatever people say, whatever obstacles they put in the way, there can be no other path than change, development and democratization,” Erdogan told his deputies in
    Ankara today.
    Turkey‘s army has ousted four governments from power in as many decades. Military leaders sought to block parliament’s appointment of Gul last year because of his Islamist past, prompting Erdogan to call an early general election.
    Stocks Slump
    Turkey‘s main stock index slumped 5.4 percent in Istanbul. Bond yields on benchmark lira debt tracked by ABN Amro rose 37 basis points to 22.80 percent. The lira fell 1.5 percent against the dollar to 1.2443.
    Retired General Eruygur, who was detained today, heads the Ataturk Thought Association, a pro-secular lobby. The group organized rallies attended by hundreds of thousands of people last year to protest Gul’s appointment as president.
    Turkish police also arrested Mustafa Balbay, the
    Ankara bureau chief of the Cumhuriyet newspaper, Mutluhan Karagozoglu, a lawyer for the newspaper, said in a televised news conference in Ankara. Cumhuriyet’s writers have accused the government of flouting Turkey’s secular rules.
    “I am accused of loving Ataturk and the republic,” Aygun told reporters as he returned to the business group’s headquarters in central Ankara, accompanied by police, who began searching his office, Cuhudar said.
      

     

  • Bosnian War Crimes Sentence Blocked

    Bosnian War Crimes Sentence Blocked

    By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
    Published: July 3, 2008
    Filed at 6:17 a.m. ET

    Pool photo by Zoran Lesic

    Naser Oric at the court house of the UN war crimes tribunal on Thursday in The Hague.

    THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) — A U.N. appeals court on Thursday overturned the war crimes conviction of Naser Oric, a Bosnian Muslim considered a war hero by many in his country for fighting Serbs in the embattled Srebrenica enclave during Bosnia’s 1992-95 war.

    Oric, 41, was convicted two years ago by the Yugoslav war crimes tribunal of failing to prevent the murder and torture of Serb captives in Srebrenica. But judges gave him a lenient two-year sentence and ordered his immediate release because of time spent in custody.

    But appeals judges went even further, overturning both convictions because the original trial failed to establish that Oric had control over forces responsible for the crimes.

    ”The appeals chamber has no doubt that grave crimes were committed against Serbs detained in Srebrenica,” said presiding judge Wolfgang Schomburg. ”However, proof that crimes have occurred is not sufficient to sustain a conviction of an individual for these crimes.”

    Under those circumstances, ”the appeals chamber finds that the appropriate course of action can only be a reversal of Naser Oric’s convictions,” Schomburg added.

    Oric stared ahead without showing any emotion as the judgment was read and then bowed briefly to judges before sitting down. Outside court, he hugged friends and his lawyer before walking out the front door a free man.

    ”Of course I am very happy,” he said.

    His lawyer, Vasvija Vidovic, said the acquittal was no surprise.

    ”Anyone who followed the trial could expect the result that he is not guilty,” she said.

    Oric said he was not bitter about spending nearly three years in pretrial custody, only to ultimately be found not guilty on all charges. ”It was my destiny,” he said.

    Oric led the dogged defense of the Srebrenica enclave against attacks from Bosnian Serb forces from early in the war. In 1995, Serb forces stormed a U.N.-declared ”safe haven” in Srebrenica and slaughtered some 8,000 men in Europe’s worst civilian massacre since World War II.

    Oric defended the actions of Muslim fighters in the enclave, saying they were in a desperate situation.

    ”I don’t think they really committed crimes,” he said outside court. ”We were under siege. We were just fighting to survive and fighting for our lives.”

    Some Bosnian Serbs claim the 1995 massacre was an act of revenge by uncontrolled troops because Oric’s troops killed thousands of Serbs in the villages surrounding Srebrenica.

    Judges at his original trial acquitted Oric of the most serious charges against him, including direct involvement in the murder of Serb prisoners and wanton destruction of Serb villages before the fall of Srebrenica.

    One of the Serb commanders found responsible for the massacre of Muslims, Radoslav Krstic, has already been sentenced to 35 years after a conviction on genocide charges.

    The commander of the Bosnian Serb Army, Gen. Ratko Mladic — also charged with genocide for the Srebrenica killings — is still in hiding and is believed to be in neighboring Serbia.

  • OSCE PA adopts Turkish thesis against Armenian Genocide

    OSCE PA adopts Turkish thesis against Armenian Genocide

    03.07.2008 13:32 GMT+04:00

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ During its latest session in Astana, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) adopted Turkey’s motion which says that past events like genocide should be recognized only after historians carried out a detailed research in all kinds of archives, independent French journalist Jean Eckian told PanARMENIAN.Net.

    “Adoption of the Turkish thesis by the OSCE is a significant achievement against the Armenian allegations. Also, the Turkish thesis regarding the events of 1915 was adopted for the first time on an international platform. Armenia was the only among 56 OSCE member states to vote against the motion,” said Alaattin Buyukkaya, head of the Turkish delegation to the OSCE PA.

    “The motion says that the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly encourages formation of joint commission of historians and experts from the third countries in case of a research into political and military archives to scientifically and impartially enlighten a disputed period in history in an effort to serve transparency and common understanding among the member states,” Buyukkaya added.

    Source: PanARMENIAN.Net, 03.07.2008,

  • Turkish Intelligence Activities under Increased Public Scrutiny in Turkey and Greece

    Turkish Intelligence Activities under Increased Public Scrutiny in Turkey and Greece

    6/22/2008 (Balkanalysis.com)

    By Ioannis Michaletos and Christopher Deliso

    A number of high-impact incidents over the past few months have revealed that the historic feuding of Turkey and Greece is not a thing of the past. Some of these have been well-known, and overtly demonstrated in political events. Others have however received little mention, leaving the public curious to know what is going on behind the scenes.

    At the same time, procedural issues concerning the Turkish intelligence service’s jurisdiction and allowed methods have also been the subject of intense scrutiny among the Turkish public and media in recent weeks, raising dark memories of past indiscretions such as mass wiretapping scandals from an aggressive intelligence apparatus.

    Most recently, Turkey has demonstrated political gamesmanship by blocking the direct cooperation of NATO with the EU’s justice and security advisory mission in Kosovo, EULEX, which hopes to take a larger role in the self-declared Balkan country since the enactment of a Kosovo constitution on June 15. The EU’s gain has come to the detriment of UNMIK, the UN’s nine-year-old mission in Kosovo, which has been restricted further in its mandate by these ‘facts on the ground.’ The Turkish move comes as opposition to Cyprus, an EU but not NATO member: Turkey had already blocked the Greek Cypriots from sending peacekeepers to Kosovo. According to Deutsche Welle, “The move makes it unclear how the KFOR-EULEX relationship can now function on an official level.”

    There are clear interrelations with other regional issues as well. France, notably, has supported Greece on the Macedonia name issue, with President Sarkozy’s avowed Hellenism perhaps bolstered by his country’s sale of billions in arms to Greece. The two countries held a joint military exercise in May. As Balkanalysis.com reported last year, France has also been keenly interested in reported oil deposits off the coast of Cyprus, which the country opened to foreign exploration last year- despite vociferous Turkish protests. At the same time, Israel is threatening war with Iran, something that would not fail to impact on both Turkey and Greece in different ways. It is abundantly clear that the present moment is a very complex and volatile one in the Balkans and East Mediterranean.

    Turkey’s modern intelligence service, Millî İstihbarat Teşkilâtı (‘National Intelligence Organization,’ abbreviated MIT) was established by parliament on July 22, 1965, with Law no. 644. It was envisioned as being run by an undersecretary reporting to the prime minister. The body specifically replaced the Milli Emniyet Hizmeti (MAH). Earlier intelligence organizations dated back to the time of Ataturk, and before him, the Ottoman Empire. However, whereas Ataturk’s era led his developing country to emulate the leading European countries’ intelligence services, the Cold War reality of the 1960’s inspired key NATO ally Turkey to follow the American and NATO models especially. MIT headquarters today consists of a gardened compound in the suburbs of Ankara with a total surface area of more than 300 hectares, of course, very well secured.

    The murky activities of the organization have fascinated the Turkish public for decades. On the domestic front, Turks in early June became transfixed by a legal battle over the MIT’s wiretapping rights and simultaneous claims from a political party, the Republican People’s Party (CHP), that claimed a wiretapping operation had been carried out against it by the government. This claim appeared following the publication, in late May, of a transcript was published in the newspaper Vakit of a private meeting held between Secretary-General Önder Sav and a guest in his office.

    According to Turkish newspaper Zaman, the incident “struck a chord in the recent memory of the nation, which has seen many a wiretapping scandal in years past.” However, it was soon proven to be a false allegation, Vakit reported, as it turned out that Sav had simply forgotten to turn off his phone after speaking with a journalist. The intrepid reporter then simply proceeded to transcribe what he heard over the following 42 minutes of Sav’s meeting. Former Interior Minister Sadettin Tantan, who ironically was involved in earlier similar scandals, lamented that continual rumors of bugging will continue indefinitely, so long as the country continues to lack a proper legal apparatus. Tantan pointed out other cases, including one in Greece, in which the authorities were able to control indiscretions through the kind of proper legislation enforcement he believes is missing in Turkey. According to the article in Zaman, he stated:

    “Intelligence services, institutions and even ordinary people have access to the possibilities of high-tech products. It is really difficult to struggle with these people under the article that defines the crimes committed through the overstepping of legal powers. There is no infrastructure in Turkey regarding this matter. The Turkish legal system has no security department. And this gap can be filled by national and foreign forces. We even don’t know what foreign [intelligence] services have been wiretapping. When similar scandals broke out in Germany, Austria, England, France, Switzerland and Denmark, these countries took very serious steps with regard to communications security. It is evident that some officials in Turkey have been engaging in professional misconduct.”

    After the exposure of a wiretapping scandal in 1996, parliamentarian Sabri Ergül and 19 other deputies from his CHP party deputies submitted a resolution demanding a parliamentary investigation. According to Zaman, Ergül recently stated that a “famous intelligence official” told the commission that “everybody was being wiretapped.” According to this officer’s secret testimony, “there were bugs in the houses of prime ministers, ministers, opposition leaders and that even opposition leaders had one another wiretapped.”

    Ergül continued, noting the officer’s claims that “there was such fierce competition between intelligence services [in 1996]. That’s why they sometimes exposed their weak sides. For instance, a fight between the Police Department, the Gendarmerie Intelligence Organization [JITEM] and MIT came to light in those days. Those wiretapped before started having others wiretapped when they came to power. We even found out that directors of state institutions were wiretapping ministers. All of the bidding processes going on for public properties used to be wiretapped.”

    Nevertheless, significant legal challenges have indeed been raised in recent weeks on the issue of wiretapping. On June 5, Hurriyet reported that Turkey’s Supreme Court overturned on appeals a decision of the High Criminal Court that had authorized the Turkish police (gendarmerie) with country-wide monitoring, “saying no institutions can be given an authority that covers monitoring in the entire country.” According to Justice Minister Mehmet Ali Sahin “the decision by the Supreme Court was quite extensive. My personal view is that the decision will cover the National Intelligence Organization and police, too.” The issue arose when the Justice Ministry objected to the criminal court’s authorization of the MIT and the gendarmerie to tap all phone, SMS and email traffic, citing potential abuse of authority and international human rights conventions.

    Naturally, given a turbulent common history, the issue of Turkish intelligence methods and practices is also of interest to many Greeks, and the subject is the subject of periodic discussion in the Greek media. However, as is inevitable in such scenarios the testimony of genuine experts is often confounded by uninformed speculation and conjecture. As in Turkey, where the public has reacted at various levels of hysteria regarding the most recent wiretapping charges- which turned out to be false – so it is in Greece that the public is prepared to expect the worst from its historic neighbor.

    The role of Turkish intelligence in large-scale human trafficking has also captivated the Greek public in recent months. In the early morning hours of Friday, April 25, a Greek coast guard vessel in the Eastern Aegean captured a Turkish craft which was carrying illegal Asian immigrants, some 3.5 nautical miles off the island of Lesvos. Also in the boat was a 38-year-old Turkish Army officer, Serkan Kaya. According to EmprosNet and other Greek news reports citing Greek intelligence sources, Kaya is a special unit operator who was also involved with the Turkish MIT. These reports claimed that Kaya was involved in the human trafficking partially in order to launch an intelligence gathering activity in the Greek islands. Moreover the Turkish officer was carrying with him Army credentials and a special weapon “used only by secret services,” that identified him with the security apparatus of Turkey.

    An interesting aspect of the role of the Turkish secret services in trafficking via the Aegean is illustrated by American demands, first made in 2006, to establish a customs control facility in Turkish port cities, beginning with Izmir. The request, so far stonewalled, is part of a program, the Customs Container Security Initiative, envisioned for over 30 foreign countries. In these countries, the US would like the ability to inspect all maritime traffic bound for American shores, to secure against nuclear components and other possible terrorist weapons.

    While several other countries have gone along with the American initiative, Turket has not. In fact, it has been the MIT in particular that has refused the US demands, reports Zaman, “over concerns of the ramifications for Turkey’s sovereignty rights. In a letter sent to the Undersecretariat for Customs and Foreign Trade, MIT enumerated its concerns, saying such a system could turn into an environment for espionage activity… Although the number of containers shipped from Istanbul to the US is three times the number of containers shipped from Izmir, it is not known why the US wanted Izmir to be the first port for such a system.” Whether Greek lobbying or concerns raised by the Greek intelligence services in Washington had anything to do with this choice would be an interesting question for researchers to explore.

    One recent claim that got attention in Athens was made by Greek journalist Aris Spinos, a well-known specialist in security matters. He spoke about the subject of Turkish intelligence practices in the first week of May 2008, on the late show of Greek nationwide television network, Extra Channel. Spinos claimed that certain private clinics in Ankara are actually owned by MIT, which uses them to perform plastic surgery on its best spies who are then sent ‘in disguise’ for missions abroad, something in line with the Soviet KGB model.

    Greeks have also claimed in recent years that MIT agents persuaded tourists from other countries to spy for Turkey. Usually, cases were reported during tourist season, when tourists come back and forth between places such as Bodrum-Kos (2 miles apart), or between islands like Lesvos, Chios and Samos and their respective Turkish port destinations, to try to capture videos and photos with Greek military bases, in order to sell them to the Turks and receive payments- sometimes, allegedly, in the form of paid vacations. However, this sort of speculation is the least likely to be corroborated and the most prone to exaggeration and misuse.

    Greek experts have also disclosed other aspects of the MIT’s believed operating habits. According to several articles in the Greek journal Stratigiki, the MIT has a special psy-ops unit, named TIB that has an extensive network in Europe and especially in Germany, where the largest Turkish diaspora in Europe resides. It is a large sector that employs academics, journalists and Turkish diaspora professionals, functioning broadly along the lines of Israel’s MOSSAD. Similarly, it is widely assumed that domestically the MIT maintains a very large network of civilian informants that span all levels of society and professional life in Turkey- something that goes back to the Cold War and likely even earlier.

    Following the collapse of the Soviet bloc and the resulting anxiety for both Turkey and Greece, a ‘hot’ period ensued between 1989-1996, when a ‘secret war’ erupted between Greek and Turkish intelligence services, that involved assassinations, arson, high-level psychological attacks, and heavy espionage activity. The Turks accused Greece on supporting the Kurdish PKK fighters (PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan was later protected in Greece and Greek diplomatic installations until being kidnapped by the Turks in Kenya in 1998). The tensions escalated to the point of potential armed conflict over the contested islet of Imia near Kalymnos in early 1996.

    Today, numerous unfolding events indicate that Greek and Turkish machinations are going to be amplified by the actions of larger powers. For example, Israel recently conducted a robust air force exercise over Greek waters, which American and other analysts interpreted as a warning of an impending strike against Iran. Turkey, on the other hand, has had to develop closer ties with Iranian security services, as both countries share the problem of Kurdish separatists. How the fortunes of Greece and Turkey would wax or wane in the event of an Israeli (and, potentially, American) war with Iran is just one of the many fascinating questions to emerge from this. Given the complexity and high stakes of international relations in the Balkans and Middle East today, it appears likely that the traditional war of one-upsmanship between Greece and Turkey will continue into the foreseeable future, and that their intelligence services will, as always, be at the forefront of this battle.

    Source: Balkanalysis.com, 6/22/2008