{"id":8552,"date":"2009-01-17T22:09:39","date_gmt":"2009-01-17T19:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/?p=8552"},"modified":"2014-01-01T20:37:15","modified_gmt":"2014-01-01T18:37:15","slug":"a-firebell-in-the-night-the-prospect-of-turkeys-membership-sounds-the-knell-for-the-european-union-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/2009\/01\/17\/a-firebell-in-the-night-the-prospect-of-turkeys-membership-sounds-the-knell-for-the-european-union-2\/","title":{"rendered":"A Firebell in the Night: The Prospect of Turkey&#8217;s Membership Sounds the Knell for the European Union"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><em>This column first appeared at <\/em>PoliGazette.<\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><strong><span style=\"font-family: Lucida Sans Unicode; color: black; font-size: x-small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt; font-family: &amp;quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&amp;quot;; color: black; font-weight: bold;\">A Firebell in the Night: The Prospect of Turkey&#8217;s Membership Sounds the Knell for the European Union<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><strong><span style=\"font-family: Lucida Sans Unicode; color: black; font-size: x-small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt; font-family: &amp;quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&amp;quot;; color: black; font-weight: bold;\"><br \/>\n<span>By Robert Ellis<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Thomas Jefferson, in a memorable letter written in 1820, considered the issue of slavery &#8220;a firebell in the night&#8221; which would toll the knell of the<span> <\/span>Union. It is with the same sense of foreboding that some of us today consider the issue of<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s membership of the European Union.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> In the winter issue of the Middle East Quarterly, which deals with<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s Islamist danger, Bassam Tibi concludes: &#8220;Western politicians, scholars, and opinion makers\u00a0barely understand what is going on inTurkey&#8221;. This view is borne out by, for example, Condoleeza Rice&#8217;s statement in May 2007 that the AKP (Justice and\u00a0Development Party) government is &#8220;a government dedicated to pulling<span> <\/span>Turkey\u00a0west towardEurope&#8221; and last March the Swedish foreign minister, Carl Bildt,\u00a0declared: &#8220;The AKP government is made up of profound European reformers&#8221;.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> Turkey&#8217;s long road towards EU membership began with associate status in 1963\u00a0and it was not until the EU summit in<span> <\/span>Helsinki<span> <\/span>in 1999 that its candidacy was recognized. Beginning in 2001 under the premiership ofB\u00fclent Ecevit,<span> <\/span>Turkey\u00a0embarked on a series of reforms to get the green light from the EU to start accession\u00a0negotiations. These reforms included a revision of the civil and penal codes, a dilution of the role of the military and greater freedom to use Kurdish in the public\u00a0sphere.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Despite the fact that these reforms for the most part existed on paper, in October\u00a02004 the EU Commission found that<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>had &#8220;sufficiently&#8221; fulfilled the political crtiteria for membership and recommended that negotiations be opened. In October 2005 negotiations were formally opened, after a great deal of wrangling over the recognition of (Greek)<span> <\/span>Cyprus, which became a member together with nine other states in May 2004.<span> <\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">However, in starting negotiations the EU left the back door open, concluding that\u00a0&#8220;if<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>is not in a position to assume in full all the obligations of membership,\u00a0it must be ensured that<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>is fully anchored in the European structures through\u00a0the strongest possible bond.&#8221; Since then, the enthusiasm forTurkey&#8217;s membership\u00a0has waned considerably on both sides.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The<span> <\/span>UK, which played a major role in brokering the start of entry talks, has under\u00a0US<span> <\/span>tutelage always been an active proponent of Turkish membership. So much so\u00a0that when<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s<span> <\/span>Constitutional Court<span> <\/span>last July decided not to ban the AKP,\u00a0the British foreign secretary,<span> <\/span>David Miliband, declared it was &#8220;a cause for celebration&#8221;.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">It is the same Miliband, who in\u00b4a keynote speech in<span> <\/span>Bruges<span> <\/span>in November 2007 outlined his vision forEurope<span> <\/span>in 2030. He is clearly delusional when he speaks\u00a0of a European Union that would ultimately include the countries of the Mahgreb,\u00a0the Middle East and<span> <\/span>Eastern Europe. In his own words: &#8220;The goal must be a\u00a0multi-lateral free-trade zone around our periphery \u2026. not as an alternative to\u00a0membership but potentially as as step toward it.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> <span><strong><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">A community of values<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Quite apart from the formal criteria for EU membership, it has been repeatedly stressed that the<span> <\/span>Union<span> <\/span>is a community of values. After the start of entry talks the British foreign secretary, Jack Straw, rejoiced: &#8220;It means we have a<span> <\/span>Europe\u00a0based on values, not history&#8221;, and earlier Olli Rehn, the EU&#8217;s enlargement commissioner, explained that<span> <\/span>Europe<span> <\/span>was defined by values, not borders. However,\u00a0in the light of<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s development since the AKP came to power in 2002, it can\u00a0be argued<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>is no longer eligible.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\"> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">A blueprint for dismantling the secular republic established by Mustafa Kemal in 1923 was put forward by Omer Dincer, Prime Minister Erdogan&#8217;s former undersecretary, at a symposium held in<span> <\/span>Sivas<span> <\/span>in 1995. Two years earlier 37 people, most of them participants in an Alevi cultural festival, were killed in a hotel fire,\u00a0when the hotel was burned down by a raging mob of Islamic fundamentalists.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> At the symposium Omer stated: &#8220;I believe that the republican regime in<span> <\/span>Turkey\u00a0should be replaced by a more participatory one, and the principle of secularism\u00a0should be replaced with integration with Islam. Therefore I believe that it&#8217;s time,\u00a0and absolutely necessary, to replace all the fundamental principles outlined at the\u00a0start of the<span> <\/span>Turkish<span> <\/span>Republic, such as secularism, republicanism and nationalism,\u00a0with a structure that is more participatory, more decentralized and more Muslim.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The same year Abdullah G\u00fcl, deputy leader of the Islamic Welfare Party (banned\u00a0in 1998) and now<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s president, was more succinct in an interview with The Guardian. &#8220;This is the end of the republican period,&#8221; he stated. &#8220;If 60 percent of Ankara&#8217;s\u00b4population is living in shacks, then the secular system has failed and we want to change it. &#8220;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">And this is precisely what these &#8220;reformed post-Islamists&#8221; (Olli Rehn&#8217;s term) have set out to do, despite the fact that the preamble to the Turkish constitution stipulates:\u00a0&#8220;there shall be no interference whatsoever by sacred religious feelings in state affairs and politics&#8221;.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black; font-weight: bold;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Anti-secular activities<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Last July<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s<span> <\/span>Constitutional Court<span> <\/span>found by 10 votes to one that the AKP was &#8220;a focal point of anti-secular activities&#8221; but instead of closing the party decided\u00a0to halve its Treasury funding. In its indictment the Court paid close attention to controversial statements made by party members, but there is ample evidence of the reorientation of Turkish society in the last six years.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Since coming to power, the AKP has made systematic and sustained efforts to replace\u00a0the top echelons of the state administration, the education system and the judiciary with its own followers. Two years ago an attempt to appoint the general manager of\u00a0<span> <\/span>Albaraka Turk, an Islamic bank, as governor of the central bank, was vetoed by President Ahmet Necdet Sezer, a staunch secularist, as &#8220;inappropriate&#8221; but the AKP\u00a0has otherwise placed its own candidates in key positions.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The autonomy of independent administrative authorities such as the Energy Market\u00a0Regulatory Authority (EPDK) and the Capital Markets Board (SPK) has also been eroded. For example, the EPDK awarded an oil refinery construction permit to the\u00a0Calik Group, where Prime Minister Erdogan&#8217;s son-in-law is the general manager,\u00a0and not a prior applicant, Petrol Ofisi. Petrol Ofisi is owned by Aydin Dogan, who\u00a0is also the owner of the Dogan Media Group, the Prime Minister&#8217;s outspoken opponent.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The sale of the Sabah-ATV media group,<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s second largest, also to the Calik Group, was facilitated by the Savings Deposit Insurance Fund (TMSF), which is staffed by AKP appointees, and was for the most part financed by a loan from two state banks, also managed by AKP appointees.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The new head of the Higher Education Board (Y\u00d6K), Yusuf Ziya \u00d6zcan, was\u00a0handpicked, which together with a pliable president makes it possible to overrule\u00a0the universities&#8217; own choice of candidate as rector. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Furthermore, the president of the Supreme Board of Radio and Television (RT\u00dcK), Zahid Akman, is embroiled in a scandal which could overwhelm the government. In September the three Turkish directors of a charitable foundation in Germany, Deniz Feneri (Lighthouse), were found guilty of siphoning off \u20ac14.5 million ($20.6 million) and transferring the funds to business associates in Turkey, including Kanal 7, the Islamist tv channel.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">The operation is believed to have been directed from<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>and Zahid Akman was\u00a0named as a courier. However, although four months have elapsed, no steps have been taken to require the documents fromGermany<span> <\/span>and to launch an investigation in<span> <\/span>Turkey. In addition, a recent law requires the prime minister&#8217;s consent into any investigation into an RT\u00dcK president.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> The general elections of 2002 and 2007 provided for the establishment of the AKP&#8217;s\u00a0political power but it was the Public Procurement Laws of 2003 and 2008 which have\u00a0made possible a transfer of resources to the new elite. According to the first amendment energy, water, transportation and telecommunications contracts are exempt from the law and new amendments have made the awarding of public contracts even less opaque.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">There have been a number of land and tender scandals involving members of the AKP, but as acerbic columnist Burak Bekdil has pointed out: &#8220;Corruption is an\u00a0ideology-free disease.&#8221; For example, almost 100 municipal employees, including\u00a0two district mayors from the CHP, the opposition party, were recently detained in\u00a0a corruption and bribery operation in<span> <\/span>Izmir<span> <\/span>province. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black; font-weight: bold;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Neighbourhood pressure<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Two years ago Professor Serif Mardin, the eminent Turkish sociologist, coined\u00a0the phrase &#8220;neighbourhood pressure&#8221; to explain the social pressure to conform\u00a0to conservative religious norms. Last month a controversial study, &#8220;Being different\u00a0in<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8221;, published by the Open Society Institute and<span> <\/span>BosphorusUniversity,\u00a0in fact confirms that the non-devout and secularists in<span> <\/span>Turkey<span> <\/span>feel under pressure\u00a0to confirm to the social norms and standards promoted by the AKP.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Among the examples given are pressure to attend Friday prayers and fast during\u00a0Ramadan and to have their wives wear a headscarf in order to protect their businesses and their jobs. When Tayyip Erdogan was mayor of<span> <\/span>Istanbul<span> <\/span>15 years ago alcohol was banned at municipal facilities but now in 56 of<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s 81 provinces alcohol\u00a0is not served in municipal or private restaurants or clubs. During Ramadan last September anAnkara<span> <\/span>shop owner was beaten by municipal police for selling alcohol.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">In November 2005 the European Court of Human Rights upheld the ban on the wearing of the Islamic headscarf at Turkish universities and underlined: &#8220;Pluralism, tolerance and broadmindedness are hallmarks of a democratic society.&#8221; Prime Minister Erdogan contested this view and stated that it was only Islamic scholars (&#8216;ulema&#8217;) who had the right to speak on this issue.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Egemen Bagis<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: black;\"><span style=\"color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">, AKP deputy for<span> <\/span>Istanbul<span> <\/span>and close associate of Tayyip Erdogan,\u00a0has just been appointed chief EU negotiator in an attempt to revive<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8217;s flagging hopes of membership. It was this gentleman who in an op-ed piece in the LA Times,\u00a0&#8220;My party is good for<span> <\/span>Turkey&#8221;, last March claimed: &#8220;We are only upgrading the country&#8217;s democratic standards.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\">Unfortunately there are a number of European and American politicians and opinion makers who are prepared to indulge this<span> <\/span>Alice<span> <\/span>in Wonderland fantasy. Therefore it would be prudent to heed Bassam Tibi&#8217;s warning: &#8220;Through its support for institutional Islamism in<span> <\/span>Turkey, the West loses its true friends: liberal Muslims.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"background: white none repeat scroll 0% 0%; line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times New Roman; color: black; font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; color: black;\" lang=\"EN-GB\"> <span><em><span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Robert Ellis is a regular commentator on Turkish affairs in the Danish press and was\u00a0also a frequent contributor to the Turkish Daily News.<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This column first appeared at PoliGazette. A Firebell in the Night: The Prospect of Turkey&#8217;s Membership Sounds the Knell for the European Union By Robert Ellis Thomas Jefferson, in a memorable letter written in 1820, considered the issue of slavery &#8220;a firebell in the night&#8221; which would toll the knell of the Union. It is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":782330,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2293],"tags":[4259,1328],"class_list":["post-8552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-robert-ellis","tag-ataturk-features","tag-secularism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8552","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8552"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8552\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/782330"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}