{"id":30163,"date":"2011-01-20T04:28:51","date_gmt":"2011-01-20T02:28:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.turkishforum.com.tr\/en\/content\/?p=30163"},"modified":"2023-04-15T18:24:11","modified_gmt":"2023-04-15T15:24:11","slug":"turkeys-ascent-as-a-regional-superpower","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/2011\/01\/20\/turkeys-ascent-as-a-regional-superpower\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey’s ascent as a regional superpower"},"content":{"rendered":"
Lebanon Shows Shift of Influence in Mideast<\/strong><\/h6>\n

<\/span>By ANTHONY SHADID<\/p>\n

BEIRUT, Lebanon \u2014 In\u00a0Lebanon\u2019s worst crisis in years, whose resolution may determine whether\u00a0Hezbollah controls a government allied with the United States, American diplomacy has become the butt of jokes here. Once a decisive player here, Saudi Arabia has all but given up. In their stead is Turkey<\/em>, which has sought to mediate a crisis that, given events on Tuesday in Beirut\u2019s streets, threatens to turn violent before it is resolved.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The confrontation here is the latest sign of a shifting map of the Middle East, where longtime stalwarts like Saudi Arabia and Egypt have further receded in influence, and emerging powers like Turkey, <\/strong>Iran <\/strong>and even the tiny Persian Gulf state of Qatar have decisively emerged in just a matter of a few years.<\/strong> It is yet another episode in which the United States has watched \u2014 seemingly helplessly<\/strong> \u2014 as events in places like Tunisia, Lebanon and even Iraq unfold unexpectedly and beyond its ability to control.<\/em><\/p>\n

The jockeying might be a glimpse of a post-American Middle East, where the United States\u2019 allies and foes, brought together in the interests of stability, plot foreign policies that intersect in initiatives the United States must grudgingly accept.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is a sense that the regional players have gone up as the United States has gone down in terms of its presence, its viability, its role,\u201d<\/strong> said a high-ranking Lebanese official allied with the American-backed side in the crisis, which erupted last week.<\/p>\n

In a series of stalemates \u2014 from the Arab-Israeli conflict to Lebanon \u2014 Turkey has proved the most dynamic, projecting an increasingly assertive and independent foreign policy in an Arab world bereft of any country that matches its stature.<\/strong> Its success is a subtle critique of America\u2019s longstanding policy in the Middle East of trying to isolate and ostracize its enemies. From Hezbollah here to the followers of a populist, anti-American cleric in Iraq, Turkey has managed to forge dialogue with America\u2019s enemies and allies alike.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cTurkey has become, I think, until the contrary is proven, an indispensable state in the reorganizing of this region,\u201d<\/strong> said Sarkis Naoum, an analyst and prominent columnist in Beirut.<\/p>\n

So far, the interventions of Turkey and others in the Lebanese crisis are mostly symbolic, ventures into a maddeningly complex political landscape that hews to a formula of \u201cno victor, no vanquished.\u201d But in contrast to past crises, when Turkey<\/strong> was virtually irrelevant, the new effort signals the country\u2019s ascent as a regional superpower.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cOur region could not cope with Lebanon entering a new atmosphere of uncertainty,\u201d Turkey\u2019s prime minister,\u00a0Recep Tayyip Erdogan, said Monday before he left for Syria, where he met the leaders of Qatar and Syria. (Over the weekend, he talked with President\u00a0Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran.) \u201cWe want to discuss what we can do to overcome this crisis and what other countries in the region must do for Lebanon\u2019s stability.\u201d<\/p>\n

Lebanon\u2019s renewed crisis, cutting across questions of sectarian tension in the Middle East, conflict with Israel and Hezbollah\u2019s power in the country, pits the movement against its foes in a stalemate over an international tribunal investigating the assassination of\u00a0Rafik Hariri, a billionaire and a former prime minister, in February 2005.<\/p>\n

The tribunal issued indictments on Monday, and, though the charges remained sealed, Hezbollah has acknowledged that members of the Shiite Muslim movement will be named in the investigation, which it has denounced as an American-Israeli tool. For months, it has sought to undermine the tribunal, questioning its witnesses and evidence, and demanding that the government end its cooperation and denounce the charges. The government led by Mr. Hariri\u2019s son, Saad, refused, and in protest, Hezbollah and its allies withdrew from it,\u00a0forcing its collapse<\/span> after a 14-month tenure.<\/p>\n

Deadlock has ensued. Many believe that a negotiated solution will eventually end it, but the urgency to find a deal may not come before more strife. In what many saw as a signal by Hezbollah on Tuesday, scores of men dressed in black gathered in various neighborhoods in the capital after dawn. Organized and disciplined, they seemed to move toward Beirut\u2019s downtown and airport, but dispersed within an hour.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat happened today was just a small message,\u201d said Rafic Nasrallah, an analyst and director of the International Center for Media and Research in Beirut. \u201cThe other side should read it very carefully. Until now, the opposition is giving a chance to mediation.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cBut,\u201d he asked, \u201chow long should it wait?\u201d<\/p>\n

After the summit meeting in Damascus on Monday, the foreign ministers of Qatar and Turkey visited Beirut on Tuesday, seeing all the parties to the conflict. The trip itself seemed to signal a more intense regional effort that has filled a vacuum left by what some officials describe as an incoherent Saudi policy and an unfocused American approach.<\/p>\n

\u201cI wouldn\u2019t call it an aggressive role,\u201d Mohammed Chattah, a foreign policy adviser to Mr. Hariri, said of the American effort here. \u201cI wouldn\u2019t even call it a central role, certainly not at this stage. The regional players are much more visible.\u201d<\/p>\n

Even for American allies, like Mr. Hariri, the United States has become such a contentious player, loathed so deeply by one side in the crisis, that a more visible role would only harm its friends. In an embarrassing episode, its ambassador was summoned to the Foreign Ministry for interfering in Lebanon\u2019s affairs after a visit to a minor lawmaker. The meeting was soon skewered by television stations across the spectrum.<\/p>\n

Saudi Arabia, long the main Arab backer of Mr. Hariri, has receded since it failed to find a compromise with Syria last week.<\/p>\n

Turkey\u2019s entry into the fray follows a pattern of initiatives in the region that do not always line up with American wishes. In May 2008, American officials were taken aback at the announcement of indirect talks, mediated by Turkey, between Syria and Israel. That year, Qatar mediated a deal between Lebanon\u2019s factions that left American officials divided. In both cases, its officials were left in the dark, diplomats say, so as not to undermine a deal.<\/p>\n

In Lebanon on Tuesday, Turkey found the rarest of circumstances when Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu arrived here: a welcome from both sides.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey\u2019re well placed more than any other country in the region,\u201d said Mr. Chattah, the foreign policy adviser to Mr. Hariri.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ali Hamdan, an aide to Nabih Berri, the Parliament speaker and an ally of Hezbollah, called Turkey \u201chelpful.\u201d He added, \u201cTheir international relations will help market any deal they can reach.\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nada Bakri and Hwaida Saad contributed reporting.<\/p>\n

www.nytimes.com<\/span>,\u00a0January 18, 2011<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lebanon Shows Shift of Influence in Mideast By ANTHONY SHADID BEIRUT, Lebanon \u2014 In\u00a0Lebanon\u2019s worst crisis in years, whose resolution may determine whether\u00a0Hezbollah controls a government allied with the United States, American diplomacy has become the butt of jokes here. Once a decisive player here, Saudi Arabia has all but given up. In their stead […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":782328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[183,89,34],"tags":[742],"class_list":["post-30163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lebanon","category-turkey","category-usa","tag-diplomacy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30163\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/782328"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}