{"id":1804,"date":"2008-08-03T14:31:29","date_gmt":"2008-08-03T11:31:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/?p=1804"},"modified":"2014-01-01T20:03:24","modified_gmt":"2014-01-01T18:03:24","slug":"the-turkey-analyst-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/2008\/08\/03\/the-turkey-analyst-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Turkey Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<table class=\"MsoNormalTable\" style=\"width: 100%;\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"10\" cellpadding=\"0\" width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 61.84%; padding: 0in;\" width=\"61%\" valign=\"top\">\n<p class=\"style1\" style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"center\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 11.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">The Turkey Analyst <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"style1\" style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"center\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 11.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\" align=\"right\"><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Vol. 1 no. 11, 18 July 2008 <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"style61\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">ANALYSIS<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-small; color: #000066;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: x-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Is a Secular Center-Right viable? <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 10.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/strong><em><em><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Halil Magnus Karaveli <\/span><\/span><\/em><\/em><span style=\"font-size: x-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span> <span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">The solution to Turkey\u2019s regime crisis must logically be sought in the center of the political spectrum. However, the revival of the center-right force of Turkish politics represents a difficult challenge. For it to make a difference, the right must break with its tradition of playing with religion. An alternative must be formulated that is more stridently secular than what the center-right traditionally has been. But for it to be viable, such a centrist force needs simultaneously to be attractive to the conservative base of the centre-right, a challenging task.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"style21\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 10.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Finding a Place: The PKK&#8217;s Effort to Remain Relevant <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><em><em><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Svante E. Cornell<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/em><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\nIn early July, the PKK terrorist organization abducted three German climbers on Mt. Ararat, in an apparent revenge for Germany\u2019s decision to ban the PKK\u2019s mouthpiece, Denmark-based television channel Roj TV. The episode points to the PKK\u2019s continuous difficulties in maintaining its claim to represent Kurdish opinion, faced with multiple challenges \u2013 from both the Turkish military and governing party, who otherwise agree on little; as well as the EU\u2019s refusal to grant the PKK legitimacy and the Iraqi Kurdish parties\u2019 success in making Iraqi Kurdistan the beacon of Kurdish hope, eclipsing the PKK.\u00a0 It remains to be seen whether the PKK will be successful in taking advantage of the current Turkish crisis.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">NEWS DIGEST: THE FORTNIGHT IN REVIEW <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>I. What the Columnists Say <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>What chance does Turkish democracy stand? There is a growing pessimism among secular columnists about the prospects of democracy surviving the ongoing turmoil. They see democracy as being squeezed between religious authoritarianism and military rule. The closure of the AKP is now not taken for granted. Columnists who support the government have become confident that the party will survive. And the issue of whether or not secularism has taken root in society continues to preoccupy. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">II. Domestic Politics<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>Summary: The fortnights politics were dominated by four major issues: continued developments in the AKP closure case; AKP founder Sener&#8217;s decision to form a new center party; the attack on police outside the US consulate in Istanbul; and the roundup of prominent figures in the Ergenekon investigation. Click here for full digest. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 9pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">III. Foreign Relations<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\nSummary: Foreign minister Babacan took part in the D-8 summit, while Prime Minister Erdogan took part in the Mediterranean summit in Paris, having received assurances that French plans will not affect Turkey&#8217;s EU candidacy. Click here for full digest. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n<strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">RECENT ISSUES: <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">July 4, 2008 Issue (Click HERE for PDF) <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>&#8211; <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>The Turkish Military&#8217;s Puzzling Silence<strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"> <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/span>June 20, 2008 Issue<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong> <strong><strong><span style=\"color: #000066; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; font-family: Verdana; text-decoration: none;\">(Click HERE for PDF)<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\n&#8211; Interview with Suleyman Demirel<br \/>\n&#8211; What Went Wrong with Turkey&#8217;s Moderate Islamists?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">June 4, 2008 Issue (Click HERE for PDF)<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n&#8211; Politics, Media and Power<br \/>\n&#8211; Where Did the Secular Republic Fail?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">May 21, 2008 issue <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">(Click HERE for PDF) <strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>&#8211; <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>Redefining Secularism? AKP Challenges Turks&#8217; Modern Religiosity <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>May 8, 2008 issue <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>&#8211; The CHP Congress, Leeadership Cults, and Turkish Democracy<span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>April 23, 2008 issue <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>(Click HERE for PDF)<strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"> <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>&#8211; Will Clinging to Atat\u00fcrk and the EU save the AKP?<br \/>\n&#8211; Turkey&#8217;s Energy Policy between Political Crises <strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/span>April 9, 2008 issue: <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>(Click HERE for PDF) <strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong>&#8211; What animates Turkey&#8217;s secular opposition? <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>&#8211; Turkey and the EU: Beyond the Cyprus Imbroglio <span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>March 26, 2008 issue:<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong> (Click HERE for PDF)<br \/>\n&#8211; Challenging Times for Turkey&#8217;s Democracy<br \/>\n&#8211; Foreign Policy Implications of the Turkish Crisis <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">March 12, 2008 issue:<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">&#8211; <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">Erdogan&#8217;s Towering Role in the AKP<strong><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\"><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span>February 22, 2008 issue:<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n&#8211; Turkey in 2007: Key Developments<br \/>\n&#8211; Can Turkey&#8217;s Regime Crisis be Diffused? <\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 33.3%; padding: 0in;\" width=\"33%\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">The Turkey Analyst <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Turkey Analyst is a publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute &amp; Silk Road Studies Joint Center, designed to bring authoritative analysis and news on the rapidly developing domestic and foreign policy issues in Turkey. It is published weekly, and includes a topical analysis, as well as translations and summaries of selected Turkish news reports. It is edited and compiled under the supervision of Svante E. Cornell, Halil M. Karaveli, and M. K. Kaya.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"center\"><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"color: #000066;\"><span style=\"color: #000066; text-decoration: none;\"><br \/>\n<strong><strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">CLICK HERE <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\"><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">FOR PDF VERSION<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">The analyses appearing in the <em><em><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">Turkey Analyst <\/span><\/span><\/em><\/em>are unsigned, being the consensus view of the three Editors. The <em><em><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">Turkey Analyst <\/span><\/span><\/em><\/em>occasionally publishes signed guest analyses, which are normally solicited. To email the editors, click here. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">The Joint Center<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\nThe Joint Center, created in 2005, is the product of the merger of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, at Johns Hopkins University&#8217;s School of Advanced International Studies, and the Silk Road Studies Program, at the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">The Turkey Initiative<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\nThe Joint Center launched a Turkey Initiative in 2006 in order to improve understand of Turkish domestic and foreign affairs in Europe and the United States.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 12pt;\"><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">To Subscribe:<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><br \/>\nTo subscribe to the Turkey Analyst email announcements, please contact Martina Klimesova with an email containing &#8220;subscribe Turkey Analyst&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8.5pt; color: #333333; font-family: Verdana;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 The Turkey Analyst \u00a0 Vol. 1 no. 11, 18 July 2008 ANALYSIS Is a Secular Center-Right viable? Halil Magnus Karaveli The solution to Turkey\u2019s regime crisis must logically be sought in the center of the political spectrum. However, the revival of the center-right force of Turkish politics represents a difficult challenge. For it to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":782273,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-turkey"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/782273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}