{"id":14461,"date":"2009-09-01T05:45:17","date_gmt":"2009-09-01T03:45:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.turkishforum.com.tr\/en\/content\/?p=14461"},"modified":"2023-04-06T13:41:56","modified_gmt":"2023-04-06T10:41:56","slug":"hairenik-chorbajian-caveat-emptor-weak-negotiating-strategies-and-settlement-pitfalls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/2009\/09\/01\/hairenik-chorbajian-caveat-emptor-weak-negotiating-strategies-and-settlement-pitfalls\/","title":{"rendered":"HAIRENIK: Chorbajian: Caveat Emptor: Weak Negotiating Strategies and  Settlement Pitfalls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This racist, Levon\u00a0Chorbajian,\u00a0is still a professor at the U. of  Massachussetts, which is disturbing.\u00a0Aside from showing a rigid maximalist  position based on\u00a0tired historical claims, Chorbajian\u00a0sums up the thesis of why  Karabakh should be\u00a0important for both Turkey and Azerbaijan as follows: \u00a0 &#8220;Here Azerbaijan has benefitted by the West&#8217;s very narrow definition of  this struggle as a struggle about Karabagh only, instead of seeing it in its  historical context as the latest phase of a struggle between Armenian national  security and Turkish imperial ambition.&#8221; \u00a0 &#8220;Concerning Karabagh, and also the opening of the Turkish border, I would  say first that there has to be a recognition that pan-Turkism is not a marginal  ideology in Turkey or Azerbaijan. The Turks and the Azeris have their  differences, but they have both long coveted Armenian territories to fulfill  their ambition of an unbroken territorial link between them. This should not be  underestimated, and what follows from this observation is that the Karabagh  Question is not, as the Minsk Group insists, a narrow dispute limited to  Nagorno-Karabagh. No, it is about Karabagh but also about the fate of Armenia  and the Armenian people on an independent Armenian homeland. That is what is at  stake.&#8221;\u00a0\u00a0 AB [baguirov@gmail.com]<\/p>\n<h1 id=\"post-3581\">HAIRENIK: Chorbajian: Caveat<\/h1>\n<h1>Emptor: Weak Negotiating  Strategies<\/h1>\n<h1>and<\/h1>\n<h1>Settlement Pitfalls<\/h1>\n<p>By <span class=\"removed_link\" title=\"http:\/\/www.hairenik.com\/weekly\/author\/admin\/\">Admin<\/span> \u2022 on August 29,  2009<\/p>\n<p>By Levon Chorbajian<\/p>\n<p><em>Below is the text of the talk given by Prof. Levon Chorbajian at the  conference on Turkish-Armenian relations held in Stepanakert on July 10-11. The  Armenian Weekly thanks Prof. Chorbajian for the text.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>I would like to thank the organizers for calling this conference at this  timely moment. And I would especially like to pay my respects to the people of  Karabagh and Armenia for courageously challenging Soviet and Azerbaijani  authority and reversing the clear injustice of assigning this territory to the  Azerbaijan S.S.R. in the early 1920&#8217;s. The result is an independent Karabagh and  it is a great achievement. I am not unmindful of the tremendous sacrifices that  have been made and continue to be made to keep this reality afloat. My purpose  is to call those sacrifices to mind and to argue that we should not participate  in a process that would cause them to have been made in vain.<\/p>\n<p>I am not going to be entirely critical of Armenian diplomacy regarding  Karabagh. It has had its successes. If it had not, we would not be able to be  here. But I do want to say that Armenia and Karabagh have clear historical and  ideological resources on their side which have not been put to full use or-even  worse-been put to any use at all. When Azerbaijan and Turkey negotiate, they  negotiate from maximalist positions, and they are very reluctant to make  concessions. Armenians do not seem to follow suit. Why have governments in  Yerevan, for example, acted to assure Turkey that they have no claims on that  nation, as though we were the guilty party and had, therefore, to reassure  others of our good intentions?<\/p>\n<p>Concerning Karabagh, and also the opening of the Turkish border, I would say  first that there has to be a recognition that pan-Turkism is not a marginal  ideology in Turkey or Azerbaijan. The Turks and the Azeris have their  differences, but they have both long coveted Armenian territories to fulfill  their ambition of an unbroken territorial link between them. This should not be  underestimated, and what follows from this observation is that the Karabagh  Question is not, as the Minsk Group insists, a narrow dispute limited to  Nagorno-Karabagh. No, it is about Karabagh but also about the fate of Armenia  and the Armenian people on an independent Armenian homeland. That is what is at  stake.<\/p>\n<p>My focus is on bargaining strategies that I believe have not been effectively  used by the Armenian side and need to be used. The first, and I will not have a  lot to say about it because it has been noted by several previous speakers, is  the exclusion of Nagorno-Karabagh from the negotiating process. This is the  single greatest flaw in the negotiating process and, to my knowledge, without  precedent in the history of conflict resolution.<\/p>\n<p>The second is that territorial claims have traditionally been decided on the  basis of three criteria: Who has lived there historically? Who lives there now?  And what do the people who live there now want? It is actually unusual for all  three of these to fall on one side. Consider the case of Northern Ireland, a  colonized territory, but one where the Catholics are a minority in their own  land and have been for a long time. But in the Karabagh case, all three criteria  favor the Armenian side. I think this point-that Karabagh presents one of the  world&#8217;s strongest cases in favor of independence-should be stressed repeatedly  and there should be no compromise on it.<\/p>\n<p>The third issue concerns borders. The current borders of Nagorno-Karabagh are  much smaller than the territory that Azerbaijan received in 1923. At that time  Karabagh and Armenia shared a border. Territories were taken from Karabagh and  from southern Armenia (Siunik was wider at that time than it is now) to form Red  Kurdistan, and as soon as the goal of that change (which was never to  territorially recognize the Kurds but rather to aggrandize Azeri territory) was  accomplished, the Kurds were quickly abandoned and Red Kurdistan disappeared to  became a part of Azerbaijan proper. The northern Armenian-populated areas of  Shahumian and others were also separated out of Karabagh and made part of  Azerbaijan itself. The transfer of parcels of land from Armenia and Karabagh to  Nakhichevan and Azerbaijan continued into the 1930&#8217;s. These territories  transferred from Armenia to Azerbaijan included but were not limited to three  mountain lakes near the village of Istisu and the villages of Istisu, Zar, and  Zivel. Furthermore, Armenian villages in Kelbajar and the Lachin Corridor were,  shall we say, ethnically cleansed. I think it is incumbent on Armenian  negotiators to study maps from the 1920&#8217;s and 1930&#8217;s and to document these  changes, especially now that the fate of the occupied territories is still in  the balance. The point must be forcefully and repeatedly made that the so-called  occupied territories, at least those between Karabagh and Armenia, are, in fact,  Armenian and should remain so. And also that this is essential to the national  security of Armenia and Karabagh.<\/p>\n<p>The fourth issue is that Azerbaijan repeatedly makes preposterous claims that  Armenians do not confront and challenge, thereby lending them a credibility they  do not deserve. The entire claim of Azerbaijani historians that the Azeris are  descendents of the Caucasian Albanians and therefore a nation of longstanding  with a prior claim to Karabagh is utterly baseless and false. It needs to be  challenged rigorously whenever it is raised.<\/p>\n<p>Or let us consider the argument that Shoushi is an Azerbaijani city. It was  briefly in the 18th century, but part of the 18th century is a only a small  slice of history. By 1900, Shoushi was the third largest city in the  TransCaucasus after Baku and Tiflis, and the majority of its nearly 40,000  inhabitants were Armenian. The Armenians of Shoushi operated a printing press,  schools, and a theater complex. Of the 21 newspapers and magazines published in  the city at the time of the Bolshevik Revolution, 19 were in Armenian and 2 in  Russian. And consider how the Armenian city of Shoushi was turned into an Azeri  city in March and April 1920: The Armenian section of the city was destroyed by  Azeri and Turkish forces and 20,000 Armenians were killed. The ruins of these  buildings stood as a silent testimony of Azerbaijani intentions until they were  razed in the 1960&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>The next point concerns international law. Whenever it is claimed that  self-determination has a lesser standing in international law than the  territorial integrity of national states, it should be aggressively pointed out,  and correctly so, that this is not true. Their standing is unequivocally equal.  On a related issue, the West insists that self-determination can only occur when  it does not clash with territorial integrity; yet, in fact, the West supports  the creation of new nation states whose independence does violate the  territorial integrity of existing states. The West has recognized the former  East Pakistan as Bangladesh, as well as Eritrea in the Horn of Africa, and now  Kosovo. I think it is useful to confront Western negotiators and to insist on  answers to the questions: Why the double standard? And why not Karabagh?<\/p>\n<p>As I understand it, the re-settlement of refugees is also a condition of  settlement. Here Azerbaijan has benefitted by the West&#8217;s very narrow definition  of this struggle as a struggle about Karabagh only, instead of seeing it in its  historical context as the latest phase of a struggle between Armenian national  security and Turkish imperial ambition. Seen in this light, we should be able to  understand that there are hundreds of thousands of Armenian victims and  refugees, not only Azeri ones. Will Armenians who so desire be able to return to  Baku and other parts of Azerbaijan and reclaim their properties and be able to  live in peace, or only Azeris from Karabagh and the liberated territories? There  is a terrible imbalance here that ought to be pointed out.<\/p>\n<p>An offshoot of the refugee and re-settlement issue is what I call the  demographic time bomb. Many Armenian families in Karabagh produce one, two, or  three children while many Azeri families produce five, six, or seven. I do not  have a solution for this, but I point out that even in the best of settlements,  the Armenian population of Karabagh will be diminished over time rather quickly  as was already happening prior to 1988. Has the Armenian side given proper  attention to the implications of the re-settlement of Azeris, at least in  Karabagh, Kelbajar, and the Lachin Corridor?<\/p>\n<p>Finally, I have alluded to national security issues for Armenia and Karabagh,  and I wish to say a few more words about them. These are essential  considerations for the future of the Armenian people if we are not to become the  equivalent of a South African bantustan under the apartheid regime. I point out  that Armenian national security is not the primary consideration of any parties  to the conflict or the settlement except Armenians. The West wants a quick fix  to enable the flow of investment and commerce, and to protect its oil  investments and pipeline flows. So Armenians need to insist that any  international peacekeeping forces be adequate in number, fully funded, and for  the long term. On the basis of the tremendous expense alone, the West resists  this, and this is not to the advantage of Armenians.<\/p>\n<p>I will conclude with these two points. The first is that the territories are  the only real leverage that Armenians have. There cannot be any workable  settlement of the Karabagh Question that surrenders territory without the  declaration and international recognition of an independent Karabagh with  defensible borders. The second point concerns Azerbaijan&#8217;s most generous offer  to date: the return of territories for the promise of the highest degree of  autonomy for Karabagh within Azerbaijan. Armenia and Karabagh should never waver  from the position that this is not good enough. After all, de jure autonomy is  exactly what Armenians had in the Ottoman Empire in 1915.<\/p>\n<p><em>Levon Chorbajian is a professor in the department of sociology at the  University of Massachusetts, Lowell. He can be reached by emailing <\/em><em title=\"blocked::mailto:Lchor@comcast.net\">Lchor@comcast.net<\/em><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"removed_link\" title=\"http:\/\/www.hairenik.com\/weekly\/2009\/08\/29\/chorbajian-caveat-emptor-weak-negotiating-strategies-and-settlement-pitfalls\/\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This racist, Levon\u00a0Chorbajian,\u00a0is still a professor at the U. of Massachussetts, which is disturbing.\u00a0Aside from showing a rigid maximalist position based on\u00a0tired historical claims, Chorbajian\u00a0sums up the thesis of why Karabakh should be\u00a0important for both Turkey and Azerbaijan as follows: \u00a0 &#8220;Here Azerbaijan has benefitted by the West&#8217;s very narrow definition of this struggle as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":26515,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-armenian-question"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14461"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14461\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26515"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}