{"id":10293,"date":"2009-03-20T23:33:59","date_gmt":"2009-03-20T20:33:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.turkishforum.com.tr\/en\/content\/?p=10293"},"modified":"2011-09-01T22:59:41","modified_gmt":"2011-09-01T19:59:41","slug":"debka-reviev-in-week-ending-march-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/2009\/03\/20\/debka-reviev-in-week-ending-march-19\/","title":{"rendered":"DEBKA Reviev"},"content":{"rendered":"<table border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"2\" width=\"630\" align=\"center\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">Summary of DEBKAfile Exclusives in Week Ending March 19,  2009<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"311\" valign=\"top\"><strong>Moscow signals harder position on nuclear-armed Iran<br \/>\nDEBKAfile  Exclusive Analysis <\/strong><strong>13 Mar.:<\/strong> A Russian strategic arms control expert,  Vladimir Dvorkin, said Thursday, March 12, that Iran could produce an atomic  weapon in &#8220;one or two years,&#8221; allowing Tehran to broaden its support for Hamas  and Hizballah. Dvorkin, as head of the strategic arms research center at the  Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow and a former general of Russia&#8217;s Strategic  Rocket Forces, is a highly respected authority in the West.<\/p>\n<p>This was the  first time a Russian figure had predicted Iran would be nuclear-capable within  so short a period, DEBKAfile&#8217;s Moscow sources stress. Its correlative linkage to  a heightened threat from Hamas and Hizballah has never been heard from Moscow,  or even explicitly from Washington or Jerusalem.<br \/>\nWithout mentioning Israel,  this Russian warning implicitly put the Jewish state on notice, as the only  country threatened by Hizballah and Hamas, that time was running out.<\/p>\n<p>It  was the second pointer to a tougher Russian stance on Iran&#8217;s nuclear weapon  aspiratoins. On March 10, the Russian news agency Interfax quoted an unnamed  Moscow source as stating that &#8220;Russia may shelve delivery of its advanced S-300  air defense missile system to Iran&#8221; &#8211; if decided at the political level.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>France to help develop  Saudi, Egyptian, Gulf nuclear programs <\/strong><strong>13 Mar.:<\/strong> France has injected fresh momentum into  the Middle East nuclear race by inviting Gulf nations to take a minority stake  in the French nuclear giant Areva (CEPFi.PA), DEBKAfile&#8217;s military sources  report.<\/p>\n<p>After a meeting with French president Nicolas Sarkozy Friday,  March 13, the emir of Kuwait, Sheikh Jaber Moubarak Al-Hamad Al-Sabah, said the  two leaders discussed the possible purchase of French military materiel and the  issue of energy and nuclear reactors. He also referred to Kuwait and other Gulf  countries taking a one-to-five percent stake in the world&#8217;s biggest builder of  nuclear reactors.<\/p>\n<p>Paris has a separate deal with Egypt.<\/p>\n<p>The Bush  administration signed contracts for building nuclear power-generating industries  with Saudi Arabia (Dec. 2, 2008) and the United Arab Emirates (Jan. 15, 2009).<\/p>\n<p>DEBKAfile: Potential Gulf involvement in the French nuclear industry has  four key aspects:<br \/>\n1. A one-to-five percent stake may only be the starter for  more substantial control.<br \/>\n2. Paris is ready to open its international  nuclear establishment for Arab interests to come in by the front door.<br \/>\n3.  The Gulf states can be expected to use this access to win a dominant role in the  world&#8217;s two leading energy markets &#8211; oil and nuclear power.<br \/>\n4. They can also  use their access to advanced nuclear technology for creating the infrastructure  for developing a military nuclear industry to rival Iran&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>US-born Somalis go  missing, feared recruited for jihad<br \/>\nDEBKAfile Special Report<\/strong><strong>14 Mar.: <\/strong>DEBKAfile&#8217;s sources in the US Minneapolis-St. Paul area report that the  disappearance of dozens of young US-born Somali men in this area since last fall  is under investigation by anti-terror authorities concerned they have been  recruited to fight with al Qaeda-linked Islamist terrorists to topple the  transitional federal government in Mogadishu. Some may return home trained to  form America&#8217;s first homegrown Islamist terrorist cell. The probe, triggered by  a group of concerned ex-US military officers, has spread to Somali communities  in other parts of America and, according to our sources, Canada  too.<\/p>\n<p>Suspicions were aroused when last December, Shirwa Ahmed, a  naturalized US citizen, died in a suicide bombing in northern Somalia. Ahmed,  27, was a 1999 graduate of Minneapolis&#8217;s Roosevelt High School.<\/p>\n<p>US law  enforcement agencies are concerned that young jihadists could return to the US  and follow a similar path to the British Pakistanis who carried out the London  bombings of July 2005 after visiting radical mosques in Pakistan. British Muslim  extremists were also suspected of involvement in the Mumbai terrorist outrage  last November.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>March 14 Briefs: <\/strong>&#8211; Nine nations agree to  share intelligence on Hamas arms smuggling activity &#8211; especially by sea.<br \/>\nThey  are committed to refrain from using force to thwart smuggling.<br \/>\n&#8211; UK denies  visa to Hizballah activist notorious for anti-Semitic statements who was invited  to lecture at London University.<br \/>\n&#8211; Nasrallah says never in a thousand years  will Hizballah recognize Israel&#8217;s right to exist.<br \/>\n&#8211; Three Palestinian  missiles fired from Gaza explode on open ground Saturday.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Two Israeli police  officers die of injuries in Jordan Valley shooting<br \/>\nDEBKAfile Exclusive  Report<\/p>\n<p>15 Mar.:<\/strong> DEBKAfile&#8217;s military sources report Israeli and Jordanian army units in  a big manhunt on both sides of the border for the gunmen who shot dead two  Israeli police officers in an ambush of their van on Highway 90 near Masuah in  the Jordan Valley Sunday night, March 15. &#8220;The Imad Moughniyeh Martyr&#8217;s  Brigades&#8221; claimed the attack in an anonymous call to the French News Agency, but  military sources say this is a fabricated name.<\/p>\n<p>The incident is under  investigation, including the possibility that the assailants infiltrated from  Jordan, a hypothesis borne out by the professional way the attack was carried  out, indicating a better standard of military training than displayed in  terrorist attacks by West Bank Palestinians.<\/p>\n<p>The perpetrators set their  ambush at a bend in the road where conditions force traffic to slow down and  waited in a dark spot far from the nearest habitation for a police or military  vehicle to pass by.<\/p>\n<p>Even in the nearest houses no one heard the  shots.<br \/>\nIt was only some time later, that a passing motorist came upon the  overturned police car. His alert brought large military and police forces to the  scene.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Al Qaeda: We shot the  Israeli policemen near Masuah<\/p>\n<p>16 Mar.:<\/strong> Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for the murder of two Israeli policemen  Sunday night outside Masuah in the Jordan Valley Sunday night, March 15,  DEBKAfile&#8217;s counter-terror sources reveal.<\/p>\n<p>The claim appeared Monday in a  leaflet circulated in Jordan and the West Bank announcing that the shooting of  the two Israeli policemen was al Qaeda&#8217;s first operation &#8220;on the West Bank&#8221; and  there were more to come.<\/p>\n<p>The victims were David Rabinovich, 50 from Rosh  Ha&#8217;ayin and Yehezkiel Ramzarkar, 42, from Maale Ephraim.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Our team  waylaid the Israeli security vehicle on Highway 90 and killed its passengers,&#8221;  the leaflet stated.<\/p>\n<p>It also revealed that the killers set out on their  mission immediately after Osama bin Laden&#8217;s last tape was aired by Al Jazeera  Saturday, &#8220;to carry out his orders.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It does not specify whether they  came from Jordan or the West Bank. Bin Laden stated that, as the Americans start  pulling out of Iraq, jihad must be relocated to &#8220;the Palestinian  territories.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>DEBKAfile&#8217;s counter-terror sources point to his key phrase  as being: &#8220;Jordan&#8230; is the best and widest front, and from Jordan the second  launching will be toward the West Bank.&#8221;<\/td>\n<td width=\"302\" valign=\"top\"><strong>March 16  briefs:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Ex-president Khatami pulls  out of Iran&#8217;s presidential race leaving Ahmadinejad virtually unchallenged for  second term.<br \/>\n&#8211; Eleven people killed in suicide attack in S. Afghanistan&#8217;s  Helmund province.<br \/>\n&#8211; Zardari acts to stem political turmoil in Pakistan.<br \/>\n&#8211;  He reinstates sacked judges, reviews of court ruling disqualifying opposition  leader Nawaz Sharif from public office.<br \/>\n&#8211; Five killed in Pakistan&#8217;s North  West Frontier by missile fired by sixth drone attack since Obama took  office.<br \/>\n&#8211; Israel&#8217;s top soldier Ashkenazi cuts short Washington visit.<br \/>\n&#8211;  Netanyahu&#8217;s Likud signs first accord for new government coalition with rightist  Israel Beitenu. Lieberman is designated foreign minister, Uzi Landau  infrastructure, Yitzhak Aharonovich internal security and police.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Prime Minister Olmert:  No more concessions to Hamas for Gilead Shalit&#8217;s release <\/strong><strong>16 Mar.:<\/strong> Outgoing prime minister Ehud Olmert  explained in a dramatic address to the nation Tuesday night, March 17, why  last-ditch negotiations for Gilead Shalit&#8217;s release after three years in  captivity had failed. He said Hamas had spurned Israel&#8217;s latest offer to release  many hundreds of convicted prisoners, including terrorists guilty of murdering  many Israelis.<\/p>\n<p>That was it, he said; the list is final. Any more would  cross a red line and hazard Israel&#8217;s national security. Hamas spokesmen  responded: We can wait for Binyamin Netanyahu [the PM-designate who is due to  establish a new government within days].<\/p>\n<p>The Palestinian radical group is  demanding the freedom of 1,500 convicted terrorists, including 450 hard-case  multiple murderers. Israel has offered to free 325 hard-cases, of whom 144 must  be exiled to the Gaza Strip or abroad, for fear their presence on the West Bank  will re-ignite the Palestinian suicide terror industry which Israeli put down  two years ago.<\/p>\n<p>Monday night, when Olmert&#8217;s envoys to the indirect  negotiations, Shin Bet director Yuval Diskin and special negotiator for  prisoners Ofer Dekel, returned empty-handed, Olmert accused Hamas of hardening  its position, reneging on past understandings and raising new, excessive  demands. He was taken aback, DEBKAfile revealed, after receiving word from  Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak that Syrian president Bashar Assad had ordered  the extremist Hamas to drop its all-or-nothing ultimatum and lower its demands  form 100 to 90 percent. This hope was dashed when put to the test.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Labor&#8217;s Barak&#8217;s tempted  by Netanyahu&#8217;s four-portfolio proposition <\/strong><strong>18 Mar.: <\/strong>Ehud Barak, defense minister and Labor  leader, is close to a decision to take his party into Binyamin Netanyahu&#8217;s  coalition government, tempted by his latest offer, according to DEBKAfile&#8217;s  political sources. He is battling fierce opposition inside his party but  believes he can swing round the majority of the central committee when it meets  next week.<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu will next week ask the president for more time for  coalition negotiations. Although he has ratcheted up a majority of 61-65 Knesset  members, Israel&#8217;s prime minister-in-waiting is very reluctant to lead an  administration made up of right-of-center, nationalist and religious parties. To  lure Labor, our sources report he is offering that party the ministries of  defense, social welfare, pensioners and one without portfolio, two deputy  ministers and two powerful parliamentary chairs &#8211; Finance and Constitution.<\/p>\n<p>The designated prime minister is willing to pick Israel&#8217;s ambassador to  Washington together with the Labor leader.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Saudis create  anti-Israeli Palestinian &#8220;militia&#8221; in Gaza to combat Hamas<br \/>\nDEBKAfile  Exclusive Report<\/strong><strong>18 Mar.:<\/strong> DEBKAfile&#8217;s military sources disclose that  Saudi intelligence services are deep in recruitment for a new radical Islamist  terrorist militia in the southern Gaza Strip towns of Deir al Balakh, Khan  Younes and Rafah, with Egyptian blessing. More than 1,000 Palestinians have  joined up in two weeks, poached from the extreme Hamas fringes and the Salafi  sects of the South.<\/p>\n<p>Recruiters promise greater militancy against Israel  than Hamas and Jihad Islami combined.<\/p>\n<p>The new Gaza group is intended to  complement the pro-Saudi organization established in southern Lebanon in  January, part of a new Riyadh project to establish a chain of Islamist,  Taliban-style fighting cadres under Saudi control for combating the pro-Iranian  and al Qaeda terrorist organizations strung across the Middle East. This grand  design is the brainchild of the Saudi intelligence chief Prince Muqrin Abdul  Aziz.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>High Russian official:  Moscow is gradually fulfilling S-300 air defense contract with Iran <\/strong><strong>18 Mar.: <\/strong>According to Western intelligence sources,  Moscow keeps on changing its position on delivery of five sophisticated Russian  S-300 anti-missile, anti-air missile systems sold to Iran for $800 million for  four reasons:<\/p>\n<p>1. Fluctuating levels of tension ahead of the first summit  between the Russian and American presidents in London on April 2.<br \/>\n2. US and  Israeli intelligence proofs that the Russians started supplying Iran with parts  of the S-300 systems at the end of January and during February &#8211; despite its  promise to Washington to freeze delivery.<br \/>\n3. Dmitry Medvedev is reluctant to  have Barack Obama ask him how, in the light of this breach, Washington can trust  Moscow to honor agreements.<br \/>\n4. The Kremlin is itself divided on whether to  make good on the S-300 contract.<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday, March 18, an unnamed official  of Russia&#8217;s Federal Service of Military-Technical Cooperation issued another  muddled statement: &#8220;Russia has not delivered the S-300 air defense systems&#8221; &#8211;  then: &#8220;Meanwhile the contract is being fulfilled gradually,&#8221; followed  by:&#8221;Further fulfillment of the contract will mainly depend on the current  international situation and the decision of the country&#8217;s leadership&#8221; and  &#8220;Russia has no intention of giving up the estimated hundred million-US dollar  contract.&#8221;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>March 18  Briefs:<\/strong>&#8211; Israel High Court allows  demolition of home of first &#8220;tractor terrorist&#8221; who killed three people in  Jerusalem in July 2008.<br \/>\n&#8211; Israeli panel reviews jailed Palestinians&#8217;  privileges as pressure on Hamas to free Gilead Shalit.<br \/>\n&#8211; Medvedev orders new  nuclear arsenal to meet expanded NATO presence around Russian borders &#8212;<br \/>\n&#8211;  Hamas&#8217; Hayman Taha threatens to kidnap more Israeli soldiers to free jailed  Palestinians.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Incoming FM Lieberman  urges strategic partnership between Israel and Russia<\/strong><strong>19 Mar.: <\/strong>Tapped as foreign minister in the future  Netanyahu government, Avigdor Lieberman says relations between Israeli and  Russia &#8220;must and can rise to a level of strategic partnership.&#8221; In an unusual  interview with the Russian Interfax news agency, the leader of the  right-of-center Israel Beitenu said Wednesday, March 18: &#8220;However paradoxical it  may seem, the global economic crisis gives Israel new opportunities to reach the  Russian market after many Western companies abandoned it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He added:  &#8220;The same refers to military-technical cooperation. Israel has quite a few  things to offer Russia in this sector &#8211; from electronic systems for fighter jets  to drones.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Israel Beitenu came third in the February general election.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary of DEBKAfile Exclusives in Week Ending March 19, 2009 Moscow signals harder position on nuclear-armed Iran DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis 13 Mar.: A Russian strategic arms control expert, Vladimir Dvorkin, said Thursday, March 12, that Iran could produce an atomic weapon in &#8220;one or two years,&#8221; allowing Tehran to broaden its support for Hamas and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":50556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[978],"class_list":["post-10293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-turkey","tag-depka"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10293"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10293\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnews.com\/en\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}