Author: Aylin D. Miller

  • Violent nationalism blights Turkey

    Violent nationalism blights Turkey

    Story from BBC NEWS:
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7737413.stm

    Turkey is fiercely patriotic and proud of it. But the country’s bid to join the European Union has sparked a nationalist backlash that has turned murderous, the BBC’s Sarah Rainsford reports from Istanbul.

    Writer Hrant Dink was the first victim, killed last year because some in Turkey could not tolerate what he stood for. To nationalists, he was a traitor.

    In a country where every citizen is defined as a Turk, Hrant Dink defined himself as ethnic Armenian. That was already subversive to some. But Mr Dink went further.

    He wrote about the expulsion and killing of hundreds of thousands of Ottoman Armenians from eastern Turkey in 1915. To Armenians, and others, that was genocide – a claim Ankara vigorously denies.

    Hrant’s cause

    Hrant Dink was convicted of insulting the Turkish nation. That is a crime here. Nationalist protesters surrounded his office shouting “Love Turkey or leave it!” and he received hundreds of death threats.

    Please turn on JavaScript. Media requires JavaScript to play.

    Rakel Dink on her husband and his murder

    Already low-profile, after Mr Dink’s murder most Armenians retreated into scared silence. But almost two years on, his widow has decided to speak out.

    “Hrant was really affected by those protests,” Rakel says, fighting back tears. “After that, we said only a miracle could help us live here.”

    But the family stayed.

    “Hrant could never abandon his cause,” says Rakel, explaining that he wanted to convince Turkey that diversity and dissent were a strength, not a threat.

    His killers disagreed.

    “I don’t know if I should say this, but the origins of this murder go back to 1915,” Rakel says.

    “An Armenian told the truth to the face of the Turkish state and the law. That’s why Hrant was murdered. It offended them, it dishonoured them.”

    Critical flashpoints

    To Turks, honour is everything. From childhood they learn of a glorious history: how a soldier – Mustafa Kemal Ataturk – forged a new nation from the ruins of the Ottoman Empire.

    Turkey needs time to adjust – the EU process may help, but my husband’s death is their biggest loss
    Rakel Dink

    To most, the allegation their ancestors were guilty of genocide is an unacceptable slur.

    Turkey’s justice minister underlined that view himself this week, defending his decision to allow the trial of another writer to proceed for referring to “genocide”.

    “The man describes Turkey as a murderer state,” Mehmet Ali Sahin is quoted as saying.

    It seems freedom of expression is no defence.

    “That is why they were against Hrant,” Rakel says. “They could not digest what he was writing about, even though he used very soft language.”

    But Turkey’s drive to enter the EU has made nationalists feel threatened, and that has made them aggressive.

    The Armenian issue, and the treatment of millions of Kurds in Turkey, have become critical flashpoints.

    ‘Once-and-for-all fight’

    Almost 50 writers have been brought to trial since May for insulting the nation.

    “Democracy means questioning, it means self-critique – and this is the thing they [nationalists] would not like,” explains Umut Ozkirimli, from Istanbul’s Bilgi University.

    “For them, when you start questioning things you become a traitor.”

    That is why Hrant Dink was murdered.

    It is also why at least 20 writers in Istanbul are now living with bodyguards.

    Oral Calislar is one of them. A close friend of Hrant Dink, he is also a well-known critic of the Turkish military – particularly its policy towards ethnic Kurds.

    He has had dozens of death threats. Now, wherever he goes his armed guard goes with him.

    “We want to change this country into a democratic country and the EU accession process is important for that,” the journalist says.

    “I think because of that, some powers in the state want to shut our mouths.”

    Mr Calislar is sure Mr Dink’s murder is part of a far broader resistance to reform. He sees that deep within institutions of the Turkish state; groups clinging to power – and to their own vision of the republic.

    “This is a once-and-for-all fight. It’s been going on in the closet for 80 years, between those who want change and those who don’t,” Mr Ozkirimli agrees.

    “If the whole project of EU membership goes away, [then] the democratic forces will lose, and forever,” he adds.

    ‘Ergenekon’ trial

    In that battle for democracy, Hrant Dink was on the frontline. Now there is another sign the fight will be fierce.

    Eighty ultra-nationalists are currently on trial just outside Istanbul, accused of plotting to overthrow the government and block democratic reforms.

    The prosecutor claims the group – known as Ergenekon – planned a campaign of murder and violence. It was meant to create chaos – and force the military to step in and take control.

    Hrant Dink believed Turkey could change. His vision was of a truly democratic republic and the EU accession process was a vital part of that.

    To his widow, such change now looks a long way off.

    “[Turkey] doesn’t want people to express their ethnic identity, or live freely. That doesn’t fit the founding ideas of this country,” Rakel says.

    “Turkey needs time to adjust. The EU process may help, but my husband’s death is their biggest loss.”

    You can watch Sarah Rainsford’s full report at 2230 GMT tonight on BBC2’s Newsnight programme.

  • The ticking outflow time bomb for Turkey

    The ticking outflow time bomb for Turkey

    by Taylan Bilgiç

    Diminishing global risk appetite bodes ill for developing nations, which, in varying degrees, are dependent on foreign capital inflows to stay afloat. Turkey, like its peers, is also worried foreign investment might dry up, but the latest data and research suggest that might be the least of our problems.

    The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, or OECD, says the “outlook for foreign direct investment, or FDI, has darkened,” in its latest “Investment News” newsletter. Based on current trends, inflows will be down 13 percent and outflows by 6 percent in member countries.

    There are two reasons for this decline. First, the OECD says, “the freezing of credit markets … have forced companies to rely largely on cash reserves to finance investment. “Many firms are facing severe internal liquidity constraints,” says the Paris-based organization. “Second, with global growth forecast for 2009 at 2.2 percent … the need for companies to invest in new capacity is considerably reduced.”

    The data suggests Turkey might have much more to fear than just dried-up foreign inflows. In 1999, FDI inflows to developing countries constituted 87 percent of all foreign capital flows, World Bank data show. In contrast, portfolio flows – indirect investment that is relatively quicker to get in and out of countries – accounted for 5 percent. Total inflows that year stood at $204 billion, which means FDI flows stood at $177.5 billion, while portfolio flows were a mere $10.2 billion.

    Upturned balance
    The “golden years of globalization,” in which capital moved more freely than ever, deeply changed this balance. In 2007, portfolio flows rose to 14 percent while FDI flows shrunk to 46 percent. The overall figure, meanwhile, rose to a staggering $1,025 billion. This means developing countries received portfolio inflows of $143.5 billion last year.

    As the global crisis unfolds, most of this money is moving back, largely seeking sanctuary in the greenback or U.S. Treasury bonds. But, according to Royal Bank of Scotland estimates – outlined in a note to investors by RBS analyst Timothy Ash – Turkey still has “upwards of $70 billion in foreign portfolio funds invested, which could potentially add to the external financing gap if the situation deteriorates quickly.”

    And the situation does not seem bright. In the last three months to November, total foreign capital outflows from Turkey reached $16.5 billion, according to estimates by Fortis, outlined in the “Glokal Stratejist” newsletter. That amount includes $6.7 billion in “traditional investment instruments” such as bonds, equities or deposits, while short-term, “hot money” positions were unwound to the amount of $9.8 billion. The total amount of portfolio outflows stood at $5.4 billion just in October, and Fortis says this is “the biggest amount for one month in history.”

    To put it simply, the question for Turkey is not how much foreign capital it will receive over the next period, but how much foreign capital it will be able to hold. The reluctance of the Central Bank to reduce its overnight borrowing rate – at 16.75 percent – or the silent devaluation of the national currency, seem all tied to this central problem. Thus, ironically, the billions of dollars Turkey has managed to attract in the past six years have become time-bombs now.

    The possibility of a sudden outflow is why foreign analysts put he figure for Turkey’s external financing need at as high as $120 billion. In a worst-case scenario, such an amount may be barely enough to offset the outflow.

    In light of this, the ‘negative outlook’ given by S&P to Turkey last week might be a first step in “pricing the Turkish risk” for foreigners. Thus, the pressure on the government to make an extensive deal with the International Monetary Fund increases.

    20 Kasım 2008
     
  • TURKISH-AMERICAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY  SYMPOSIUM:

    TURKISH-AMERICAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY SYMPOSIUM:

    HOW TO DO BUSINESS WITH

    NEW YORK CITY & NEW YORK STATE AGENCIES

    AGENDA

    Wednesday, December 3rd 6-8 PM

    Turkish Consulate General

    821 United Nations Plaza – 8th Floor New York , NY 10017

    6:00 p.m.

    Registration & Networking

    6:30 p.m.

    Opening Remarks

    Sevil Ozisik, President –

    Turkish-American Chamber of

    Commerce & Industry

    Prof. Seyhan Erden Arkonac, President – Turkish-American Business Forum

    (on behalf of Ms. Arkonac, Murat Agirnasli, former President of TABF)

    Begum Dinlenc, President – Turkish Women’s League of America

    Welcome

    H.E. Mehmet Samsar,

    Consul General of Turkey in New York

    Program Introduction

    Sevil Ozisik, President –

    Turkish-American Chamber of

    Commerce & Industry

    Keynote Moderator

    Nermin Ucar, President –

    Ultima Construction, Inc.

    Agency Participants

    Terry Jackson, Managing Director – International Business NYC Global Partners

    Office of the Mayor NYC Commission for the United Nations

    Consular Corps & Protocol

    Michael Garner, Director of Business Development –

    NYC Construction Authority

    Walter Maxwell, Associate Director of External Affairs –

    NYC Small Business Services

    Olivia Peck, Assistant Director –

    NYS Dormitory Authority

    Ida Perich, Manager Business Development – The Port Authority

    Of New York / New Jersey

    Zenaida Chape, Assistant Director

    Outreach Programs – NYC

    Metropolitan Transportation Authority

    7:15 p.m.

    Food, Cocktails & Networking

    This is a unique opportunity to learn how to do business with

    New York City & New York State Agencies

    Sponsorship for this Symposium

    Turkish American Chamber of

    Commerce & Industry

    Turkish-American Business Forum

    Turkish Women’s League of America

    All proceeds of this event will go to

    Ataturk School

    When: December 3, 2008 , 6:00 – 8:00 PM

    Where: Turkish Consulate General

    821 United Nations Plaza – 8th Floor New York , NY 10017

    Price: TACCI, TABF & TWLA Members – $35

    Non-Members – $45

    Please note that RSVP is a must

    Please click here to register online, or

    RSVP by either emailing to [email protected] or

    calling at 646 429 1530 .

  • Summary of DEBKA file Exclusives in Week Ending Nov. 20, 2008

    Summary of DEBKA file Exclusives in Week Ending Nov. 20, 2008


     
    Summary of DEBKAfile Exclusives in Week Ending Nov. 20, 2008
    Four armed Palestinians killed in Israeli air strike after missile fire from Gaza 15 Nov.: The terrorists were encouraged to escalate their offensive by the decision Prime minister Ehud Olmert, defense minister Ehud Barak and chief of staff Lt. Gen. Gaby Ashkenazi reached Friday night to refrain from fighting back after Ashkelon was hit by 6 Palestinian Grads and Sderot battered by 11 Qassam missiles on Day 10 of the Hamas blitz. 

    One Sderot 82-year old woman suffered shrapnel wounds, 22 were hospitalized in shock. Since then, the population within range of the Gaza Strip was told to stay in protected sites – when they have them – uncertain about whether they can return to normal work and school activities Sunday.

    Ashkelon town hall opened the public bomb shelters, while the city of Ashdod to the north ordered the shelters prepared. Several ministers as well as opposition leaders are demanding an effective military campaign against the terrorist groups ruling Gaza before it is too late. They say the Gaza truce, due for renewal next month, has become a farce.


    Sinai Bedouin revolt continues, 25 Egyptian police killed in clashes 15 Nov.: Clashes between insurgent Bedouin and Egyptian border police in central Sinai Friday, Nov. 14, left 25 Egyptians dead. No figures were immediately available on Bedouin casualties. The armed insurrection erupted Saturday, Nov. 7, when Egyptian troops posted at the Nitzana border post opened fire on a suspected drug smugglers’ truck, killing the Bedouin driver. 

    Hundreds of armed tribesmen in pick-up trucks bent on revenge – mostly Tarabin, Azazme and Tihama members – swarmed to the scene and began shooting up the Egyptian border guards. Around 1,000 besieged Egyptian positions along the Sinai-Israeli border south of Rafah. They took dozens of Egyptians hostage, including a general. The Bedouin outbreak assumed the form of an organized uprising when their chief commander handed the Egyptian officers a list of demands.


    Al Qaeda says order given for attack “far bigger than 9/11” 16 Nov.: DEBKAfile’s counter-terror sources report that US president-elect Barack Obama, European and Russian heads of state in Washington for the G20 conference over the weekend were briefed about an early al Qaeda attack. 

    Obama and his team have been advised that a new al Qaeda strike is highly probable in the United States or against a key US target in Europe, North Africa or the Middle East.

    On Thursday night, Nov. 14, Central Intelligence Director Gen. Michael Hayden said: “Al Qaeda, operating from its safe haven in Pakistan’s tribal areas, remains the most clear and present danger to the United States.” Every major terrorist threat threads back to the tribal areas, he said. “Whether it is command and control, training, direction, money, capabilities, there is a connection to the FATA (Pakistan’s Federally Administered Tribal Areas.)”
    Hayden also mentioned Yemen and Somalia as important al Qaeda theaters of operation.


    Four armed Palestinians killed in Israeli air strike after missile fire from Gaza 16 Nov.: The Israeli air strike killed armed Palestinians on their way to blow up the Karni crossing through which supplies reach Gaza, Sunday, Nov. 16. The missiles landed outside a kibbutz. 

    The missile fire contradicts the calming statements from Israeli leaders claiming Hamas wants to maintain the agreed truce. Hamas spokesmen in fact demand the unconditional reopening of all the Gaza crossings by Israel and Egypt without commitments on their part.

    The Gaza-based Palestinian terrorist group announced Saturday, Nov. 15, that the 120,000 inhabitants of the Mediterranean port town of Ashkelon 15 kilometers from Gaza, were now held hostage. All Israeli military strikes in Gaza would be countered by long-range (25-kilometer) Iran-supplied Grad artillery rocket attacks on the city. “The rules of the game have changed,” said Hamas.


    Nine Palestinian missiles fired from Gaza Monday 17 Nov.: The first salvo of seven Qassam missiles damaged buildings in the Eshkol farm district Monday, Nov. 17, followed by two in the evening that were aimed at Sderot. There were no casualties. British foreign secretary David Miliband visited Sderot and was shown the damage Palestinian missiles caused since the Gaza truce broke down two weeks ago.  


    Israeli Arab nursery-school teacher charged with abetting Gaza terrorists 17 Nov.: Sumiya Abu Ghanem, 21, a nursery school teaching aide in the Israeli town of Ramle, was charged before the Petach Tikva district court Monday. She was detained a month ago as a result of a joint Border Police-Shin Bet operation. The charges against Abu Ghanem included conspiring to aid the Palestinian Fatah terrorist group in Gaza in a scheme to kidnap an Israeli. She was also asked to help spirit a Palestinian suicide killer into a crowded place in an Israeli town.  


    Hamas to maintain missile blitz up to Ashdod – until Israel’s February poll
    DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
    17 Nov.: DEBKAfile’s military sources report that Israeli government leaders have misread the motives behind Hamas’ two-week missile-rocket-mortar assault on Israel as jockeying for better terms when the six-month truce comes up for renewal next month. Their decision to mute Israel’s military response to the ongoing violence stems from their misplaced expectation that the attacks will stop once the truce is in the bag. 

    Israeli intelligence circles estimate that Hamas will continue escalating the violence at least up until Israel’s general election on Feb. 10, 2009:
    1. The 25-kilometer range Grad multiple-launch rockets, which the radical terrorists have vowed to continue firing against the Mediterranean port-town of Ashkelon, will also be directed further north to Ashdod, Israel’s most important port after Haifa. This will keep Hamas at center stage of Israel’s election campaign and demonstrate who really influences the Israeli voter. The rival Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas, whose “peace talks” with Israel came to naught, will be left behind.

    2. Hamas calculates that a major Israeli operation in Gaza will be so costly in casualties for the Palestinian population and Israeli troops alike that an international outcry will force the IDF to cut the campaign short without achieving its goals. Israel’s failure to achieve victory will enhance Hamas’ standing in Gaza and the West Bank – just like Hizballah after the 2006 Lebanon war.


    Mullen: The US Army has begun practicing traveling out of Iraq and into Afghanistan 18 Nov.: Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said in an interview to AP that the exit routes practiced through Turkey and Jordan would determine “what the challenges might be.” Both governments support the effort. 

    DEBKAfile’s military sources report that the US army chief’s statement marks the beginning of the American withdrawal from Iraq. While he is still following the orders of President Bush, Mullen said he was clearly aware of president-elect Barack Obama’s plan to withdraw the US army from Iraq in 16 months.

    This development is a negative augur for Israel’s strategic situation; after Lebanon and the Gaza Strip, the door is open for Iran to take control of another Arab nation in its vicinity. The Israel military has made no preparations for the encroaching Iranian presence.

    Iran, Syria tauten grip on Lebanon, Tehran woos Christian president
    DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
     

    18 Nov.: Tehran and Damascus are going all out to get their hooks into Lebanon’s Christian politicians and wean them away from their’ traditional ties with the West. President Michel Suleiman this week accepted an Iranian invitation to visit Tehran Nov. 24-25, while another Lebanese Christian leader, Hizballah’s ally Gen. Michel Aoun, arranged to visit Damascus.

    DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources report that the Iranians are forging ahead with a campaign to bind the region’s Christian minorities to their Shiite wagon for challenging Sunni domination. Their first quarry is Lebanon’s powerful community.

    Although these developments bode ill for Israel too, they were left out of the sweeping 2009 prognosis which the Israeli Military Intelligence chief Maj. Amos Yadlin delivered in Tel Aviv Monday, Nov. 17. Neither did he look ahead to the likelihood that Iran would be able to assemble a nuclear weapon early next year. Senior Israeli intelligence circles described the evaluations heard from Yadlin Monday as less attuned to reality than the estimated positions of the incoming US president Barack Obama’s Middle East team and Olmert-Livni policies. Like them, he omitted to address the agendas which Tehran and Damascus are actively pursuing.


    Gaza crossings resealed Tuesday after 9 Palestinian missiles fired from Gaza 18 Nov.: The first salvo of seven Qassam missiles damaged buildings in the Eshkol farm district Monday, Nov. 17, followed by two in the evening that were aimed at Sderot. There were no casualties. Still, Israeli allowed 33 truckloads of supplies into Gaza following heavy international pressure and UNWRA renewed food supplies to the population. But fuel shipments are held up for as long as the Palestinians shoot rockets, missiles and mortars into Israel. 

    In two weeks they have fired 140 projectiles, effectively terminating the informal truce agreed in June and up for renewal next month. UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon voiced concern to Israel about the suffering in Gaza under the Israeli blockade. Prime minister Ehud Olmert replied that the correct address for such complaints is Hamas.


    Final IAEA report: Syrian site hit by Israel resembled an atomic reactor
    DEBKAfile Special Report
    19 Nov.: The final report of the International Atomic Energy Agency Wednesday, Nov. 19, says the Syrian complex bombed by Israel 14 months ago bore features resembling those of an undeclared nuclear reactor. “Significant” amounts of man-made uranium particles were found in situ. This report will be submitted the nuclear watchdog board meeting in Vienna on Nov. 27-28. 

    Damascus is accused of failing to produce requested documentation to support its declaration about the nature of the building and refusing follow-up IAEA visits to three other locations suspected of harboring possible evidence linked to Israel’s target.
    DEBKAfile was the only publication to report that the Israeli attack targeted more than one Syrian site.

    Our military sources stress that the IAEA report attests to one of the most formidable feats of Israel’s external intelligence agency Mossad in conjunction with the US CIA. Syrian president Bashar Assad is now confirmed as having been in the process of building nuclear weapons intended for attacking Israel.


    Al Qaeda’s venomous message for Obama 19 Nov.: In an audio message released Wednesday, Nov. 19, Ayman al-Zahari, al Qaeda’s No. 2, said US president-elect Barack Obama was not an “honorable black American” like Malcolm X but a “house negro” like Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice. He urged Muslims to keep up attacks on the “criminal” US and criticized Obama for “promising to back Israel.” 

    Obama’s plan to shift troops to Afghanistan would fail, said Zawahri, in a message appearing on Islamist websites. He added: “A heavy legacy of failure and crimes awaits you.” The Islamist leader criticized Obama, born to a Muslim Kenyan farther, for what he described as turning his back on his Muslim roots.


    Indian navy sinks pirate “mother ship” in Gulf of Aden19 Nov.: Late Tuesday, Nov. 18, after a Thai boat and Iranian cargo vessel were hijacked, the Indian navy’s Tabar stealth frigate fought back and destroyed a pirate vessel loaded with food, diesel and water, with two speed boats in tow. On the deck, were rocket-propelled grenade launchers and guns. The attack took place 285 nautical miles southwest off Salalah, Oman. DEBKAfile’s counter-terror sources report that this area would be well off the Somali pirates’ beaten track and cause of concern on another score, their proximity to the Strait of Hormuz. 

    The Indian navy says it was the third attack the Indian warship had repelled since its anti-piracy mission began in the Gulf of Aden on Nov. 2. On Nov. 11, Indian naval commandos flying a helicopter foiled an attempt to hijack an Indian merchant ship.


    Israel chief of staff at NATO 19 Nov.: Israel’s chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Gaby Ashkenazi, will address NATO military leaders convened in Brussels on IDF’s counter-terror tactics and technology. 

    He has appointments set up with the US, French, German and Turkish military chiefs.


    First US, Russian steps to combat Somali piracy 20 Nov.: The US and multinational naval force patrolling the coast off Somali urged merchant vessels Thursday, Nov. 20, to sail with armed guards on board and only on lanes patrolled by warships. 

    The Russian Navy commander Adm. Vladimir Vysotsky announced more warships would be sent to the danger zone. US Vice Adm. William Gortney said merchant ships crews were being taught non-violent measures to prevent pirates boarding their vessels, such sharp rudder movements and speed adjustments to throw their speed boats off course.
    The Saudi tanker, the biggest ship every hijacked, is being held off the Somali coast with 2 million barrels of crude and a crew of 25, for a $25 million ransom.

    A NATO fleet of US, French, British and Danish warships along with Indian, Malaysian and Russian naval vessels are patrolling the Gulf of Aden and Somali waters. They were unable to prevent the seizure of the super tanker and three merchant vessels this week.


    New polls register seismic Israeli shift to right of center
    DEBKAfile Special Report
    20 Nov.: With 61 days to go to Israel’s general election, at least two opinion polls position the right-of center opposition Likud ahead of its rivals with 32 Knesset seats (out of 120), whereas the ruling Kadima, led by foreign minister Tzipi Livni, would fall to 26, with two-thirds of its former voters dropping out. 

    Likud leader former PM Binyamin Netanyahu is cashing in on the popular figures he has picked for his top team, such as Benny Begin (son of the iconic Menahem Begin) and ex-chief of staff Moshe Yaalon as disenchanted defectors return to the Likud fold. If the figures hold up on Feb. 10, Netanyahu will be Israel’s next prime minister.

    Most strikingly, defense minister Ehud Barak is leading Labor, Israel’s founding party, to virtual eclipse with no more than 8-10 Knesset seats predicted. The party faithful are drifting leftward, boosting Meretz to an estimated seven seats.

     
  • Kurds in N. Iraq Receive Arms From Bulgaria

    Kurds in N. Iraq Receive Arms From Bulgaria

    Kurdish warlords importing arms from Bulgaria

    These weapons will be used by the Kurdish militias against the Turkmens, Assyrians and Arabs who are opposed to the Kurdification of the north of Iraq.

    BAGHDAD — Kurdish officials this fall took delivery of three planeloads of small arms and ammunition imported from Bulgaria, three U.S. military officials said, an acquisition that occurred outside the weapons procurement procedures of Iraq’s central government.

    The large quantity of weapons and the timing of the shipment alarmed U.S. officials, who have grown concerned about the prospect of an armed confrontation between Iraqi Kurds and the government at a time when the Kurds are attempting to expand their control over parts of northern Iraq.

    3 Planeloads of Munitions Worry Officials in Baghdad

    By Ernesto Londoño
    Washington Post Foreign Service
    Sunday, November 23, 2008; A01

    BAGHDAD — Kurdish officials this fall took delivery of three planeloads of small arms and ammunition imported from Bulgaria, three U.S. military officials said, an acquisition that occurred outside the weapons procurement procedures of Iraq’s central government.

    The large quantity of weapons and the timing of the shipment alarmed U.S. officials, who have grown concerned about the prospect of an armed confrontation between Iraqi Kurds and the government at a time when the Kurds are attempting to expand their control over parts of northern Iraq.

    The weapons arrived in the northern city of Sulaymaniyah in September on three C-130 cargo planes, according to the three officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the information.

    Kurdish officials declined to answer questions about the shipments but released the following statement: “The Kurdistan Regional Government continues to be on the forefront of the war on terrorism in Iraq. With that continued threat, nothing in the constitution prevents the KRG from obtaining defense materials for its regional defense.”

    Iraq’s ethnic Kurds maintain an autonomous region that comprises three of the country’s 18 provinces. In recent months, the Shiite-led central government in Baghdad, which includes some Kurds in prominent positions, has accused Kurdish leaders of attempting to expand their territory by deploying their militia, known as pesh merga, to areas south of the autonomous region. Among other things, the Kurds and Iraq’s government are at odds over control of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk, which lies outside the autonomous region, and over how Iraq’s oil revenue ought to be distributed.

    The Kurds of northern Iraq have run their affairs with increasing autonomy since 1991, when U.S. and British forces began enforcing a no-fly zone in northern Iraq to protect the region from President Saddam Hussein‘s military. The U.S.-led invasion in 2003 sparked concern that Iraqi Kurds would seek independence, but the Kurds have insisted that they wish to remain part of a federal Iraq.

    Neighboring countries with large Kurdish minorities, including Turkey and Iran, have said they would oppose the emergence of an independent Kurdistan, as the autonomous region is known.
    Iraq’s interior minister, Jawad al-Bolani, said in an interview that central government officials did not authorize the purchase of weapons from Bulgaria. He said such an acquisition would constitute a “violation” of Iraqi law because only the Ministries of Interior and Defense are authorized to import weapons.

    Experts on Iraq’s constitution said the document does not clearly say whether provincial officials have the authority to import weapons. However, Iraqi and U.S. officials said the Ministries of Interior and Defense are the only entities authorized to import weapons. The Defense Ministry provides weapons to the Iraqi army, and the Interior Ministry procures arms for the country’s police forces.

    The Iraqi government has acquired the vast majority of its weapons through the Foreign Military Sales program, a U.S.-run procurement system, Brig. Gen. Charles D. Luckey, who assists the Iraqi government with weapons purchases, said Saturday. He said he knew of no instances in which provincial authorities had independently purchased weapons from abroad.
    With thousands of American military officials involved in the training of Iraq’s security forces, there is little the U.S. government does not know about weapons that are legally imported to Iraq. The shipments from Bulgaria in September caught the American military off guard, the three officials said. They first learned of the shipments from a source in Bulgaria, the officials said.

    The three said they did not know whether U.S. officials had confronted Kurdish leaders about the shipments or alerted Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki‘s government.

    “Yes, the Kurds have this autonomous region and they’re authorized to keep the pesh,” one of the officials said, referring to the militia. “But arming themselves and bringing in weapons stealthily like that — if I were the Iraqi government, I’d be pretty concerned.”

    While violence in Iraq has decreased markedly in recent months, political tension is rising as Iraqi leaders gear up for provincial and national elections scheduled to take place next year, and as they prepare for an era in which the U.S. military will have a smaller presence there.
    Of the primary fault lines — which include tension between Sunnis and Shiites and rivalry among Shiite political parties — the rift between Kurds and the Arab-dominated Iraqi government has become a top concern in recent months. Senior government officials have engaged in a war of words, and Iraqi army and pesh merga units have come close to clashing.

    “You could easily have a huge eruption of violence in the north,” said Kenneth B. Katzman, a Middle East specialist at the Congressional Research Service in Washington. “Nothing having to do with the Kurds is resolved.”

    Because Arab Sunnis largely boycotted the 2005 election, Kurds obtained disproportionate political power in key provinces such as Tamim, which includes Kirkuk, and Nineveh. Both abut the Kurdish autonomous region. Kurds also control 75 of the 275 seats in parliament.

    This year, violence broke out in Kirkuk amid political squabbling over an Arab proposal that seats on the Tamim provincial council should be divided evenly among ethnic Arabs, Kurds and Turkmens. In the end, Iraqi lawmakers had to shelve plans to hold provincial elections in Tamim because the sides were unable to reach a deal.

    In August, U.S. officials narrowly averted an armed confrontation between an Iraqi army unit and pesh merga fighters in the town of Khanaqin, in Diyala province.

    In recent weeks, Maliki and Kurdish leaders have exchanged sharp words over Maliki’s creation of so-called support councils. Maliki has said the councils, which are made up of pro-government tribal leaders, are the central government’s eyes and ears in provinces. But Kurdistan Regional Government President Massoud Barzani and other Iraqi leaders have accused the prime minister of using the councils to bolster Maliki’s influence in areas where he has little political support. In a recent news conference, Barzani said Maliki was “playing with fire.”

    Iraqi President Jalal Talabani, who is a Kurd, recently sent Maliki a letter saying the money being spent on councils should go to the country’s armed forces.

    The pesh merga, which began as a militia controlled by powerful Kurdish families, fought Iraqi troops when Hussein was in power. Since the 2003 invasion, its primary role has been to patrol predominantly Kurdish areas in the north. However, pesh merga units were deployed to the northern city of Mosul in 2004 to help quell an insurgent uprising, and others were dispatched to Baghdad as part of the 2007 buildup of U.S. troops.

    Recently, the Iraqi government has refrained from using pesh merga forces outside of the Kurdish region and has taken steps to replace predominantly Kurdish forces with Sunni and Shiite soldiers in Nineveh, one of the most violent areas in Iraq.

    Central government officials recently bristled at Barzani’s offer to allow U.S. troops to establish bases in the Kurdish autonomous region, saying the regional government had no authority to make such an overture, especially as Iraqi officials are calling for a gradual withdrawal of U.S. troops.

    “There is a lot of tension,” Kurdish parliament member Mahmoud Othman said. “Maliki and his administration are accusing the Kurdish authorities of violating the constitution. And the Kurds are accusing Maliki of violating the constitution.”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/22/AR2008112202297.html?referrer=emailarticle&sid=ST2008112300239&s_pos

  • Turkish History: Truman Doctrine, Carter Doctrine and 1980 Turkish coup d’état

    Turkish History: Truman Doctrine, Carter Doctrine and 1980 Turkish coup d’état

    Truman Doctrine

    .org/wiki/ Truman_Doctrine

    Carter Doctrine

    .org/wiki/ Carter_Doctrine

    1980 Turkish coup d’état

    .org/wiki/ 1980_Turkish_ coup_d%27% C3%A9tat